{"id":53272,"date":"2026-08-26T16:28:16","date_gmt":"2026-08-26T16:28:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/abdde-savunma-disi-dayanikli-mal-siparisleri-sicradi-fedin-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-sorgulanirken-dolar-gorunumu-guclendi\/"},"modified":"2026-08-26T16:28:16","modified_gmt":"2026-08-26T16:28:16","slug":"abdde-savunma-disi-dayanikli-mal-siparisleri-sicradi-fedin-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-sorgulanirken-dolar-gorunumu-guclendi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abdde-savunma-disi-dayanikli-mal-siparisleri-sicradi-fedin-faiz-indirimi-beklentileri-sorgulanirken-dolar-gorunumu-guclendi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD\u2019de Savunma D\u0131\u015f\u0131 Dayan\u0131kl\u0131 Mal Sipari\u015fleri S\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131; Fed\u2019in Faiz \u0130ndirimi Beklentileri Sorgulan\u0131rken Dolar G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc G\u00fc\u00e7lendi"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD\u2019de savunma hari\u00e7 dayan\u0131kl\u0131 mal sipari\u015fleri Temmuz ay\u0131nda %1,3\u2019e y\u00fckselerek \u00f6nceki verideki %0,3\u2019l\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rd\u0131. Art\u0131\u015f, savunma sekt\u00f6r\u00fc d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki uzun \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc imalat \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine y\u00f6nelik talebin g\u00fc\u00e7lendi\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n

Fed Politikas\u0131 ve Sabit Getirili Piyasa \u0130\u015flemleri A\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan Sonu\u00e7lar<\/h3>\n

Temmuz\u2019da savunma d\u0131\u015f\u0131 dayan\u0131kl\u0131 mal sipari\u015flerinin beklentileri a\u015farak %1,3\u2019e s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131, ABD\u2019de \u015firket harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclenden \u00e7ok daha diren\u00e7li oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. 2026\u2019n\u0131n ikinci \u00e7eyre\u011finde kaydedilen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc %2,8\u2019lik GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin hemen ard\u0131ndan gelen bu imalat verisi, i\u00e7 ekonominin h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde so\u011fumad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Bu verinin, Fed\u2019in Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda agresif faiz indirimlerini yeniden de\u011ferlendirmesine yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n

Faiz t\u00fcrevleri taraf\u0131nda, stratejilerin \u201cuzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek\u201d getiri ortam\u0131na g\u00f6re yeniden konumland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. \u00d6zellikle y\u00fckselen getirilere oynayabilmek i\u00e7in Aral\u0131k 2026 SOFR vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda sat\u0131\u015f veya 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ABD Hazine tahvili vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda put opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Bu g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc talep sinyali, yaln\u0131zca birka\u00e7 hafta \u00f6nce fed funds vadeli i\u015flemler piyasas\u0131nda \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde fiyatlanan 50 baz puanl\u0131k faiz indirimi olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

FX ve Hisse Senedi Opsiyon Stratejisi \u00d6nerileri<\/h3>\n

D\u00f6viz piyasas\u0131nda, dolar\u0131n maj\u00f6r para birimleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi bekleniyor. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde imalat aktivitesi zay\u0131f seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken\u2014A\u011fustos PMI verisinin 45,6 gelmesiyle de g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc \u00fczere\u2014ekonomik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmdeki ayr\u0131\u015fma belirgin. Bu momentumu yakalamak i\u00e7in ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) \u00fczerinde k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 veya EUR\/USD paritesinde hedef vadeli sat\u0131\u015f (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Hisse senedi opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ise faiz hassasiyeti y\u00fcksek teknoloji hisselerinden uzakla\u015f\u0131p, fabrika talebinden do\u011frudan fayda sa\u011flayan sanayi sekt\u00f6rlerine y\u00f6nelmesi uygun olabilir. Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI) \u00fczerinde al\u0131m opsiyonu almak, yenilenen imalat canl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na do\u011frudan bir yat\u0131r\u0131m imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunuyor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 gerilerken d\u00fczenli prim geliri elde etmek amac\u0131yla b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7ekli sanayi \u015firketlerinde vade d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) put yaz\u0131m\u0131 da de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u015ea\u015f\u0131rtan veri: ABD\u2019de savunma d\u0131\u015f\u0131 dayan\u0131kl\u0131 mal sipari\u015fleri %1,3\u2019e s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131. Fed\u2019in agresif indirim ihtimali zay\u0131fl\u0131yor; getiriler yukar\u0131, dolar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc. SOFR\/10Y short, DXY call, EUR\/USD put, sanayi (XLI) opsiyonlar\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53272","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t