Kanada dolar\u0131, genel ABD dolar\u0131 g\u00fcc\u00fc ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n para birimini bask\u0131lamas\u0131yla Norve\u00e7 kronu ile birlikte s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geriledi. USD\/CAD, Kanada\u2019n\u0131n 8 Eyl\u00fcl itibar\u0131yla y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girecek \u015fekilde ABD\u2019den ithal 20 milyar ABD dolar\u0131 tutar\u0131ndaki \u00fcr\u00fcnlere %15\u201350 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda misilleme tarifeleri getirmesine ra\u011fmen Scotiabank\u2019in 1,3862 seviyesindeki \u201cadil de\u011fer\u201d tahminine yak\u0131n i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; s\u00f6z konusu ad\u0131m, CAD\u2019deki m\u00fctevaz\u0131 toparlanmay\u0131 da s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. Banka, tarife duyurusunun piyasa etkisinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor.<\/p>\n\n
Ticaret gerilimleri Kuzey Amerika\u2019daki yat\u0131r\u0131m riskine de yans\u0131yor. Bir habere g\u00f6re Honda, bir sekt\u00f6r yuvarlak masa toplant\u0131s\u0131nda, CUSMA yenilenmedik\u00e7e b\u00f6lgede yeni bir fabrika kurmaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Grafik taraf\u0131nda USD\/CAD, 1,3842\u2019deki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutunurken, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i DMI g\u00f6stergesi n\u00f6tr kal\u0131yor. Parite 1,39\u2019un orta-\u00fcst band\u0131na do\u011fru geni\u015fleyebilir; a\u015fa\u011f\u0131da 1,3825\/30 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,3775\/85 seviyelerinde destek izleniyor. \u00d6te yandan, haziran sonundan bu yana s\u00fcren d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi devam ederken g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve haftal\u0131k osilat\u00f6rler de ay\u0131 seyrini koruyor.<\/p>\n\n
Kanada\u2019n\u0131n ABD\u2019den ithal 20 milyar ABD dolar\u0131 tutar\u0131ndaki \u00fcr\u00fcnlere y\u00f6nelik misilleme tarifelerinde 8 Eyl\u00fcl son tarihine yakla\u015f\u0131rken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n USD\/CAD\u2019de artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Spot fiyatlar 1,3862\u2019lik adil de\u011ferin hemen \u00e7evresinde seyrederken, opsiyon piyasas\u0131 potansiyel ticaret aksakl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 hen\u00fcz tam olarak fiyatlam\u0131\u015f de\u011fil. Son enerji piyasas\u0131 verileri, WTI ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn varil ba\u015f\u0131na 73 dolar e\u015fi\u011fini korumakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu durum, emtiaya duyarl\u0131 Kanada dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde temel tarafta a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
Bu s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k konsolidasyon ortam\u0131nda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki haftada bir oynakl\u0131k k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 yakalamak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli straddle veya strangle al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. K\u0131sa vadeli USD\/CAD opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen oynakl\u0131k g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden, tarife son tarihi \u00f6ncesinde uzun oynakl\u0131k stratejileri maliyet a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan daha avantajl\u0131 bir tercih olabilir. Ticaret m\u00fczakereleri ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olur ve tarifeler devreye girerse, 1,39\u2019un orta-\u00fcst band\u0131na do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir hareket bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Taktik pozisyonlanmada, parite 1,3950 civar\u0131ndaki kritik dirence do\u011fru y\u00fckselirse put opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 veya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc limit emirleri kurmay\u0131 tercih ediyoruz. Haftal\u0131k trend osilat\u00f6rleri ay\u0131 seyrini koruyor; bu da ticaret s\u00f6ylemi kaynakl\u0131 olas\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n muhtemelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015farak 1,3842\u2019deki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamaya geri d\u00f6nmesine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu ortalaman\u0131n tutunamamas\u0131 halinde ise 1,3775\u2019teki ana deste\u011fe do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir geri \u00e7ekilme i\u00e7in alan a\u00e7\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n\n
Kur riski ta\u015f\u0131yan \u015firketler i\u00e7in, kur adil de\u011fere yak\u0131nken korunma sa\u011flamak amac\u0131yla d\u00f6viz forward\u2019lar\u0131yla seviyenin kilitlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Kuzey Amerika otomotiv tedarik zincirleri ve imalat yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na ili\u015fkin daha geni\u015f riskler, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki aylarda CAD \u00fczerinde belirgin bask\u0131 yaratabilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riske kar\u015f\u0131 \u015fimdiden korunma sa\u011flamak, yakla\u015fan politik ticaret \u00e7eki\u015fmelerini portf\u00f6y \u00fczerinde s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 hasarla y\u00f6netmeye yard\u0131mc\u0131 olur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Tarife geri say\u0131m\u0131 ba\u015flarken USD\/CAD\u2019de kritik e\u015fik! CAD, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc dolar ve zay\u0131f petrolle bask\u0131da; parite 1,3862 \u00e7evresinde. Oynakl\u0131k artabilir: straddle\/strangle, 1,3950 direnci, 1,3775 destek izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53284","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t