{"id":53326,"date":"2026-08-27T21:27:17","date_gmt":"2026-08-27T21:27:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/dow-hafif-yukseldi-salesforce-ve-nvidia-sicradi-jackson-hole-ve-cip-tarifesi-riskleri-gundemde\/"},"modified":"2026-08-27T21:27:17","modified_gmt":"2026-08-27T21:27:17","slug":"dow-hafif-yukseldi-salesforce-ve-nvidia-sicradi-jackson-hole-ve-cip-tarifesi-riskleri-gundemde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/dow-hafif-yukseldi-salesforce-ve-nvidia-sicradi-jackson-hole-ve-cip-tarifesi-riskleri-gundemde\/","title":{"rendered":"Dow hafif y\u00fckseldi; Salesforce ve Nvidia s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131, Jackson Hole ve \u00e7ip tarifesi riskleri g\u00fcndemde"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dow Jones Sanayi Ortalamas\u0131 (DJIA) Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc 53.600 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, 53.300 seviyelerinden 53.700\u2019\u00fcn hemen \u00fczerine y\u00fckselmesinin ard\u0131ndan %0,29 art\u0131da seyretti. Salesforce, ikinci \u00e7eyrek gelir beklentisini a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle %20\u2019ye yak\u0131n y\u00fckselirken, Nvidia da 2028 mali y\u0131l\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc i\u00e7eren sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan %7,5\u2019e yak\u0131n prim yapt\u0131. DJIA\u2019n\u0131n fiyat a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 yap\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda (Dolar ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k alt\u0131 endeks puan\u0131), iki hisse yakla\u015f\u0131k 350 puanl\u0131k yukar\u0131 potansiyele i\u015faret etse de, endeks yakla\u015f\u0131k 157 puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yans\u0131tabildi; di\u011fer 28 bile\u015fen yakla\u015f\u0131k 200 puan a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc katk\u0131 yapt\u0131. \u0130lk i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 208 bin beklenti ve 207 bin \u00f6nceki seviyeye kar\u015f\u0131 203 bin olarak a\u00e7\u0131klan\u0131rken, devam eden ba\u015fvurular 1,78 milyon oldu; bunun ard\u0131ndan DJIA yakla\u015f\u0131k 390 puan toparlanarak 15:15 GMT\u2019de 53.700\u2019\u00fcn hemen \u00fczerindeki g\u00fcn i\u00e7i zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n

Jackson Hole\u2019da 11:30 GMT\u2019deki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar 7,1 ortalamaya kar\u015f\u0131 7,0 ile \u201c\u015fahin\u201d tarafta fiyatlan\u0131rken, 12:15 GMT konu\u015fmas\u0131 6,0 ile n\u00f6tr kald\u0131; 14:30 GMT dilimi ise 7,5 ortalamaya kar\u015f\u0131 8,0 ile \u015fahin puan ald\u0131. Ayr\u0131 bir haberde, y\u00f6netimin diz\u00fcst\u00fc bilgisayarlar, oyun donan\u0131mlar\u0131 ve veri merkezi sunucular\u0131n\u0131 da kapsayacak \u015fekilde daha geni\u015f yar\u0131 iletken ek vergilerini de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fi belirtildi; Ocak ay\u0131ndaki ad\u0131m baz\u0131 ileri seviye hesaplama \u00e7iplerinde %25 vergi getirirken veri merkezine giden par\u00e7alar\u0131 muaf tutmu\u015ftu. Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 14:00 GMT\u2019de Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ana konu\u015fmas\u0131 ve \u00f6nc\u00fc (preliminary) benchmark revizyonu izlenecek; \u00f6nceki iki turda s\u0131ras\u0131yla 818 bin ve ard\u0131ndan 911 bin istihdam \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Yak\u0131n vadeli veriler aras\u0131nda 13:45 GMT\u2019de Chicago PMI (57 beklenti, \u00f6nceki 57,6) ve nihai Michigan t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni (51) ile beklentiler (50,6) yer al\u0131yor; bir y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon beklentisi %4,3, be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k %3,3. Teknik g\u00f6stergeler 53.700\u2019\u00fcn hemen \u00fczerini, ard\u0131ndan 53.800, 54.100 ve 54.750\u2019nin hemen alt\u0131n\u0131 diren\u00e7; 53.300\u2019\u00fc, ard\u0131ndan 53.000\u2019i destek olarak i\u015faret ederken, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA 52.700 civar\u0131nda. Stoch RSI 39 seviyesinde ve 53.800 \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f belirtilen \u201cge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lma\u201d (invalidation) seviyesi.<\/p>\n

