Kanada Dolar\u0131, ABD ile Kanada aras\u0131ndaki ticaret g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin \u00e7\u00f6kmesiyle zay\u0131flad\u0131 ve USD\/CAD pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,52 y\u00fckselerek 1,3830 civar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. M\u00fczakerelerin cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc bozulmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD, baz\u0131 Kanada \u00fcr\u00fcnlerine %50 g\u00fcmr\u00fck vergisi uygularken, Kanada 8 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019den itibaren \u201cdolara kar\u015f\u0131 dolar\u201d misilleme yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131 olarak Donald Trump, Kanada men\u015feli otomobil, kamyon, otomotiv par\u00e7alar\u0131 ve \u00e7eli\u011fe y\u00f6nelik tarifelerin 1 Ocak 2027\u2019den itibaren %50\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurarak, ABD ticaret ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 \u015fekilde ba\u011fl\u0131 bir ekonomi i\u00e7in belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
CAD i\u00e7in petrol ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 destek, Reuters\u2019a g\u00f6re pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent\u2019ten detaylar\u0131 gelmesi beklenen Washington\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik ikincil yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 geni\u015fletme plan\u0131ndan gelebilir. De\u011fi\u015fiklik, belirli \u0130ran sekt\u00f6rlerindeki faaliyetleri hedef alabilir ve uyumu ABD Dolar\u0131 tabanl\u0131 finansal sisteme eri\u015fimle ili\u015fkilendirerek ticaret ortaklar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurabilir. Hamle, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve K\u00f6rfez enerji ihracat\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k alt\u0131 ayd\u0131r s\u00fcren aksamalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geliyor; bu durum derinle\u015firse petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekebilir ve USD\/CAD\u2019deki ilave y\u00fckseli\u015fleri s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. Teknik olarak USD\/CAD 1,3829 seviyesindeydi ve 1,3846\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kald\u0131; 100-periyot SMA 1,3929, 200-periyot SMA 1,4009 seviyesinde bulunurken, RSI 53 civar\u0131nda seyretti; destek ise 1,3732 yak\u0131n\u0131nda yer ald\u0131.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, 8 Eyl\u00fcl misilleme takvimi yakla\u015ft\u0131k\u00e7a USD\/CAD paritesinde artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa pozisyon almas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. K\u0131sa vadeli USD\/CAD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almak, ticari ili\u015fkilerin daha da bozulmas\u0131 halinde g\u00f6r\u00fclebilecek ani s\u0131\u00e7ramalardan faydalanmam\u0131z\u0131 sa\u011flar. 2018\u2019deki ticaret anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda benzer tarife tehditleri Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %8 de\u011fer kaybetmesine neden olmu\u015ftu; tarihsel olarak bu e\u011filimin tekrar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte, \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik yeni ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 nedeniyle artabilecek petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki kay\u0131plar\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilece\u011fini de hesaba katmal\u0131y\u0131z. Kanada \u00f6nde gelen enerji ihracat\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131ndan biri oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in ham petrolde ani bir s\u0131\u00e7rama \u00e7o\u011fu zaman CAD\u2019i destekler ve USD\/CAD y\u00fckseli\u015fini 1,3929 diren\u00e7 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir. Bu kar\u015f\u0131t g\u00fc\u00e7ler aras\u0131nda yol almak i\u00e7in, her iki y\u00f6nde sert hareketlerden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamaya y\u00f6nelik straddle veya strangle opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Kanada otomobillerine %50 tarife tehdidi son derece b\u00fcy\u00fck; zira sekt\u00f6r iki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda y\u0131ll\u0131k 100 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki ticareti kaps\u0131yor. Ocak ay\u0131ndaki tarife takvimine kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in, vadesi 2027\u2019nin ba\u015f\u0131nda dolacak uzun vadeli USD\/CAD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz. Mevcut durumda opsiyonlar\u0131n z\u0131mni oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck; bu da bu koruyucu pozisyonlar\u0131 maliyet a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan uygun bir pencereden kilitleme imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunuyor.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan 1,3846 diren\u00e7 \u00e7izgisi ile 1,3732 destek taban\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Parite 1,3846\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine k\u0131rarsa, 1,4000 seviyesine do\u011fru uzun pozisyon maruziyetimizi derhal art\u0131rmal\u0131y\u0131z. 1,3732 deste\u011fine do\u011fru olas\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmeler ise USD call opsiyonlar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilmelidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Ticaret m\u00fczakereleri \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcnce CAD sat\u0131\u015f yedi: USD\/CAD %0,52 art\u0131\u015fla 1,3830\u2019da. %50 tarifeler ve 8 Eyl\u00fcl misillemesi bask\u0131 kuruyor; \u0130ran yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 petrol\u00fc y\u00fckseltirse CAD\u2019\u0131 destekleyebilir. Teknik: 1,3846 diren\u00e7, 1,3732 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53185","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t