{"id":52852,"date":"2026-08-15T10:27:26","date_gmt":"2026-08-15T10:27:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/abd-verileri-zayiflarken-dolar-endeksi-100un-altinda-kaliyor-gozler-fed-tutanaklari-ve-ingiltere-tufe-verisinde\/"},"modified":"2026-08-15T10:27:26","modified_gmt":"2026-08-15T10:27:26","slug":"abd-verileri-zayiflarken-dolar-endeksi-100un-altinda-kaliyor-gozler-fed-tutanaklari-ve-ingiltere-tufe-verisinde","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-verileri-zayiflarken-dolar-endeksi-100un-altinda-kaliyor-gozler-fed-tutanaklari-ve-ingiltere-tufe-verisinde\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD verileri zay\u0131flarken Dolar Endeksi 100\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor; g\u00f6zler Fed tutanaklar\u0131 ve \u0130ngiltere T\u00dcFE verisinde"},"content":{"rendered":"

ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), \u00fcst \u00fcste d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc zay\u0131f ABD verisinin ard\u0131ndan Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 100,00 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. A\u011fustos ay\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u00f6nc\u00fc Michigan T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni 55,2\u2019den 51\u2019e gerileyerek tahminlerin belirgin \u015fekilde alt\u0131nda geldi; bu veri, daha \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 enflasyonun ve zay\u0131f Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar raporunun ard\u0131ndan a\u00e7\u0131kland\u0131. Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131 Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131n daha da gerilemesi ve gelecek hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00fcst d\u00fczey ABD verisi bulunmamas\u0131yla, odak Temmuz toplant\u0131s\u0131na ili\u015fkin \u201c\u015fahin\u201d ayr\u0131\u015fman\u0131n detaylar\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131mlanacak Federal A\u00e7\u0131k Piyasa Komitesi (FOMC) Tutanaklar\u0131na kay\u0131yor. Yurtd\u0131\u015f\u0131nda \u0130ngiltere takvimi yo\u011fun: Sal\u0131 istihdam, \u00c7ar\u015famba enflasyon ve Cuma Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar; Japonya ise Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc ikinci \u00e7eyrek GSYH verisini a\u00e7\u0131klayacak. \u00c7in\u2019in Temmuz aktivite verileri Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc gelirken, ard\u0131ndan Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00c7in Halk Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (PBoC) faiz karar\u0131 ve Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI\u2019lar haftay\u0131 tamamlayacak.<\/p>\n

FX taraf\u0131nda EUR\/USD iki ay\u0131n zirvesinde 1,1500\u2019lerin \u00fcst\u00fcnde haftay\u0131 kapatt\u0131; Almanya ZEW anketi Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc, Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00f6nc\u00fc PMI\u2019lar\u0131 ise Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ana s\u0131nav olacak. GBP\/USD yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,3560 civar\u0131nda kapan\u0131rken, man\u015fet T\u00dcFE\u2019nin %3\u2019e do\u011fru y\u00fckselmesi bekleniyor. USD\/JPY Japonya GSYH\u2019sinin \u00e7\/\u00e7 %0,5 beklenmesiyle 159,00\u2019lar\u0131n alt band\u0131nda tutundu. AUD\/USD 0,7080 yak\u0131n\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, \u00c7in ile birlikte Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc istihdam verisi odakta. WTI varil ba\u015f\u0131na 80 dolar\u0131n alt band\u0131nda kapan\u0131rken, alt\u0131n 4.380 dolar civar\u0131nda dengelendi ve 4.400 dolarda kapan\u0131\u015f yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n

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ABD Dolar\u0131nda Zay\u0131fl\u0131k, Euroda G\u00fc\u00e7lenme ve Alt\u0131nda K\u0131r\u0131lma Potansiyeli<\/h3>\n

ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin, t\u00fcketici g\u00fcveninin 51\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle kritik 100,00 e\u015fi\u011finin alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131, dolar taraf\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc seyrin devam\u0131na haz\u0131rlanmay\u0131 gerektiriyor. Tarihsel olarak 100 seviyesinin alt\u0131na ge\u00e7i\u015f, otomatik sat\u0131\u015f programlar\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyebildi\u011finden, parite 1,1600 hedeflerken EUR\/USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 daha cazip hale geliyor. Fed\u2019in faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentilerindeki \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclmenin s\u00fcrmesi ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc FOMC tutanaklar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde k\u0131sa vadeli EUR\/USD call al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Sterlin, 1,3560 civar\u0131nda \u00fc\u00e7 ay\u0131n zirvelerini test ederken, GBP\/USD straddle stratejileriyle k\u0131r\u0131lma odakl\u0131 kurgular i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir potansiyel g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u0130ngiltere enflasyonunun bu hafta %3\u2019e do\u011fru y\u00fckselmesi beklenirken, y\u00fcksek bir veri Bank of England\u2019\u0131n \u015fahin duru\u015funu korumas\u0131na neden olabilir. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc T\u00dcFE verisi \u00f6ncesinde uzun volatilite pozisyonlar\u0131 kurarak beklenen oynakl\u0131ktan faydalanabilir.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.380 dolar civar\u0131ndaki tarihi y\u00fckseli\u015fi, zay\u0131flayan dolar ve gerileyen tahvil getirilerinin etkisiyle g\u00fcvenli limanlara g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir kaymaya i\u015faret ediyor. Alt\u0131n son iki y\u0131lda belirgin \u015fekilde y\u00fckseldi\u011fi i\u00e7in, 4.400 dolardaki psikolojik diren\u00e7 seviyesini hedefleyen, \u201cparan\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda\u201d (out-of-the-money) call opsiyon al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. FOMC tutanaklar\u0131, \u201cg\u00fcvercin\u201d bir kaymay\u0131 teyit etmesi halinde bu k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 tetikleyebilecek son kataliz\u00f6r olabilir.<\/p>\n

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Jeopolitik Riskler Ortam\u0131nda Asya, Ham Petrol ve Opsiyon Stratejileri<\/h3>\n

Asya taraf\u0131nda, karma makro sinyalleri y\u00f6netmek ad\u0131na Yen ve Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izleyerek yatay bant (range-bound) opsiyon stratejilerinden yararlan\u0131lmal\u0131. Japonya\u2019n\u0131n 2\u00c7 GSYH\u2019sinin %0,5\u2019e ula\u015fmas\u0131 ve Avustralya istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131n beklenmesiyle, 159,00 seviyesi \u00e7evresindeki USD\/JPY yerel verilere kar\u015f\u0131 olduk\u00e7a hassas kal\u0131yor. \u00c7in\u2019in aktivite verileri ve Per\u015fembe g\u00fcnk\u00fc PBoC faiz karar\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde, Avustralya dolar\u0131 riskinin sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131yla hedge edilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

WTI ham petrol 80 dolar\u0131n alt band\u0131nda, a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kla H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 etraf\u0131ndaki arz y\u00f6nl\u00fc kayg\u0131larla destek bulmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Jeopolitik risk primleri aniden s\u0131\u00e7rayabildi\u011fi i\u00e7in, yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc potansiyeli yakalarken riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak amac\u0131yla \u201cbull call spread\u201d stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak kritik deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 bo\u011fazlar\u0131ndaki aksamalar, petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde %5 ila %10 yukar\u0131 itebiliyor; bu da uzun volatilite kurgular\u0131n\u0131 olduk\u00e7a uygulanabilir k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dolar endeksi, zay\u0131f ABD verileriyle 100 alt\u0131na indi; Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 fiyatlamas\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcld\u00fc. G\u00f6zler \u00c7ar\u015famba FOMC tutanaklar\u0131nda. Euro g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, alt\u0131n 4.400 k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na yak\u0131n; sterlinde volatilite, petrol jeopolitikle destekli.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52852","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t