EUR\/JPY, y\u00fckseli\u015fini ikinci seansa ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131 ancak Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc al\u0131mlar, fiyat\u0131n 184,70 civar\u0131nda katmanl\u0131 diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131yla ivme kaybetti. \u00c7apraz, piyasan\u0131n 185,00 b\u00f6lgesinin alt\u0131nda teredd\u00fct etmesiyle 184,69 civar\u0131nda\u2014184,69\u2019luk a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f seviyesine yak\u0131n\u2014neredeyse de\u011fi\u015fmeden kapanmaya haz\u0131rlan\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan EUR\/JPY, 184,72\/73 civar\u0131nda 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n (SMA) olu\u015fturdu\u011fu bir kesi\u015fim b\u00f6lgesini zorluyor. 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA spotun alt\u0131nda 184,05\u2019te bulunurken, k\u0131sa vadeli SMA k\u00fcmesinin \u00fczerinde net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma 185,00 seviyesini, ard\u0131ndan 29 Temmuz zirvesi olan 187,47\u2019deki bir sonraki d\u00f6ng\u00fc tepesini g\u00fcndeme getirebilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde ilk destek 184,05\u2019teki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019da g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir hareket oda\u011f\u0131 6 May\u0131s\u2019taki sal\u0131n\u0131m dibi 182,05\u2019e, ard\u0131ndan 3 A\u011fustos dibi 179,37\u2019ye \u00e7evirebilir.<\/p>\n
\u015eu anda EUR\/JPY paritesini, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamalardan gelen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya oldu\u011fu kritik 184,70 seviyesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda konsolide olurken yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. Bu konsolidasyon, Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) tarihi s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc bir d\u00f6neme denk geliyor; piyasa fiyatlamas\u0131 2026 sonuna kadar bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 daha gelme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %60 olarak yans\u0131t\u0131yor. Ayn\u0131 zamanda Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) faiz indirimleri getiri fark\u0131n\u0131 daraltt\u0131; bu da s\u00f6z konusu teknik s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131 bir sonraki hamlelerimiz a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan son derece kritik hale getiriyor.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f\u0131n 184,73 \u00fczerinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcrsek, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara 185,00\u2019\u0131 ve ard\u0131ndan temmuz sonu zirvesi 187,47\u2019yi hedefleyen k\u0131sa vadeli call opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, \u00e7ift hareketli ortalama \u00fczerindeki k\u0131r\u0131lmalar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir momentum \u00fcretir; bunu, pe\u015fin prim maliyetini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in call spread\u2019leriyle de\u011ferlendirebiliriz. Yakla\u015f\u0131k %10,2 seviyesindeki mevcut ima edilen volatilite, bu uzun-volatilite stratejilerini g\u00f6rece ucuz ve ani bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc s\u0131\u00e7ramay\u0131 yakalamak a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Di\u011fer taraftan, diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131r ve fiyat 184,05\u2019teki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na gerilerse, h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde put opsiyonlar\u0131na ge\u00e7memiz gerekir. Bu deste\u011fin alt\u0131ndaki bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, pariteyi h\u0131zla may\u0131s dibi 182,05\u2019e ve potansiyel olarak 179,37\u2019ye kadar itebilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc put\u2019lar\u0131 kullanarak, do\u011frudan a\u00e7\u0131\u011fa sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z riskini \u00fcstlenmeden uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmesinden (unwind) faydalanabiliriz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" EUR\/JPY 184,70\u2019te kritik kav\u015fakta: 50-100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA direnci al\u0131mlar\u0131 durdurdu. 184,73 \u00fcst\u00fc kapan\u0131\u015f 185,00\/187,47 hedefli call\u2019lar\u0131, 184,05 alt\u0131 182,05\/179,37 odakl\u0131 put\u2019lar\u0131 tetikler. BoJ s\u0131k\u0131, ECB indirimleri etkili.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50086,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52969","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t