USD\/CHF seans i\u00e7inde gerileyerek d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck y\u00fckseli\u015fini sonland\u0131rd\u0131; ancak 0,8100 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc ve son olarak %0,12 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Fiyat hareketi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir bayrak formasyonuna (bearish flag) sayg\u0131 g\u00f6stermeye devam ederken, G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) y\u00fckseli\u015f e\u011filiminde kalmakla birlikte yatayla\u015ft\u0131; bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, hemen bir devam hareketinden ziyade duraklama ve bant i\u015flemlerine i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n
Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nde 0,8150 \u00fczerindeki bir k\u0131r\u0131lma oda\u011f\u0131 0,8207\u2019ye, ard\u0131ndan 0,8215\u2019e ta\u015f\u0131yacakt\u0131r; sonras\u0131nda dikkat 0,8250 ve 0,8300 seviyelerine d\u00f6ner. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde ilk destek g\u00fcn i\u00e7i dip olan 0,8103\u2019te bulunuyor; bu seviyenin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 0,8079\u2019daki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamay\u0131 (SMA) g\u00fcndeme getirir. Bunun alt\u0131nda 0,8035 seviyesi, 0,8000\u2019den \u00f6nce izlenecek bir sonraki b\u00f6lge olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
USD\/CHF\u2019nin kritik 0,8100 seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde tutundu\u011funu izlerken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flemciler \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bir volatilite k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131m\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmal\u0131. 0,8207 direncine do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir hareketi yakalamak i\u00e7in 0,8150\u2019nin hemen \u00fczerinde al\u0131m (stop-entry) tetiklemeli call opsiyonlar\u0131 kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu strateji, mevcut yatay seyirde s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmadan son d\u00f6nemdeki y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumu \u00fczerinden getiri elde etmeye imk\u00e2n verir.<\/p>\n\n
Bununla birlikte, altta yatan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bayra\u011f\u0131 formasyonu teknik olarak h\u00e2l\u00e2 aktif oldu\u011fundan, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fcn hedge edilmesi gerekiyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ani bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak amac\u0131yla kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 0,8050 civar\u0131nda olan vade d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) put opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. 0,8103\u2019teki ilk deste\u011fin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 h\u00e2linde, paritenin 0,8079\u2019daki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya do\u011fru sert bi\u00e7imde geri \u00e7ekilme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek.<\/p>\n\n
Temkinli duru\u015fumuz; ABD\u2019de perakende sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n %0,2 yava\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u0130svi\u00e7re enflasyonunun konforlu bir seviye olan %1,3\u2019te istikrar kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steren son makro verilerle de destekleniyor. Tarihsel olarak, Fed gev\u015feme d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne girerken \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131 (SNB) faiz istikrar\u0131n\u0131 korudu\u011funda USD\/CHF \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu temel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bayra\u011f\u0131 hedefi olan 0,8000\u2019i al\u0131c\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan orta vadede son derece ger\u00e7ek bir risk h\u00e2line getiriyor.<\/p>\n\n
Y\u00f6ns\u00fcz yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 tercih edenler i\u00e7in, yatayla\u015fan RSI\u2019dan faydalanmak amac\u0131yla iron condor stratejisi \u00f6neriyoruz. 0,8035 ve 0,8215 band\u0131n\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131na prim sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 yapmak, piyasa karars\u0131z kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece zaman de\u011feri erimesinden istikrarl\u0131 kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r. Ancak bu pozisyonlar\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli tutulmas\u0131 gerekir; zira band\u0131n iki s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131ndan herhangi birinin net \u015fekilde k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, yeni ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir trendin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131na i\u015faret edecektir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CHF d\u00f6rt g\u00fcnl\u00fck ralliyi kesti ama 0,8100 \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutunuyor: d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f bayra\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcyor, RSI yatay. 0,8150 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 0,8207-0,8215; 0,8103 alt\u0131 0,8079\/0,8000 riski do\u011furuyor. Opsiyonda call-stop, koruma put; yatayda iron condor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49985,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52835","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t