USD\/CAD, emtiaya ba\u011fl\u0131 CAD\u2019in daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndan destek bulmas\u0131yla Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya saatlerinde 1,3770 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc seansta geriledi. Petrol, Washington\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran ekonomisini k\u0131s\u0131tlamaya y\u00f6nelik yeni ad\u0131mlara i\u015faret etmesinin ard\u0131ndan, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 merkezli t\u0131rmanan ABD-\u0130ran gerilimiyle y\u00fckseldi; resmi detaylar\u0131n Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 bekleniyor. \u00d6nerilen tedbirler; bankalar\u0131, \u015firketleri, gemi sicillerini, nakit transferlerini ve ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131k operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131 hedef alarak Tahran\u2019\u0131 k\u00fcresel ticari ve finansal a\u011flardan koparmay\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
CAD ayr\u0131ca genel \u00e7apta USD zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ABD-Kanada ticaretinde ilerleme i\u015faretleriyle de de\u011fer kazand\u0131. Scotiabank, para birimindeki %0,3\u2019l\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fin maj\u00f6r para birimleri aras\u0131nda NZD\u2019nin ard\u0131ndan ikinci s\u0131rada oldu\u011funu belirtti. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n, ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerinin (\u00f6zellikle uzun vadede) geri al\u0131m program\u0131na ra\u011fmen yeniden y\u00fckselmesi USD\/CAD\u2019de a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u0131n\u0131rlanmas\u0131na neden olabilir; Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent de bor\u00e7 geri al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n ihra\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na 4 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Kanada\u2019da BoC, faiz oranlar\u0131 \u00fczerinden %1-3 enflasyon hedeflemesi y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fcrken, petrol\u00fcn ihracattaki ve d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesindeki rol\u00fc nedeniyle petrol fiyat e\u011filimi temel belirleyici olmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara, paritenin 1,3770 seviyesine yak\u0131n deste\u011fi test etti\u011fi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda USD\/CAD\u2019de k\u0131sa (short) pozisyonlara a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k vermelerini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f e\u011filimi, Kanada Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcn i\u00e7indeki %0,3\u2019l\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fiyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor ve CAD\u2019i bu seansta en iyi performans g\u00f6steren maj\u00f6r para birimlerinden biri haline getiriyor. WTI ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 78-80 dolar band\u0131na yeniden t\u0131rman\u0131rken, emtiaya ba\u011fl\u0131 \u201cLoonie\u201d kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir temel deste\u011fe sahip.<\/p>\n
\u0130zlenmesi gereken ana kataliz\u00f6r, Pazartesi 24 A\u011fustos\u2019ta yap\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenen ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ticari a\u011flar\u0131n\u0131 hedef alan kapsaml\u0131 ekonomik kampanyan\u0131n ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 i\u00e7erecek ABD duyurusu. Bu \u201cekonomik D g\u00fcn\u00fc\u201dn\u00fcn enerji t\u00fcrevlerinde oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na ili\u015fkin tehditlerin \u015fiddetlenmesi halinde ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 daha yukar\u0131 itmesini bekliyoruz. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar yakla\u015fan bu oynakl\u0131ktan, ham petrolde k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n alarak veya CAD fonlamal\u0131 \u00e7apraz d\u00f6viz swaplar\u0131 kullanarak yararlanabilir.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131n temkinli olmak gerekiyor; 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri yakla\u015f\u0131k %3,9 seviyesinde seyrederken y\u00fckselen ABD Hazine getirileri ABD Dolar\u0131 i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir taban olu\u015fturmaya devam ediyor. Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent\u2019in, ihra\u00e7 ba\u015f\u0131na planlanan 4 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde agresif bor\u00e7 geri al\u0131mlar\u0131na i\u015faret etmesi getiri e\u011frisini dikle\u015ftirerek dolarda ani ralli riskini art\u0131rabilir. Bu nedenle, tahvil piyasas\u0131 dalgalanmalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 korunurken a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc yakalamak i\u00e7in USD\/CAD\u2019de ay\u0131 tipi put spread gibi s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli stratejilerin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Kanada taraf\u0131nda ABD-Kanada ticaret m\u00fczakerelerinde istikrarl\u0131 ilerleme, Loonie\u2019nin dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aktif bi\u00e7imde destekliyor. Kanada\u2019n\u0131n ham petrol ihracat\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret dengesinin kritik bir aya\u011f\u0131 olmaya devam ederken, yerel para birimi g\u00f6rece daha iyi performans g\u00f6stermeye uygun bir zeminde. USD\/CAD\u2019de k\u0131sa pozisyonlar i\u00e7in giri\u015f seviyelerini daha hassas belirlemek ad\u0131na yakla\u015fan Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131 faiz y\u00f6nlendirmesi ile ABD imalat verilerinin yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrol rallisi CAD\u2019i destekledi, USD\/CAD Asya\u2019da 1,3770\u2019e gerileyerek \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc yapt\u0131. \u0130ran yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 beklentisi ve USD zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 bask\u0131 kurarken, y\u00fckselen ABD tahvil getirileri a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rlayabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53074","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t