Ay\u0131 Y\u00f6nl\u00fc D\u00fczeltme ve Volatiliteye Konumlanma<\/h3>\n

53.700 direnci yak\u0131n\u0131nda Dow Jones Sanayi Ortalamas\u0131 \u00fczerine at-the-money\u2019e yak\u0131n sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 alarak daha defansif konumlanmal\u0131y\u0131z. Salesforce ve Nvidia\u2019dan gelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bilan\u00e7o s\u00fcrprizlerine ra\u011fmen, kalan yirmi sekiz hisse endeksi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmeye devam ediyor. Kritik diren\u00e7te g\u00f6r\u00fclen bu \u201cyorulma\u201d ile g\u00fcnl\u00fck Stochastic RSI\u2019\u0131n 39\u2019a gerilemesi, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir d\u00fczeltmenin olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Yar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanacak makroekonomik veriler nedeniyle ani piyasa sal\u0131n\u0131mlar\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131k i\u00e7in straddle alarak volatiliteden faydalanmal\u0131y\u0131z. Tarihsel olarak A\u011fustos sonu ve Eyl\u00fcl y\u0131l\u0131n en oynak d\u00f6nemleri olup, CBOE Volatilite Endeksi (VIX) bu sezonda ortalama %15 y\u00fckselme e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterir. Yakla\u015fan bordro revizyonlar\u0131 ve Jackson Hole konu\u015fmalar\u0131, beklenen bu volatilite i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir kataliz\u00f6r i\u015flevi g\u00f6rebilir.<\/p>\n

Hedging ve G\u00f6reli De\u011fer (Relative Value) \u0130\u015flem F\u0131rsatlar\u0131<\/h3>\n

Yapay zek\u00e2ya ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 hisselerdeki riskimizi, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f teknoloji hisselerine koruyucu put alarak hedge etmemizi \u00f6neriyoruz. Y\u00f6netimin veri merkezi sunucular\u0131na y\u00f6nelik yeni g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergileri, y\u00fcksek maliyetleri do\u011frudan yapay zek\u00e2 donan\u0131m\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131na yans\u0131tma riski ta\u015f\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte benzer tedarik zinciri tarife duyurular\u0131, teknoloji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc de\u011ferlemelerinde an\u0131nda %5 ila %10 aras\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmelere yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Nasdaq ile Dow aras\u0131ndaki performans fark\u0131ndan, g\u00f6reli de\u011fer opsiyon spread\u2019leriyle de yararlanabiliriz. Fiyat a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 Dow, teknoloji a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 k\u0131yas endeksinin bug\u00fcnk\u00fc kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131zca d\u00f6rtte biri kadar bir performansla geride kal\u0131yor. Nasdaq\u2019ta call al\u0131rken e\u015f zamanl\u0131 olarak Dow\u2019da put almak, bu ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n geni\u015flemesinden k\u00e2r etmemizi sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dow 53.600\u2019de yatay: Salesforce %20, Nvidia %7,5 co\u015ftursa da di\u011fer hisseler bask\u0131lad\u0131. Jackson Hole \u015fahinle\u015firken, tarife riski ve veriler \u00f6ncesi put\/straddle \u00f6nerisi; 53.700 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50051,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53326","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t