Equinor ASA (NYSE: EQNR), Mart 2020\u2019deki dip seviyesinden toparlanarak, yakla\u015f\u0131k 6 dolar civar\u0131ndaki zirvesi sonras\u0131 ba\u015flayan uzun zay\u0131fl\u0131k d\u00f6neminin ard\u0131ndan yeni t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine y\u00fckseldi. \u015eirket, offshore petrol ve gazda \u00f6nemli bir \u00fcretici olmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcrken; offshore r\u00fczg\u00e2r, karbon yakalama ve di\u011fer d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck karbonlu projelere de geni\u015fleyerek, hisseyi daha \u00e7e\u015fitlendirilmi\u015f bir enerji maruziyeti olarak konumland\u0131r\u0131yor. Y\u00fckseli\u015f, k\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131ndaki daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 toparlanman\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak \u00e7er\u00e7eveleniyor; teknik analiz ise Elliott Wave formasyonlar\u0131 etraf\u0131nda \u015fekilleniyor.<\/p>\n
Haftal\u0131k Elliott Wave g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcnde, be\u015f dalgal\u0131 bir impuls hareket Wave (I)\u2019i tamamlad\u0131ktan sonra, May\u0131s 2008\u2019den Mart 2020\u2019ye uzanan \u00fc\u00e7 dalgal\u0131 bir d\u00fczeltme ya\u015fand\u0131. Yakla\u015f\u0131k 12 y\u0131l s\u00fcren bu d\u00f6nem, \u00f6nceki kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n %80\u2019inden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 geri ald\u0131 ve Wave (II)\u2019yi bitirdi. Mart 2020\u2019den itibaren ba\u015flayan y\u00fckseli\u015f Wave (III) olarak etiketleniyor; (III) i\u00e7indeki Wave I\u2019in ard\u0131ndan, Nisan 2025\u2019e kadar s\u00fcren 32 ayl\u0131k bir \u00e7ift zigzag d\u00fczeltme Wave II of (III) olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. Sonras\u0131nda fiyat\u0131n III i\u00e7indeki Wave ((1))\u2019de y\u00fckseldi\u011fi belirtiliyor; Fibonacci projeksiyonlar\u0131 Wave III hedefini yakla\u015f\u0131k 68\u201376 dolar band\u0131na yerle\u015ftiriyor. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte ise Wave ((2))\u2019nin 32,61\u201326,97 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na kadar d\u00fczeltme yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131, ard\u0131ndan hissenin Wave (1) of ((3)) i\u00e7inde yeniden yukar\u0131 d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ifade ediliyor.<\/p>\n
A\u011fustos ay\u0131nda Equinor\u2019un (EQNR) dikkat \u00e7ekici bir dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k sergiledi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bunda istikrarl\u0131 Avrupa gaz talebi ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck 2 milyon varil petrol e\u015fde\u011ferini a\u015fan g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc \u00fcretim ortalamas\u0131 etkili. \u015eirketin son a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131\u011f\u0131 2\u00c7 2026 finansal sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, s\u00fcregelen \u00e7ok milyar dolarl\u0131k hisse geri al\u0131m program\u0131n\u0131 destekleyen g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc nakit ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131na i\u015faret etti. Bu sa\u011flam temel zemin, takip etti\u011fimiz uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc teknik kurulumla (bullish setup) g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
EQNR\u2019nin son d\u00f6nemde k\u0131r\u0131lma (breakout) yaparak yeni zirveleri test etmesiyle, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n bu anl\u0131k yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu kovalamamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bunun yerine, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda \u201csa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131\u201d bir d\u00fczeltme geri \u00e7ekilmesine haz\u0131rl\u0131k yapmak daha do\u011fru hamle olacakt\u0131r; tipik dalga formasyonlar\u0131 bunun yak\u0131n olabilece\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. Hisse 30\u201332 dolar destek band\u0131na do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilirse giri\u015f noktalar\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in nakit teminatl\u0131 put yaz\u0131m\u0131 (cash-secured puts) veya bo\u011fa put spread (bull put spread) gibi opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Tarihsel olarak, enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131 konsolidasyon evreleri sonras\u0131nda gelen k\u0131r\u0131lmalar\u2014Equinor\u2019un 2020 diplerinden bu yana toparlanmas\u0131na benzer \u015fekilde\u2014izleyen \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc dalga geni\u015flemelerinde (third-wave expansions) \u00e7o\u011fu zaman sert kazan\u00e7lara zemin haz\u0131rlar. Tarihsel e\u011filimler tekrar ederse, EQNR uzun vadede 68\u201376 dolar band\u0131n\u0131 hedefleme potansiyeline sahip. Bir sonraki piyasa geri \u00e7ekilmesinde daha uzun vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (LEAPs) ile pozisyonlanmak, k\u0131sa vadeli riski y\u00f6netirken bu anlaml\u0131 yukar\u0131 potansiyeli yakalamam\u0131z\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Enerji devinde yeni zirve: Equinor (EQNR) 2020 diplerinden sonra ivmeyi b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor. Elliott Wave, 68\u201376$ hedefi veriyor; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc nakit ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 geri al\u0131mlar\u0131 destekliyor. 30\u201332$ d\u00fczeltmede opsiyonla pozisyonlanma \u00f6neriliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49979,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52952","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t