Kanada dolar\u0131, ABD\u2013Kanada ticaret m\u00fczakerelerinin Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ge\u00e7 saatlerde \u00e7\u00f6kmesinin ard\u0131ndan zay\u0131flayarak g\u00fcn\u00fcn en k\u00f6t\u00fc performans g\u00f6steren G10 para birimi oldu. Ottawa\u2019n\u0131n son ABD tarifelerine \u201cdolar\u0131na dolar\u201d kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesi ve eyaletlere y\u00f6nelik ilave yurt i\u00e7i destek sinyali vermesiyle Kanada dolar\u0131 ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,5 geriledi. Politika tepkisi, Kanadal\u0131 \u015firketler i\u00e7in daha belirsiz bir faaliyet ortam\u0131na i\u015faret ederken, hem \u00e7apraz kurlarda hem de dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda para birimi \u00fczerindeki k\u0131sa vadeli bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Spot tarafta USD\/CAD, 1,3844 seviyesindeki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131na do\u011fru yeniden y\u00fckseldi. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, Haziran sonundan bu yana s\u00fcren daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin h\u00e2len korundu\u011fu, momentum g\u00f6stergelerinin de hen\u00fcz bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret etmedi\u011fi belirtildi. K\u0131sa vadeli e\u011filim, ABD dolar\u0131nda ilave g\u00fc\u00e7lenme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde; 1,38\u2019in ortalar\u0131n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde paritenin 1,39\u2019un orta-\u00fcst band\u0131na do\u011fru alan a\u00e7abilece\u011fi de\u011ferlendirildi.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2013Kanada ticaret m\u00fczakerelerinin ani \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, USD\/CAD paritesinde k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f (bullish) duru\u015fa ge\u00e7memizi zorunlu k\u0131ld\u0131. T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, kurun kritik 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131 olan 1,3844 seviyesini test etti\u011fi bu d\u00f6nemde h\u0131zl\u0131 bir ralliye pozisyon al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Kanada dolar\u0131 halihaz\u0131rda dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,5 de\u011fer kaybetmi\u015fken, bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda pariteyi 1,3950 seviyesine ta\u015f\u0131mas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak, 2018\u2019deki tarife gerilimleri gibi bu yak\u0131n ortaklar aras\u0131ndaki ani ticaret anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131, USD\/CAD ima edilen volatilitesinde birka\u00e7 seans i\u00e7inde %15\u2019in \u00fczerinde s\u0131\u00e7ramalara yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Mevcut opsiyon piyasas\u0131 verileri, bir ayl\u0131k ima edilen volatilitenin y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7ti\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; bu da primler a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 pahalanmadan \u00f6nce koruyucu USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Bu anl\u0131k dolar g\u00fcc\u00fcnden yararlanmak i\u00e7in 1,3900 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 k\u0131sa vadeli call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 hedeflemeyi \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD\u2019de \u00e7ok ayl\u0131 genel d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendi teknik olarak h\u00e2l\u00e2 ge\u00e7erli olsa da, uzayan bir ticaret sava\u015f\u0131 Kanada\u2019n\u0131n ihracat sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc tehdit ediyor; bu sekt\u00f6r tarihsel olarak \u00fclke GSYH\u2019sinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %30\u2019unu olu\u015fturuyor. Bu ekonomik bask\u0131, Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 (BoC) yurt i\u00e7i i\u015fletmeleri desteklemek i\u00e7in faiz indirimlerini beklenenden daha h\u0131zl\u0131 yapmaya itebilir. Daha uzun vadeli k\u0131sa pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yanlar i\u00e7in, olas\u0131 bir trendin tamamen tersine d\u00f6nmesine kar\u015f\u0131 sermayeyi korumak amac\u0131yla 1,3980 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirleri kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u015eok geli\u015fme: ABD\u2013Kanada g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc, CAD G10\u2019un en zay\u0131f\u0131; USD\/CAD 200GHO 1,3844\u2019e t\u0131rmand\u0131. 1,39 band\u0131 g\u00fcndemde; volatilite artarken k\u0131sa vadeli call\/stop-loss \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53187","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t