Bitcoin ve alt\u0131n \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseldi; BTC 65.000 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken, XAU\/USD k\u0131sa vadede 4.500 dolarl\u0131k kritik e\u015fi\u011fe do\u011fru t\u0131rmand\u0131. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda, Temmuz FOMC toplant\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin tutanaklar\u0131n Fed taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanmas\u0131 vard\u0131; s\u00f6z konusu toplant\u0131da \u00fc\u00e7 kar\u015f\u0131 oy faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 desteklemi\u015fti. Temmuz\u2019da politika faizi %3,5-%3,75 band\u0131nda sabit tutulurken, Fed %2 enflasyon hedefine odaklanmay\u0131 yineledi ve Eyl\u00fcl i\u00e7in ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma ihtimalini masada b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik geli\u015fmeler de fiyatlamalar\u0131 etkiledi. BAE\u2019nin, deniz seyr\u00fcseferini hedef alan ancak denize d\u00fc\u015fen iki balistik f\u00fczenin ard\u0131ndan \u0130ran ile ticareti \u201cikinci bir duyuruya kadar\u201d durdurdu\u011fu bildirildi. ABD\u2019de Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, \u0130ran ile devam eden ya da planlanan bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi; Haziran\u2019da imzalanan mutabakat zapt\u0131n\u0131n (MoU) ise Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc sona erdi\u011fi belirtildi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapal\u0131 kalmas\u0131yla petrol y\u00fcksek seyrini korudu; WTI 84 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde kald\u0131. Teknik tarafta BTC, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 64.402 dolar\u0131n ve 63.002 dolar civar\u0131ndaki trend \u00e7izgisi deste\u011finin \u00fczerinde tutunurken; 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA (66.353 dolar) ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA (71.521 dolar) alt\u0131nda bask\u0131land\u0131. RSI 57 seviyesinde, MACD pozitifti. Alt\u0131n ise 50, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019lar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; 4.255 dolar civar\u0131nda destek ve 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 4.248 dolar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. RSI 65\u2019e yak\u0131nd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik tansiyon y\u00fckselirken, alt\u0131n yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadede konsolidasyona haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 ancak uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filimini korumas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. XAU\/USD\u2019nin tarihi 4.500 dolar seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti\u011fi bu ortamda, t\u00fcrev \u00fcr\u00fcn yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na y\u00fckseli\u015f potansiyelini yakalarken riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in bull call spread stratejisini \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel veriler, ge\u00e7mi\u015f jeopolitik krizlerde alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde %10\u2019un \u00fczerinde s\u0131\u00e7rayabildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor; bu da 4.255 dolar destek seviyesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda \u201cd\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte al\u0131m\u201d yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 destekliyor.<\/p>\n
Bitcoin taraf\u0131nda ise 65.000 dolar civar\u0131ndaki direncin test edildi\u011fi mevcut g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde daha temkinli, bant hareketine uygun bir t\u00fcrev stratejisi benimsenmeli. BTC 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, iron condor kurulumlar\u0131 bu s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k i\u015flem aral\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan faydalanmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir. Ancak g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n kritik 66.353 dolar direncinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmeden agresif long call opsiyonlar\u0131na ge\u00e7i\u015f yap\u0131lmamal\u0131.<\/p>\n
Yakla\u015fan FOMC tutanaklar\u0131, \u00f6zellikle H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki ticaret aksamalar\u0131 nedeniyle ham petrol\u00fcn 84 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde seyretti\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde, piyasalarda ani dalgalanmalara yol a\u00e7abilir. Bu volatiliteye kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in, hem alt\u0131n hem de Bitcoin\u2019de straddle al\u0131mlar\u0131yla fiyat\u0131n her iki y\u00f6nde sert hareketinden faydalan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Son piyasa istatistikleri, \u015fahin tondaki Fed toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131mlanmas\u0131n\u0131 takiben varl\u0131k volatilitesinin genellikle ilk etapta %15 civar\u0131nda artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Orta Do\u011fu gerilimi ve \u015fahin Fed tutanaklar\u0131 g\u00f6lgesinde Bitcoin 65 bin dolarda, alt\u0131n 4.500 e\u015fi\u011fine yak\u0131n. Petrol 84 dolar \u00fcst\u00fcnde. Strateji: alt\u0131nda bull call spread\/straddle, BTC\u2019de iron condor; 66.353 \u00fczeri izleniyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49965,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53006","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t