USD\/CNH, \u00c7in mallar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik olas\u0131 ABD tarifelerine ili\u015fkin haberler ve PBoC\u2019nin Renminbi\u2019nin h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 duru\u015funun son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131yla birlikte, son dip seviyelere yak\u0131n yatay seyrediyor. RMB\u2019de de\u011ferlenme y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki genel e\u011filim korunmakla birlikte, k\u0131sa vadeli fiyat hareketi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor; teknik g\u00f6stergeler de istikrar kazanmaya ba\u015fl\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
Tarife belirsizli\u011fi, ABD\u2019nin gelecek ayki Trump\u2013Xi g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi \u00f6ncesinde \u00c7in \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine %7,5 oran\u0131nda vergi getirmeyi de\u011ferlendirdi\u011fine dair haberlerin ard\u0131ndan yeniden g\u00fcndeme geldi; ancak kur tepkisi \u015fimdilik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. Politika sinyalleri de odakta: PBoC\u2019nin pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc fixing\u2019i piyasa beklentilerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 600 pip \u00fczerinde belirlendi ve gece saatlerinde daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir USD g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, ilave RMB kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlanabilece\u011fine dair i\u015faretleri art\u0131r\u0131yor. Grafiklerde g\u00fcnl\u00fck trend hafif negatif kalsa da, RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinden yukar\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fcyor; bu da s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fine alan b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Diren\u00e7 6,74 ve 6,7460 seviyelerinde; ikincisi 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama (DMA) ile \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Destek ise 6,72 ve 6,70\u2019te.<\/p>\n\n
USD\/CNH paritesini 6,72 civar\u0131ndaki son dip seviyelere yak\u0131n izliyoruz; ancak a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n giderek daha fazla s\u0131n\u0131rlan\u0131yor. Daha geni\u015f \u00e7er\u00e7evede trend h\u00e2l\u00e2 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir Renminbi\u2019yi desteklese de, g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesinden yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair i\u015faretler veriyor. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli olas\u0131 bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 ve bu seviyelerden k\u0131sa pozisyon kovalamaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n\n
\u00c7in Halk Bankas\u0131 (PBoC), piyasa beklentilerinden yakla\u015f\u0131k 600 pip daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc belirlenen son fixing\u2019in de g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi \u00fczere, Renminbi\u2019de h\u0131zl\u0131 de\u011fer kazan\u0131m\u0131na aktif bi\u00e7imde direniyor. Yakla\u015fan ikili g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler \u00f6ncesinde \u00c7in mallar\u0131na %7,5\u2019lik olas\u0131 ABD tarifesine dair haberlerle birlikte de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, politika kaynakl\u0131 r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131n ilave RMB de\u011ferlenmesini s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Tarihsel olarak benzer tarife belirsizlikleri ve PBoC\u2019nin geri iti\u015fi, haftalar i\u00e7inde USD\/CNH paritesinde %1,5 ila %2 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda h\u0131zl\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00fczeltmelere yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmden faydalanmak i\u00e7in, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na k\u0131sa vadeli USD\/CNH al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almay\u0131 veya 6,7400\u20136,7460 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesini hedefleyen bull call spread stratejileri uygulamay\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Spot tarafta destek 6,7200 ve 6,7000 civar\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; bu b\u00f6lgeler, eldeki k\u0131sa pozisyonlarda s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyeleri belirlemek i\u00e7in mant\u0131kl\u0131 alanlar sunabilir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda, bu y\u00fcksek riskli siyasi m\u00fczakereler \u00f6ncesinde piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 muhtemel oldu\u011fundan riskin yak\u0131ndan y\u00f6netilmesi kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CNH diplerde yatay: Trump\u2013Xi \u00f6ncesi %7,5 tarife s\u00f6ylentisi ve PBoC\u2019nin 600 pip g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc fixing\u2019i d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. RSI dipten d\u00f6n\u00fcyor; 6,74\/6,7460 diren\u00e7, 6,72\/6,70 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50284,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53239","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t