AUD\/USD haftay\u0131 daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kapatt\u0131; ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n getiri e\u011frisinin uzun vadeli k\u0131sm\u0131na y\u00f6nelik tahvil geri al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 duyurmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n gerilemesiyle parite cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,82\u2019nin \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselirken, haftal\u0131k bazda %1,20\u2019yi a\u015fan art\u0131\u015f kaydetti. Parite 0,7067 civar\u0131ndan toparlanarak 0,7170 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, 4 Haziran\u2019daki g\u00fcnl\u00fck zirve olan 0,7149\u2019un \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 yak\u0131n vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc yap\u0131c\u0131 tuttu.<\/p>\n
Teknik tarafta, paritenin 0,7969\u2019daki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 yeniden kazanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinin devam etti\u011fi ifade edilirken, RSI da y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumuna i\u015faret ediyor. \u0130lk diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi 29 May\u0131s zirvesi olan 0,7200; buran\u0131n a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana (YTD) zirve olan 0,7227\u2019yi g\u00fcndeme getirebilir ve sonras\u0131nda 0,7300 seviyesi izlenebilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise 0,7100 alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir sarkma, dikkati yeniden 0,7069 civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya ve ard\u0131ndan 0,6999\u2019daki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya \u00e7evirebilir. Daha geni\u015f \u00f6l\u00e7ekte \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan AUD belirleyicileri aras\u0131nda RBA politikas\u0131, \u00c7in\u2019in b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, demir cevheri (2021\u2019de y\u0131ll\u0131k 118 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde) ve %2\u20133 enflasyon hedefi yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda AUD\/USD paritesinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun devam\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Parite k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce 0,7149\u2019daki kritik diren\u00e7 seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 ve h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda 0,7170 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimi s\u00fcrerse, fiyat\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde 0,7200 seviyesini test etmesini ve ard\u0131ndan y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan bu yana zirve olan 0,7227\u2019yi hedeflemesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
Bu iyimser g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, Fed ile Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131 (RBA) aras\u0131ndaki faiz fark\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131yla g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor. ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131 (Fed) faizleri istikrarl\u0131 \u015fekilde indirirken, RBA yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyonla m\u00fccadele kapsam\u0131nda politika faizini %4,35 ile s\u0131k\u0131 seviyede tutuyor. Bu getiri avantaj\u0131, Avustralya Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazip k\u0131lmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
Buna ek olarak, son veriler Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesinin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seyrini korudu\u011funu ve demir cevheri fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n metrik ton ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde dengelenmesiyle desteklendi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. \u00c7in\u2019in son sanayi te\u015fvik ad\u0131mlar\u0131 da Avustralya kaynaklar\u0131na olan talebi canland\u0131rarak Aussie\u2019nin temel de\u011ferini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi. Bu makroekonomik fakt\u00f6rler, \u015fu anda g\u00f6r\u00fclen teknik k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m i\u00e7in sa\u011flam bir zemin olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Opsiyon ve vadeli i\u015flemler yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, 0,7100 destek e\u015fi\u011finin hemen alt\u0131na koruyucu zarar-kes (stop-loss) yerle\u015ftirerek uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n tercih edilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI), al\u0131m momentumunun h\u00e2l\u00e2 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu ve hen\u00fcz a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine girilmedi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bununla birlikte temkinli olmak gerekiyor; 0,7100\u2019\u00fcn net \u015fekilde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, k\u0131sa vadeli oda\u011f\u0131 0,7069 civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamaya kayd\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Dolar zay\u0131flarken AUD\/USD haftay\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kapatt\u0131: %1,2 y\u00fckseli\u015fle 0,7170\u2019te. 0,7149 \u00fczeri g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm pozitif. 0,7200-0,7227 hedef, 0,7100 alt\u0131 risk. Fed indirimleri-RBA s\u0131k\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve demir cevheri destekliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50028,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t