Alt\u0131n, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ons ba\u015f\u0131na 4.680 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerini k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli\u011fine g\u00f6rerek May\u0131s ortas\u0131ndan bu yana en y\u00fcksek seviyesine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015fl\u0131ca para birimlerinin \u00e7o\u011fu kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla birlikte XAU\/USD en son 4.657 dolar seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fiyat hareketi, Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u00f6zellikle \u00e7elik ve otomotiv sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne odaklanarak Kanada\u2019ya g\u00fcmr\u00fck tarifeleri tehdidinde bulunmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD-Kanada ticaret g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin \u00e7\u00f6kmesini izledi. Ayr\u0131 olarak, Trump\u2019\u0131n Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada bir sonraki ad\u0131m\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019\u0131 finansal olarak bo\u011fmak olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan, ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019la ticaret yapan \u00fclke veya \u015firketleri hedef alan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
Teknik tarafta, d\u00f6rt saatlik grafik yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi koruyor: Alt\u0131n 20 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n (4.573,09 dolar) \u00fczerinde kal\u0131rken, 100 ve 200 periyotluk SMA\u2019lar\u0131n da (s\u0131ras\u0131yla 4.350,49 ve 4.204,36 dolar) \u00fczerinde seyrediyor. RSI 76 seviyesine y\u00fckselirken, Momentum g\u00f6stergesi k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye ra\u011fmen orta \u00e7izgisinin \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. G\u00fcnl\u00fck zaman diliminde 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lar s\u0131ras\u0131yla 4.379,83 ve 4.516,97 dolar seviyesinde; 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ise 4.307,69 dolar d\u00fczeyinde bulunuyor. Destek seviyeleri 4.573,09 dolar ve ard\u0131ndan 4.500 dolar olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken; diren\u00e7 4.700 dolar, sonras\u0131nda 4.730 civar\u0131 ve bunun \u00fczerinde 4.800 dolar olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
Spot alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 tarihi 4.657 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n 4.700 dolar diren\u00e7 seviyesine do\u011fru k\u0131sa vadeli yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu yakalayacak \u015fekilde pozisyonlanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu ralliyi destekleyen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve d\u00f6rt saatlik hareketli ortalamalar dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, uzun call opsiyonlar\u0131 veya bo\u011fa (bull) call spread stratejileri \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in cazip bir risk-getiri oran\u0131 sunuyor. 4.573 dolar seviyesindeki yak\u0131n deste\u011fe do\u011fru ya\u015fanabilecek k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck geri \u00e7ekilmelerde uzun pozisyon aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda olunmal\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
Bu strateji, alt\u0131n\u0131n ticaret anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131 d\u00f6neminde genellikle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans g\u00f6sterdi\u011fine i\u015faret eden tarihsel verilerle destekleniyor; 2018\u20132019 d\u00f6nemindeki tarife t\u0131rman\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli limana y\u00f6nelmesiyle alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 %25\u2019in \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselmi\u015fti. Ayr\u0131ca, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik yeni finansal yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar etraf\u0131ndaki jeopolitik belirsizlik, tarihsel olarak g\u00fcvenli liman giri\u015flerini art\u0131rma e\u011filiminde; 2024 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki Orta Do\u011fu gerilimleri s\u0131ras\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen %15\u2019lik alt\u0131n rallisine benzer bir tablo olu\u015fabilir. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, 4.500 dolarl\u0131k psikolojik taban\u0131n hemen alt\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleri koyarak k\u0131sa vadeli alt\u0131n vadeli i\u015flemleriyle bu oynakl\u0131ktan faydalanabilir.<\/p>\n\n
G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) \u015fu anda 76 seviyesinde ve bu, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201ca\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m\u201d momentumu anlam\u0131na geliyor; bu t\u00fcr okumalar, teknik yorgunluk ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce \u00e7o\u011fu zaman son ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir yukar\u0131 hamlenin habercisi olabiliyor. 4.700 dolar \u00fczeri k\u0131r\u0131lma ger\u00e7ekle\u015firse, y\u00fcksek riskli diplomatik gerilim d\u00f6nemlerinde s\u0131kl\u0131kla y\u00fckselen alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n z\u0131mni volatilitesinin yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz; bu durum prim al\u0131m\u0131na dayal\u0131 stratejileri olduk\u00e7a k\u00e2rl\u0131 hale getirebilir. Fiyat 4.730 bariyerini a\u015fmay\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131rsa, 4.800 dolara do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir hareket bekliyoruz; bu da \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d call\u2019lar\u0131 y\u00fcksek kald\u0131ra\u00e7l\u0131, cazip bir se\u00e7enek haline getirebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131nda yeni zirve heyecan\u0131: Dolar zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131, ABD-Kanada tarife krizi ve \u0130ran yapt\u0131r\u0131m beklentisiyle ons 4.680\u2019i test etti. Teknik trend g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc; RSI 76. Hedef 4.700-4.730, \u00fcst\u00fcnde 4.800; destek 4.573\/4.500.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49965,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53192","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t