WTI, per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc %1,89 y\u00fckselerek yakla\u015f\u0131k 85,85 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde daha \u00f6nce \u00fc\u00e7 haftan\u0131n zirvesi olan 87,38 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, s\u00fcrmekte olan arz kesintisi riskleri ile Washington ile Tahran aras\u0131nda diplomatik bir at\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n gelmemesini tartt\u0131. Dikkat, birlikte k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %27\u2019sini ta\u015f\u0131yan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ile Bab el-Mendeb Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7i\u015fte olas\u0131 sevkiyat k\u0131s\u0131tlar\u0131na odaklan\u0131rken, bu unsurlar ham petrolde risk priminin korunmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan WTI, bir saatlik grafikte 85,81 dolar civar\u0131nda fiyatland\u0131; 83,52 dolardaki 100-periyot SMA\u2019n\u0131n ve 82,26 dolardaki 200-periyot SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutundu. Yak\u0131n destek seviyeleri 85,65 dolar ve 85,00 dolar olarak i\u015faretlenirken, RSI (14) yakla\u015f\u0131k 57 seviyesinde seyretti. Daha derin a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seviyeler 83,70 dolar olarak belirlenirken, diren\u00e7 87,38 dolarda bulunuyor. Raporda teknik analizin bir yapay zek\u00e2 arac\u0131 deste\u011fiyle \u00fcretildi\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n, kritik darbo\u011fazlar \u00e7evresinde jeopolitik riskler yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131rken, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda WTI ham petrol\u00fcnde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrmesine haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 pozisyonlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. WTI\u2019nin \u00fc\u00e7 haftan\u0131n zirvesi olan 87,38 dolar\u0131 g\u00f6rd\u00fckten sonra h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda 85,85 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesi, piyasan\u0131n kayda de\u011fer bir risk primi fiyatlad\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, 87,38 dolardaki diren\u00e7 seviyesinin olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131ndan faydalanmak ve s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk almamak i\u00e7in uzun al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 veya bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019lerini (bull call spread) de\u011ferlendirmeli.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcm\u00fcz, birlikte d\u00fcnyan\u0131n g\u00fcnl\u00fck enerji transitinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %27\u2019sini kontrol eden H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve Bab el-Mendeb Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019nda kesinti tehdidiyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u015fekilde destekleniyor. Tarihsel olarak bu su yollar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck tehditler dahi, 2019\u2019daki jeopolitik \u015foklara benzer bi\u00e7imde, h\u0131zl\u0131 fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131n\u0131 tetikledi ve ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 tek bir g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k %20 yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. K\u00fcresel petrol talebinin g\u00fcnl\u00fck 104 milyon varilin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karak rekor seviyeye ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n beklendi\u011fi dikkate al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, uzayan darbo\u011fazlar zaten s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k olan k\u00fcresel stoklar\u0131 h\u0131zla eritecektir.<\/p>\n
Trump y\u00f6netiminden kaynaklanan artan ekonomik bask\u0131y\u0131 da hesaba katmak gerekiyor; y\u00f6netim, \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n petrol ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve finansal swap hatlar\u0131n\u0131 aktif bi\u00e7imde hedef al\u0131yor. Bu agresif duru\u015f, yak\u0131n vadede diplomatik bir at\u0131l\u0131m olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olduk\u00e7a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck k\u0131larak arz beklentilerini s\u0131k\u0131 tutuyor. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, Umman ve Katar\u2019\u0131n ev sahipli\u011finde s\u00fcren arabuluculuk g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri gibi beklenmedik bir diplomatik ilerleme ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131, ani politika duyurular\u0131n\u0131 izlemeli ve k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli hedge arac\u0131 olarak kullanmal\u0131.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, WTI 83,52 dolardaki 100-periyot ve 82,26 dolardaki 200-periyot hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir koruma g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Fiyat\u0131n 85,65 dolar veya 85,00 dolardaki ilk desteklere do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmesi halinde, bunlar\u0131 uzun pozisyon a\u00e7mak i\u00e7in cazip giri\u015f noktalar\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendiriyoruz. 83,50 dolar seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131na stop-loss koymak, bir sonraki ana diren\u00e7 hedeflerine do\u011fru kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket beklenirken risk y\u00f6netimine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde tansiyon y\u00fckseldi: WTI %1,89 art\u0131\u015fla 85,85 dolarda; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2013Bab el-Mendeb risk primi canl\u0131. Teknikte 83,52\/82,26 \u00fcst\u00fc pozitif, 87,38 diren\u00e7; opsiyonla yukar\u0131 oynakl\u0131k.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49979,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53056","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t