EUR\/JPY paritesi, sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131nda 184,80 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc seansta y\u00fckseli\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte \u00e7apraz kur, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131na ve olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne i\u015faret eden bir formasyon olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclen y\u00fckselen takozun i\u00e7inde kalmaya devam ediyor. Buna ra\u011fmen fiyat hareketi 50 periyotluk ve dokuz periyotluk \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131n (EMA) \u00fczerinde tutunarak k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc desteklerken, 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 52,89 civar\u0131nda, hafif pozitif e\u011filimle n\u00f6tr b\u00f6lgede bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Destek, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA\u2019n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 184,52 seviyesinde yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131rken, y\u00fckselen takozun alt band\u0131 olan 184,60 civar\u0131 ve dokuz g\u00fcnl\u00fck EMA olan 184,03 seviyesi de bu b\u00f6lgeye e\u015flik ediyor. Bu kesi\u015fim alan\u0131n\u0131n net bi\u00e7imde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 yeniden g\u00fcndeme getirerek 3 A\u011fustos\u2019ta g\u00f6r\u00fclen 179,37 ile i\u015faretlenen sekiz ay\u0131n dip seviyesini tekrar odak noktas\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Diren\u00e7 ise takozun \u00fcst band\u0131 olan 186,10 civar\u0131nda izleniyor; bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket, 17 Nisan\u2019da kaydedilen 187,95 rekor zirvesinin yeniden test edilmesine alan a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckselen takoz formasyonunun, d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck rallinin yak\u0131nda ivme kaybedebilece\u011fine i\u015faret etmesi nedeniyle EUR\/JPY paritesinin 184,80 \u00e7evresindeki s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan takip etmek gerekiyor. Bu teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm genellikle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f uyar\u0131s\u0131 \u00fcretir; bu da Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) ilave faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na gidebilece\u011fine ili\u015fkin son piyasa beklentileriyle \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor. Bu \u00e7er\u00e7evede, olas\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak isteyen t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
\u0130zlenmesi gereken kritik b\u00f6lge, hem 9 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hem de 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalamalar\u0131 bar\u0131nd\u0131ran 184,03\u2013184,60 destek band\u0131. Fiyat\u0131n bu aral\u0131\u011f\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131, daha \u00f6nce y\u00fcksek i\u015flem hacimlerinin g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc 3 A\u011fustos dip seviyesi olan 179,37\u2019ye do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir gerilemeyi tetikleyebilir. Bu k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 bekleyenler i\u00e7in bear put spread stratejileri, prim maliyetlerini s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutarken d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir.<\/p>\n
Alternatif senaryoda, 186,10\u2019daki takoz direncinin \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir hareket, pariteyi 17 Nisan zirvesi olan 187,95\u2019e yeniden ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Ancak Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde i\u015f g\u00fcveninin zay\u0131f seyretmesi ve Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) faizleri daha da gev\u015fetmesinin beklenmesi, kal\u0131c\u0131 bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun korunmas\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rabilir. Bu nedenle, ge\u00e7ici bir k\u0131r\u0131lma ya\u015fansa bile do\u011frudan uzun pozisyonlar yerine riski s\u0131n\u0131rlayan yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f opsiyon stratejilerini tercih ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Dikkat: EUR\/JPY 184,80\u2019de 4. seans y\u00fckseli\u015fte; y\u00fckselen takoz olas\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret. 184,03\u2013184,60 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 179,37 hedeflenebilir. 186,10 a\u015f\u0131l\u0131rsa 187,95 g\u00fcndemde; put\/bear spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50038,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52926","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t