ABD hisseleri teknoloji \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde \u201crisk-on\u201d hareketiyle y\u00fckseldi; Nasdaq, Nvidia\u2019n\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde toparland\u0131. Nvidia, d\u00f6rt y\u0131l\u0131n en uzun d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisi olan \u00fcst \u00fcste yedi seans\u0131 ekside kapatmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan %1,8 y\u00fckselerek yeniden 210 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; \u015firketin son \u00e7eyrekte 92 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde gelir a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 bekleniyor. Ancak genel y\u00fckseli\u015f dar tabanl\u0131yd\u0131: Dow geride kal\u0131rken, S&P 500\u2019de be\u015f sekt\u00f6r ekside seyretti ve t\u00fcketici temel \u00fcr\u00fcnleri %1\u2019in \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015ferek, tahvil getirilerindeki gerileme ve zay\u0131flayan petrole ra\u011fmen t\u00fcketici ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 hisseler \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etti.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran ve Umman\u2019\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7maya y\u00f6nelik kademeli bir \u00e7er\u00e7eve ortaya koymas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan petrol sat\u0131\u015f yedi; Brent ve WTI\u2019nin her biri %3\u2019\u00fcn \u00fczerinde geriledi. Brent 87 dolar\/varilin hemen \u00fczerinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, haftal\u0131k kayb\u0131 %4,6\u2019ya ula\u015ft\u0131. Jackson Hole \u00f6ncesinde tahvil getirileri geriledi; ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil faizi 5 baz puan, Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k faizi 7 baz puan d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Di\u011fer tarafta ABD ve Kanada aras\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifeleri devreye al\u0131n\u0131rken dolar zay\u0131f seyretti; k\u0131ymetli metallerde de geri \u00e7ekilme g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc: platin %1\u2019den fazla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, alt\u0131n ise \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n zirvesini g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra geriledi. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 ayr\u0131ca Hazine\u2019nin 1 trilyon dolarl\u0131k \u201csava\u015f sand\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201dna ve yar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanacak temmuz \u00e7ekirdek PCE verisine \u00e7evrildi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n son derece par\u00e7al\u0131 bir rallide pozisyon ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu d\u00f6nemde, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde piyasa volatilitesinde bir s\u0131\u00e7ramaya haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmal\u0131y\u0131z. Teknoloji hisseleri, Nvidia\u2019n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck merakla beklenen bilan\u00e7osu \u00f6ncesinde toparlan\u0131rken, daha geni\u015f piyasa k\u0131r\u0131lgan kalmaya devam ediyor; t\u00fcketici temel \u00fcr\u00fcnleri taraf\u0131nda belirgin stres i\u015faretleri var. Bu riski hedge etmek i\u00e7in, ABD\u2019de t\u00fcketim harcamalar\u0131ndaki \u00e7atlaklar\u0131n geni\u015flemesinden faydalanmak amac\u0131yla XLY veya XRT gibi t\u00fcketici iste\u011fe ba\u011fl\u0131\/retail ETF\u2019lerinde ba\u015fa ba\u015fa yak\u0131n (near-the-money) put opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almak de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n
K\u00fcresel enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in bir di\u011fer stratejik giri\u015f noktas\u0131 sunuyor. Brent petrol\u00fc, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na ili\u015fkin olumlu diplomatik temaslar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 87 dolar\/varilin alt\u0131na sarkarken, bu geli\u015fme ayn\u0131 zamanda tahvil getirilerini de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Jackson Hole sempozyumu \u00f6ncesinde getiriler yumu\u015famay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, bu trendi de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in TLT (iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF) \u00fczerinde k\u0131sa vadeli call opsiyonlar\u0131na odaklan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca ABD dolar\u0131, Kanada ile t\u0131rmanan ticaret gerilimleri nedeniyle zay\u0131f seyrederken; d\u00f6viz ve k\u0131ymetli metaller piyasas\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemeliyiz. Tarihsel olarak tarifeler artt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda tedarik zincirlerinde aksama riski y\u00fckselir; bu da \u201cgreenback\u201d \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine yol a\u00e7abilir. Alt\u0131n\u0131n ons ba\u015f\u0131na 2.500 dolar civar\u0131ndaki \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k zirvelerinden geri \u00e7ekilmi\u015f olmas\u0131 dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, t\u00fcketici verilerindeki bozulman\u0131n s\u00fcrmesi halinde defansif bir kaymaya haz\u0131rlanmak i\u00e7in alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemlerinde (GC) daha uzun vadeli call opsiyonlar\u0131 biriktirmek f\u0131rsat olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Teknoloji \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde ABD borsalar\u0131nda \u201crisk-on\u201d r\u00fczg\u00e2r\u0131: Nasdaq, Nvidia bilan\u00e7osu \u00f6ncesi toparland\u0131. Ralli dar tabanl\u0131; petrol H\u00fcrm\u00fcz umutlar\u0131yla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, getiriler geriledi. Opsiyon hedge\u2019leri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50132,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53238","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t