EUR\/GBP, ABD-\u0130ran ate\u015fkesi haberlerinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fine dair umutlar\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131yla \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7lendi; bu durum, enerji ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde maliyet endi\u015felerini azaltabilir. Parite 0,8570 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 0,8574 seviyesini test etti; d\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte 0,8558 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 20 ve 100 periyotluk Basit Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n (SMA) \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. RIA Novosti, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma \u00f6ncesinde bo\u011fazdan k\u00fcresel petrol ile s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011fal gaz\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte birinin ta\u015f\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, olas\u0131 bir a\u00e7\u0131klaman\u0131n ise \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde gelebilece\u011fini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
Y\u00fckseli\u015f s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131; ayr\u0131 haberlerde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n asker\u00ee doktrinini daha sald\u0131rgan bir zemine kayd\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret edilirken, Umman \u00fczerinden y\u00fcr\u00fcyen g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin aral\u0131kl\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtildi. Dikkatler ayr\u0131ca Euro B\u00f6lgesi verilerine \u00e7evriliyor: Almanya i\u015fsizlik verisi Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak; Temmuz\u2019da i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %6,4\u2019te sabit kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor ve bunu A\u011fustos g\u00fcven anketleri izleyecek. Teknik tarafta G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 61 civar\u0131nda seyrederken, 0,8571\u2019de destek ve 0,8565, 0,8562 ve 0,8560 seviyelerinde bir \u201ctalep band\u0131\u201d \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor; 0,8574\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerine bir k\u0131r\u0131lma 0,8575\u2019e do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n\n
EUR\/GBP\u2019nin 0,8558 civar\u0131ndaki kritik hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerine sarkmas\u0131yla, t\u00fcrev i\u015flemcilerinin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 0,8600 seviyesine do\u011fru olas\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131na haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. G\u00fcnl\u00fck 20 milyon varilin \u00fczerinde petrol ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lma ihtimali, enerjiye ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 Euro B\u00f6lgesi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir rahatlama anlam\u0131na geliyor. Enerji ithalat bask\u0131s\u0131ndaki bu ani gev\u015femeden faydalanmak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli EUR\/GBP al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Euro B\u00f6lgesi petrol ve gaz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %90\u2019\u0131n\u0131 ithal etti\u011fi i\u00e7in, kritik deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hatlar\u0131ndaki gerilimin d\u00fc\u015fmesi Euro\u2019yu Sterlin\u2019e k\u0131yasla orant\u0131s\u0131z bi\u00e7imde destekler. Bu jeopolitik de\u011fi\u015fim, Euro oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tarihsel olarak \u00f6nemli bir s\u00fcr\u00fcc\u00fc olan Almanya i\u015fsizlik verisini bekledi\u011fimiz bir d\u00f6neme denk geliyor. \u0130\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveni anketlerinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesiyle birlikte %6,4\u2019te kal\u0131rsa, tek para birimi y\u00fckseli\u015f ivmesini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in temel tarafta da destek bulabilir.<\/p>\n\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde ani bir bozulma riskini y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in 0,8575\u20130,8600 band\u0131n\u0131 hedefleyen bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019lerinin (bull call spread) kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Alternatif olarak, uzun vadeli vadeli i\u015flem (futures) pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 korumak ad\u0131na 100 periyotluk hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (0,8558) hemen alt\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyeleri konulabilir. Tarihsel olarak EUR\/GBP z\u0131mni volatilitesi g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olan %5,5\u2013%6,5 band\u0131nda seyretti\u011finden, opsiyon primleri bu potansiyel k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 g\u00f6rece uygun maliyetle kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131 \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendirmeye elveri\u015fli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" H\u00fcrm\u00fcz umudu EUR\/GBP\u2019yi canland\u0131rd\u0131: Parite 0,8570\u2019te, 0,8558 SMA\u2019lar\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde. A\u00e7\u0131lma Euro B\u00f6lgesi enerji maliyetini gev\u015fetebilir; 0,8574 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,8575\u20130,8600 hedef, riskte \u0130ran gerilimi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50047,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53279","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t