WTI, iki seansl\u0131k y\u00fckseli\u015fin ard\u0131ndan gerileyerek Pazartesi Asya i\u015flemlerinde varil ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 84,80 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 beklenen ad\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde k\u00e2r realizasyonuna gitti. ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131, Washington\u2019\u0131n tarihteki \u201cen sert\u201d yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi; \u0130ran sevkiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n aksamas\u0131 halinde bu duru\u015f k\u00fcresel arz\u0131 daha da k\u0131s\u0131tlayabilir. \u00d6te yandan, ABD\u2019nin deniz ablukas\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u00c7inli al\u0131c\u0131lara y\u00f6nelik tekliflerin zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor. Tahran yakla\u015fan \u00f6nlemleri reddederken, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki gerilim s\u00fcr\u00fcyor; g\u00fczerg\u00e2htan ge\u00e7en gemi trafi\u011fi tarihsel ortalamalar\u0131n h\u00e2l\u00e2 belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda.<\/p>\n\n
Piyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 stoklara da kay\u0131yor; dizel stoklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6zellikle s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k oldu\u011fu ifade edilirken bu durum Brent\u2019i destekliyor. Grafiklerde WTI, dokuz periyot ve 50 periyot \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n (EMA) \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken, 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 56,06 seviyesinde bulunuyor ve n\u00f6trden pozitife i\u015faret eden bir momentum g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130lk destek, 83,91 dolardaki dokuz periyot EMA\u2019da; ard\u0131ndan 81,62 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 50 periyot EMA geliyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar olas\u0131 bir d\u00fczeltme geri \u00e7ekilmesinde bu seviyeleri izliyor.<\/p>\n\n
Piyasalar\u0131n \u0130ran petrol ihracat\u0131na y\u00f6nelik \u015fimdiye kadarki en sert ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131yla birlikte, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda WTI ham petrol\u00fcnde volatilitenin artmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Varil ba\u015f\u0131na 85,00 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli sarkma k\u0131sa vadeli k\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tsa da, daha geni\u015f perspektifte arz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc son derece s\u0131k\u0131 kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. T\u00fcrev piyasa yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, yakla\u015fan bir arz s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na pozisyon almak i\u00e7in kritik teknik destek seviyelerini dikkate alarak geri \u00e7ekilmeleri al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirmesi \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
Tarihsel olarak Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki deniz gerilimleri ve yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, 2019 sonundaki arz \u015foklar\u0131na benzer \u015fekilde sert risk primleri yaratm\u0131\u015f ve fiyatlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131na neden olmu\u015ftu. Mevcut sevkiyat verileri, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan gemi ge\u00e7i\u015flerinin be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalamas\u0131na k\u0131yasla y\u00fczde 20\u2019nin \u00fczerinde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret ediyor. ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent\u2019in \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n tamamen ekonomik izolasyonu y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00e7izgisi ile bu kritik bo\u011fazda tanker say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n daha da azalmas\u0131 olas\u0131; bu da k\u00fcresel fiyatlar i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n\n
Bu \u00fcr\u00fcnler h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda kritik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyelerde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden, haftal\u0131k distilat ve dizel stok raporlar\u0131n\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Nitekim son enerji verileri, k\u00fcresel dizel stoklar\u0131n\u0131n mevsimsel be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 7 alt\u0131nda oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor; bu da rafineri kaynakl\u0131 aksakl\u0131klara kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ok s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir tampon b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ani d\u00fczenleyici ya da jeopolitik de\u011fi\u015fimlere kar\u015f\u0131 korunurken yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli yakalamak i\u00e7in bo\u011fa al\u0131m spreadleri (bull call spread) gibi opsiyon stratejilerinden yararlanabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde gerilim t\u0131rman\u0131yor: WTI 84,80 dolara \u00e7ekildi. K\u00e2r sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 \u00f6nde, ancak ABD\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019a \u201cen sert\u201d yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019de azalan tanker trafi\u011fi arz riskini b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor. Stok s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Brent\u2019i destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49959,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53157","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t