Sterlin, Kuzey Amerika seans\u0131nda y\u00fckseli\u015f kaydetti; GBP %0,25 artarken GBP\/USD 1,3639 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve 1,3659\u2019a dokunarak \u015eubat\u2019tan bu yana en y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Dolar, ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u2019n\u0131n uzun vadeli tahvil piyasas\u0131nda likiditeyi art\u0131rmaya y\u00f6nelik bir tahvil geri al\u0131m program\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yatay seyretti; baz\u0131 piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 bu ad\u0131m\u0131 Getiri E\u011frisi Kontrol\u00fc (YCC) olarak yorumlad\u0131. Dolar Endeksi (DXY), 14 May\u0131s\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen 2,5 ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 98,55\u2019e geriledikten sonra 98,79\u2019da tutundu. ABD\u2019de 15 A\u011fustos ile biten haftaya ili\u015fkin ilk i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131 212 binden 206 bine gerilerken, d\u00f6rt haftal\u0131k ortalama 199,75 binden 204 bine y\u00fckseldi.<\/p>\n
Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta Temmuz enflasyonu d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131karak, 2026\u2019da \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BOE) para politikas\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerini g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tuttu; Prime Terminal\u2019e g\u00f6re fiyatlamalar Aral\u0131k toplant\u0131s\u0131na kadar 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret ediyor. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131, t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131nda yava\u015flamaya i\u015faret etmesi beklenen Temmuz UK Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 verisine ve hem UK hem de ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanacak S&P Global \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI\u2019lar\u0131na \u00e7evrildi. Teknik olarak GBP\/USD, 1,3499\u20131,3409 band\u0131n\u0131n ve 1,3390 civar\u0131ndaki 50\/100\/200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA k\u00fcmelenmesinin \u00fczerinde destekli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc koruyor; trend \u00e7izgisi seviyeleri 1,3609 ve 1,3366 olarak belirtilirken RSI (14) 70,49 seviyesinde.<\/p>\n
Sterlinin 1,3639 ile \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k zirveye s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131yla, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n GBP\/USD paritesinde artan volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareket, d\u00f6rt ay\u0131n zirvesine \u00e7\u0131kan son UK enflasyon verisiyle destekleniyor ve Aral\u0131k ay\u0131na kadar BOE\u2019nin faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerini peki\u015ftiriyor. Tarihsel olarak UK ve ABD faiz beklentileri aras\u0131ndaki fark a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Sterlinin \u00e7ok haftal\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 ralli e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcr.<\/p>\n
Bununla birlikte g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 70,49\u2019a uzand\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in paritenin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine girmekte oldu\u011funu ve k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir soluklanmaya a\u00e7\u0131k hale geldi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu riski y\u00f6netmek ad\u0131na opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bu zirve seviyelerde pahal\u0131 \u201coutright\u201d al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelmekten ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekir. Bunun yerine, ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken genel y\u00fckseli\u015f trendinde pozisyon almaya imk\u00e2n veren bo\u011fa call spread stratejisini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
K\u0131sa vadeli bir geri \u00e7ekilme ya\u015fanmas\u0131 halinde, 1,3409 ile 1,3499 aras\u0131ndaki kritik destek k\u00fcmelenmesini uzun y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar i\u00e7in ideal giri\u015f b\u00f6lgesi olarak hedeflemeliyiz. Bu b\u00f6lge, b\u00fcy\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamalar taraf\u0131ndan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor ve tarihsel olarak y\u00fckseli\u015f d\u00f6ng\u00fclerinde sa\u011flam tabanlar olu\u015fturuyor. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 bu seviyeler civar\u0131nda teminatl\u0131 put yazabilir veya bo\u011fa put spread kurarak prim geliri elde edebilir.<\/p>\n
Ayr\u0131ca yakla\u015fan makroekonomik tetikleyicilere, \u00f6zellikle S&P Global \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI\u2019lar\u0131na ve UK perakende sat\u0131\u015f verisine kar\u015f\u0131 dikkatli olmal\u0131y\u0131z. Zay\u0131f bir perakende sat\u0131\u015f verisi, faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerini ge\u00e7ici olarak so\u011futarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte daha ucuz Sterlin call opsiyonlar\u0131 almak i\u00e7in iyi bir f\u0131rsat sunabilir. \u00d6te yandan Dolar Endeksi 98,55 civar\u0131ndaki son dip seviyesine yak\u0131n seyrederken, bu seviyenin alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lma Sterlin kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin, Temmuz enflasyonunun BOE\u2019de faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerini canl\u0131 tutmas\u0131yla 1,3659\u2019a t\u0131rmand\u0131. Dolar yatay. RSI a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131ma i\u015faret ederken, opsiyonda bo\u011fa spread ve destek b\u00f6lgesi 1,3409\u20131,3499 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49973,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53059","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t