Euro, enerji kaynakl\u0131 olumsuzluklar ve kurakl\u0131k ko\u015fullar\u0131na ra\u011fmen Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisinin dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret eden sinyallerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra ABD\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 getiri farklar\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131n\u0131n EUR\/USD\u2019ye destek vermesiyle y\u00fckseli\u015fini \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc haftaya ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Faiz farklar\u0131ndaki yeniden fiyatlama en belirgin \u015fekilde k\u0131sa vadede g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc: 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k spread bu sabah \u2013136 baz puana s\u0131k\u0131\u015farak May\u0131s\u2019tan bu yana ABD tahvil getirisi avantaj\u0131n\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine i\u015faret etti; buna kar\u015f\u0131n dolar genel tabloda h\u00e2l\u00e2 bir getiri fark\u0131n\u0131 koruyor.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan k\u0131sa vadeli sinyaller yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc i\u015faret ederken, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck momentum \u201cy\u00fckseli\u015f\u201d olarak tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor; haftal\u0131k g\u00f6stergeler ise pozitife d\u00f6nmeye yak\u0131n. 1,1625\/50 b\u00f6lgesinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 bir sonraki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc tetikleyici olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor ve bu senaryoda paritenin 1,17\u2019nin orta bantlar\u0131na do\u011fru hareket etmesi hedefleniyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ise 1,1550\/75 band\u0131 destek b\u00f6lgesi olarak izleniyor.<\/p>\n
Euro, \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc haftal\u0131k kazanca haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. K\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin s\u00fcregelen endi\u015feler ve b\u00f6lgesel hava ko\u015fullar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan zorluklara ra\u011fmen, Euro B\u00f6lgesi ekonomisi \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 bir dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k sergiliyor. Bu temel g\u00fc\u00e7, ABD ile Avrupa aras\u0131ndaki getiri fark\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131yla birle\u015fince, A\u011fustos sonuna yakla\u015f\u0131rken EUR\/USD paritesini yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
ABD\u2013Almanya 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getiri fark\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemek gerekiyor; s\u00f6z konusu fark eksi 136 baz puana gerileyerek May\u0131s\u2019tan bu yana en dar seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n faiz avantaj\u0131n\u0131n h\u0131zla azald\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor. Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nde enflasyonun yap\u0131\u015fkan seyrini korumas\u0131 ve Fed\u2019in politika gev\u015fetme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131yla, daralan spread Euro i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir temel taban olu\u015fturuyor.<\/p>\n
Teknik tarafta g\u00fcn i\u00e7i ve g\u00fcnl\u00fck momentum belirgin \u015fekilde y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminde; haftal\u0131k g\u00f6stergeler de pozitife d\u00f6nmenin e\u015fi\u011finde. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk \u00fcstlenmeden bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc de\u011fi\u015fimi yakalamak i\u00e7in EUR\/USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Kritik 1,1625\/50 diren\u00e7 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerine al\u0131\u015f-stop emirleri yerle\u015ftirilerek, k\u0131r\u0131lma halinde uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n otomatik tetiklenmesi \u00f6nerilebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesinin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 1,17\u2019nin orta seviyelerine do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7abilir. Risk y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7in 1,1550\/75\u2019teki yerle\u015fik deste\u011fin hemen alt\u0131na koruyucu sat\u0131\u015f-stoplar\u0131 veya yap\u0131land\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 konumland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 tavsiye edilir. Tarihsel olarak benzer teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmler volatilitede h\u0131zl\u0131 geni\u015flemeye yol a\u00e7abildi\u011finden, bo\u011fa call spread gibi riskin tan\u0131ml\u0131 oldu\u011fu stratejiler mevcut konjonkt\u00fcrde daha cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Euro \u00fcst \u00fcste 4. haftaya y\u00fckseli\u015fte: Euro B\u00f6lgesi dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ABD-Avrupa getiri fark\u0131n\u0131n daralmas\u0131 EUR\/USD\u2019yi destekliyor. 2Y spread -136 bp. 1,1625\/50 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa hedef 1,17; destek 1,1550\/75.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49985,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52901","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t