EUR\/USD, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc %0,32\u2019nin \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselerek g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 1,1526 dip seviyesinden toparland\u0131; 1,1564 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken 1,1567\u2019deki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 test etti ve yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 1,1600 psikolojik seviyesine yakla\u015ft\u0131. Daha geni\u015f teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm h\u00e2len d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendine i\u015faret ediyor; zira daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck tepe ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diplerden olu\u015fan yap\u0131 korunuyor. Bununla birlikte paritenin 30 Temmuz\u2019dan bu yana 1,1500 b\u00f6lgesini yeniden kazanmas\u0131, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riskini art\u0131rd\u0131. RSI okumalar\u0131 da yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumun iyile\u015fti\u011fine destek veriyor.<\/p>\n
Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir k\u0131r\u0131lmada odak, 1,1629\u2019daki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya kay\u0131yor; bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 29 May\u0131s zirvesi 1,1685\u2019e ve ard\u0131ndan 1,1700\u2019e alan a\u00e7abilir. Bunun \u00f6tesinde 17 Nisan zirvesi 1,1849, 1,1900 b\u00f6lgesi \u00f6ncesinde g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Parite 1,1500\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na geri sarkarsa, 1,1465\u2019teki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA bir sonraki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc referans olurken, 1,1400 ek bir talep b\u00f6lgesi olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlara, EUR\/USD\u2019nin 1,1567\u2019deki kritik 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamay\u0131 (SMA) zorlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu a\u015famada pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 dikkatle ayarlamalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Parite 1,1500 seviyesini yeniden kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan beri y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f riskinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filim, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nden gelen son verilerle de destekleniyor: \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon ge\u00e7en ay inat\u00e7\u0131 bi\u00e7imde %2,4 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015ferek Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 \u00fczerindeki faizleri sabit tutma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, paritenin 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f almas\u0131 h\u00e2linde k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeyi \u00f6neriyoruz. 1,1567\u2019nin \u00fczerinde net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, 1,1629\u2019daki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya giden yolu a\u00e7arken; sonraki hedefler 1,1685 ve 1,1700 olarak izlenebilir. Son on y\u0131lda benzer teknik kurulumlara ili\u015fkin tarihsel veriler, y\u00fckselen bir RSI ile birlikte 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n yeniden kazan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n vakalar\u0131n %65\u2019inde devam rallisiyle sonu\u00e7land\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
Alternatif olarak, bu diren\u00e7 seviyesinden gelebilecek ani bir reddi (sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131) kar\u015f\u0131lamak \u00fczere ay\u0131 put spreadleri gibi savunmac\u0131 stratejiler kullan\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. 1,1500 seviyesinin alt\u0131na ini\u015f, pariteyi muhtemelen 1,1465\u2019teki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya do\u011fru \u00e7ekebilir. Fed\u2019in politika faizini %4,00 seviyesinde tutmaya devam etti\u011fi ortamda, yakla\u015fan ABD merkez bankas\u0131 toplant\u0131 tutanaklar\u0131ndan gelebilecek \u015fahin bir s\u00fcrpriz, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc h\u0131zla tetikleyerek paritenin 1,1400\u2019a do\u011fru kaymas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" EUR\/USD\u2019da kritik e\u015fik: Parite 1,1567\u2019deki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 test ederek 1,1600\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131. 1,1629 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,1685-1,1700 g\u00fcndemde; 1,1500 alt\u0131 1,1465-1,1400 riski art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52845","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t