USD\/CAD, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc 1,4000 seviyesinin alt\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek 1,3877 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve \u00fcst \u00fcste \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftal\u0131k kayb\u0131na y\u00f6neldi; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm en son Temmuz ba\u015f\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Kanada Dolar\u0131, geni\u015f tabanl\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Kanada verileri ve y\u00fcksek seyreden petrol fiyatlar\u0131yla destek buluyor. ABD taraf\u0131nda ise enflasyondaki \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 seyir, zay\u0131flayan t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131 ve i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda so\u011fumaya i\u015faret eden g\u00f6stergeler, gelecek ay bir Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Kanada\u2019da bir sonraki T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) verisi, Kanada Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoC) politika patikas\u0131na ili\u015fkin beklentileri \u015fekillendirecek.<\/p>\n\n
TD Securities, BoC\u2019nin 2 Eyl\u00fcl tarihli karar\u0131nda daha yumu\u015fak bir \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcne daha fazla a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor; artan petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n enflasyona ge\u00e7i\u015fkenli\u011finin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmas\u0131n\u0131n, \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaln\u0131zca kademeli daral\u0131rken enerji \u015fokunun \u201cg\u00f6rmezden gelinebilmesine\u201d alan tan\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savunuyor. Teknik tarafta parite, Haziran sonu 1,4200 \u00fczerinden d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden bu yana daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck zirveler ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck dipler \u00fcreterek 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n, ard\u0131ndan 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131. RSI (14) yakla\u015f\u0131k 29 seviyesinde bulunurken MACD negatife yak\u0131n seyrini koruyor; destek 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA civar\u0131 1,3850\u2019de, ard\u0131ndan 1,3700 ve 1,3542\u2019de izleniyor. Diren\u00e7 seviyeleri aras\u0131nda 1,3920 ve 1,4077 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n USD\/CAD\u2019de belirgin \u015fekilde olu\u015fan a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131n\u0131 yak\u0131ndan izlemesini \u00f6neriyoruz; g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) \u015fu anda 29 seviyesinde. Tarihsel olarak bu paritede g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI 30 e\u015fi\u011finin alt\u0131na indi\u011finde, sonraki on i\u015flem g\u00fcn\u00fc i\u00e7inde k\u0131sa vadeli bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi g\u00f6r\u00fclme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 istatistiksel olarak %68. Bunu de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in, k\u0131sa vadeli bo\u011fa call spread stratejileriyle 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019ya (SMA) denk gelen 1,3920 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir \u201crahatlama rallisi\u201d hedeflenebilir.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Kanada T\u00dcFE verisi ve 2 Eyl\u00fcl\u2019deki BoC politika karar\u0131 nedeniyle artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa da haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olunmal\u0131. WTI ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 varil ba\u015f\u0131na 78\u201380 dolar band\u0131nda seyrederken, emtiaya duyarl\u0131 Kanada Dolar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc temel destek bulmaya devam ediyor. Bu \u00f6nemli makroekonomik olaylar etraf\u0131nda beklenen sert fiyat hareketlerinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in uzun straddle veya strangle stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131 \u00f6nerilir.<\/p>\n\n
Ge\u00e7ici tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fleri g\u00f6r\u00fclse bile, USD\/CAD\u2019in orta vadeli e\u011filimi paritenin hem 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hem de 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmas\u0131yla net bi\u00e7imde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Olas\u0131 bir rahatlama rallisi 1,3920\u2019deki \u00fcst diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesini a\u015famazsa, orta vadeli vadeler i\u00e7in put opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131na ge\u00e7ilmesi de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Bu yakla\u015f\u0131m, k\u00fcresel piyasada s\u00fcren genel ABD dolar\u0131 zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 e\u015fli\u011finde 1,3700\u2019deki kritik destek taban\u0131na do\u011fru daha derin bir geri \u00e7ekilme senaryosuna pozisyon almay\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CAD 1,3877\u2019de \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc haftal\u0131k kayba giderken CAD; zay\u0131f USD, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veriler ve petrolle destekleniyor. RSI 29 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m: 1,3920\u2019ye tepki m\u00fcmk\u00fcn; CPI\/BoC \u00f6ncesi oynakl\u0131k artabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49971,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52838","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t