{"id":52992,"date":"2026-08-19T14:28:05","date_gmt":"2026-08-19T14:28:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/hurmuz-bogazinin-kapanmasiyla-petrol-sicradi-dolar-ve-altin-gerilerken-yatirimcilar-fed-tutanaklarini-bekliyor\/"},"modified":"2026-08-19T14:28:05","modified_gmt":"2026-08-19T14:28:05","slug":"hurmuz-bogazinin-kapanmasiyla-petrol-sicradi-dolar-ve-altin-gerilerken-yatirimcilar-fed-tutanaklarini-bekliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/hurmuz-bogazinin-kapanmasiyla-petrol-sicradi-dolar-ve-altin-gerilerken-yatirimcilar-fed-tutanaklarini-bekliyor\/","title":{"rendered":"H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131yla petrol s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131; dolar ve alt\u0131n gerilerken yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar Fed tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Eyl\u00fcl 2026 USD 99,300 seviyesine gerilerken, Eyl\u00fcl 2026 ham petrol 84,90\u2019a y\u00fckseldi. Faiz taraf\u0131nda, Eyl\u00fcl 2026 vadeli 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k T-Bond 108,24\u2019te 3 tick art\u0131da. Hisse endeksi vadeli i\u015flemlerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm zay\u0131flad\u0131; Haziran 2026 S&P 500 E-mini (ES) 8 tick d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 7712,00\u2019a inerken, A\u011fustos 2026 alt\u0131n 4415,70\u2019e geriledi. Asya piyasalar\u0131 Hindistan Sensex hari\u00e7 y\u00fckselirken, Avrupa piyasalar\u0131 genel olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fteydi; Milano ise s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 art\u0131dayd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan saatler, aksi halde zay\u0131f bir makro takvim e\u015fli\u011finde, ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131 (10:30 EST) ve FOMC toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131 (14:00 EST) olarak i\u015faretlendi. Notta ayr\u0131ca 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine tahvili vadeli i\u015flemleri (ZT) ile Dow vadeli kontrat\u0131 (YM) aras\u0131nda g\u00f6zlenen ters y\u00f6nl\u00fc ili\u015fkiye dikkat \u00e7ekildi; 8:35 EST civar\u0131nda ZT y\u00fckselirken Dow\u2019un d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fc, 8:30 EST civar\u0131nda ise ZT d\u00fc\u015ferken Dow\u2019un y\u00fckseldi\u011fi hareketlere at\u0131f yap\u0131ld\u0131. 15 dakikal\u0131k grafikler \u00fczerinden ZT\u2019deki hareketin kontrat ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 12+ tick sundu\u011fu, tick ba\u015f\u0131na de\u011ferin 6,25 dolar oldu\u011fu ve ZT yak\u0131n vadenin Eyl\u00fcl 2026 olarak belirlendi\u011fi ifade edildi.<\/p>\n

Al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k Piyasa \u0130li\u015fkileri ve Enerji Oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/h3>\n

Bug\u00fcn, b\u00fcy\u00fck varl\u0131klar aras\u0131ndaki tipik ili\u015fkilerin bozuldu\u011fu, son derece s\u0131ra d\u0131\u015f\u0131 piyasa davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. ABD dolar endeksi 99,300 ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fte olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, alt\u0131n \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 bi\u00e7imde 4415,70\u2019e gerileyerek geleneksel ters korelasyonunu bozdu. Bu s\u0131rada S&P 500 e-mini kontrat\u0131 7712,00\u2019a gerileyerek, hisse piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n \u015fimdilik daha fazla y\u00fckseli\u015fe diren\u00e7 g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini teyit ediyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda izlenmesi gereken en b\u00fcy\u00fck unsur enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc; zira H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n kapat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ham petrol 84,90\u2019a t\u0131rmand\u0131. D\u00fcnya petrol s\u0131v\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %20\u2019si bu kritik bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7ti\u011fi i\u00e7in, kapanmay\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6zmeye y\u00f6nelik takvimlenmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler bulunmamas\u0131 halinde petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Bu deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 aksamalar\u0131 k\u00fcresel tedarik zincirlerini etkilemeye ba\u015flad\u0131k\u00e7a, yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n enerji ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 t\u00fcrevlerde ani dalgalanmalara haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Makro Geli\u015fmeler, \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri ve Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n

Bug\u00fcn yay\u0131mlanacak FOMC toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131n\u0131n hem dolar hem de Hazine tahvillerinde sert hareketleri tetiklemesi muhtemel. 30 y\u0131ll\u0131k T-Bond 108,24\u2019e tick baz\u0131nda y\u00fckselmi\u015f olsa da, bu hareket d\u00fc\u015fen dolar ile \u00e7eli\u015ferek tahvil yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 ekonomik belirsizli\u011fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunma (hedge) aray\u0131\u015f\u0131nda oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. Piyasan\u0131n Fed\u2019in i\u00e7 tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na nas\u0131l tepki verdi\u011fini g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in faiz vadeli i\u015flemlerinin yak\u0131ndan izlenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k ve n\u00f6tr piyasa e\u011filiminin \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu haftalarda, k\u0131sa vadeli Hazineler ile hisse endeksleri aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6rece g\u00fcvenilir ters korelasyona odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. \u00d6rne\u011fin, 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k Hazine tahvilinin Dow\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 i\u015flemlenmesi, son d\u00f6nemde bir varl\u0131k d\u00fc\u015ferken di\u011ferinin y\u00fckseldi\u011fi anlarda k\u0131sa vadede iyi f\u0131rsatlar sundu. 15 dakikal\u0131k mum grafiklerini izlemek, kontrat ba\u015f\u0131na 12 veya daha fazla tick d\u00fczeyinde h\u0131zl\u0131 ve istikrarl\u0131 kazan\u00e7lar yakalaman\u0131za yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n

Bu denli par\u00e7al\u0131 bir piyasada yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n esnek kalmas\u0131 ve kat\u0131 pozisyonlar\u0131 uzun s\u00fcre ta\u015f\u0131maktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bug\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Ham Petrol Stoklar\u0131 gibi \u00f6nemli verilerle birlikte, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i h\u0131zl\u0131 y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fimi riski ola\u011fan\u00fcst\u00fc derecede y\u00fcksek kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Daha net ve daha y\u00fcksek korelasyonlu bir piyasa trendi olu\u015fana kadar, pozisyon boyutlar\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 ve k\u0131sa vadeli kurulumlara odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Piyasalarda ters k\u00f6\u015fe: DXY 99,300\u2019e inerken alt\u0131n da d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, ES 7712\u2019ye geriledi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz sonras\u0131 petrol 84,90\u2019da oynak. G\u00f6zler stoklar ve FOMC tutanaklar\u0131nda; ZT-Dow ters korelasyonu \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50030,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52992","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t