GBP\/USD, A\u011fustos ay\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcnde sakin ge\u00e7en Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k veri takvimi ve \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (BoE) s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 ileti\u015fimin, daha zay\u0131f faiz farklar\u0131yla ayn\u0131 d\u00f6neme denk gelmesiyle 1,36 seviyesinin orta b\u00f6lgesinde dar bir bantta yatay seyrediyor. Getiri farklar\u0131ndaki yumu\u015fama, sterlin i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir destek aya\u011f\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flatt\u0131. Paritenin Temmuz sonundan bu yana kaydetti\u011fi son y\u00fckseli\u015f 1,3650\u2019nin \u00fczerinde\u2014May\u0131s ba\u015f\u0131ndaki zirvelere yak\u0131n\u2014ivme kaybederken, RSI 70 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m e\u015fi\u011finin hemen alt\u0131nda bulunuyor. Yak\u0131n vadeli fiyatlama 1,3600 ile 1,3700 aras\u0131nda bant hareketi olarak \u00e7er\u00e7eveleniyor. <\/p>\n\n
Liderlik de\u011fi\u015fimi ve Ba\u015fbakan Burnham\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6reve gelmesinin ard\u0131ndan siyasi risk primi gerilerken, 28 Ekim\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 planlanan Sonbahar B\u00fct\u00e7e Beyan\u0131 (Autumn Statement) \u00f6ncesinde mali risklerin sonbahara girerken y\u00fcksek kalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde 1,3800 \u00fczerindeki 2026 zirvesine kadar diren\u00e7lerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011fu, deste\u011fin ise 1,3500\u2019e daha yak\u0131n seviyelerde bulundu\u011fu ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda Sterlin\u2019in 1,3600 ile 1,3700 aras\u0131ndaki dar konsolidasyon band\u0131nda kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. BoE\u2019nin politika faizini %4,25\u2019te sabit tutmas\u0131 ve Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyonunun %2,2 civar\u0131nda dengelenmesi nedeniyle, yak\u0131n vadede belirgin bir y\u00f6n kataliz\u00f6r\u00fc bulunmuyor. Bu sakin makro takvim ortam\u0131nda, t\u00fcrev i\u015flemler yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n ani bir k\u0131r\u0131lma \u00fczerine pozisyon almaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131 ve bunun yerine bant i\u00e7i stratejilere odaklanmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n\n
D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck volatilite ortam\u0131nda prim erimesinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in iron condor gibi k\u0131sa vadeli opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. 1,3500 destek b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n kullan\u0131m fiyatlar\u0131ndan vade d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) put, 1,3800 diren\u00e7 tepesine yak\u0131n seviyelerden ise vade d\u0131\u015f\u0131 call sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 istikrarl\u0131 gelir \u00fcretebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) 70 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m e\u015fi\u011finin hemen alt\u0131nda oyalanmas\u0131yla uyumlu mevcut teknik tabloyla da \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n
ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) politika faizini yak\u0131n zamanda %4,5\u2019e ayarlamas\u0131yla birlikte Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2013ABD getiri fark\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131, sterlinin temel deste\u011finin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131rd\u0131. Bununla birlikte, Ba\u015fbakan Burnham\u2019a ge\u00e7i\u015f sonras\u0131 iyile\u015fen siyasi alg\u0131, \u015fimdilik bu daha zay\u0131f faiz farklar\u0131n\u0131n etkisini dengeledi. ABD istihdam\u0131 veya enflasyon verilerinde olas\u0131 s\u00fcrprizlerin bu hassas dengeyi bozabilece\u011fi dikkate al\u0131narak, getiri farklar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. <\/p>\n\n
Eyl\u00fcl\u2019e girerken, 28 Ekim\u2019deki Sonbahar B\u00fct\u00e7e Beyan\u0131 yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a z\u0131mni volatilitenin y\u00fckselmesine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak gerekiyor. B\u00fct\u00e7e \u00f6ncesindeki y\u00fcksek mali riskler, Ekim yakla\u015f\u0131rken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n straddle gibi uzun volatilite stratejilerine kademeli ge\u00e7i\u015fini g\u00fcndeme getiriyor. Ancak \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7in, 1,3600\u20131,3700 band s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7inde i\u015flem yapmak en k\u00e2rl\u0131 rota olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin dolara kar\u015f\u0131 gev\u015feyen getiri farklar\u0131yla 1,3600\u20131,3700 band\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: BoE sessiz, RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131ma yak\u0131n. Siyasi risk azalsa da 28 Ekim b\u00fct\u00e7esi volatiliteyi art\u0131rabilir; g\u00f6sterge 1,3500 destek, 1,3800 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50018,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53232","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t