Societe Generale, USD\/KRW\u2019nin 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (1478 civar\u0131) alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan d\u00fczeltmesini derinle\u015ftirdi\u011fini belirtiyor. Parite \u015fu anda 2023\u2019ten bu yana ge\u00e7erli olan y\u00fckselen trend \u00e7izgisini 1407 civar\u0131nda test ediyor; banka bu seviyeyi ara (interim) destek olarak de\u011ferlendiriyor. Fiyat hareketi k\u0131sa vadede bir duraksamaya i\u015faret etse de, k\u0131sa vadeli bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015finin teyidi i\u00e7in 1425\u2019in yeniden \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131k\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
1407\u2019nin tutunamamas\u0131 halinde Societe Generale, 1388\/1385 ve ard\u0131ndan 1375\u2019e do\u011fru hareketin devam edebilece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Asya genelinde won (KRW) b\u00f6lgesel performansa liderlik ederken, temmuz ba\u015f\u0131nda 1.560 civar\u0131ndan 1.415\u2019e yakla\u015fan y\u00fckseli\u015fin ivme kaybetmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n
USD\/KRW paritesini, 1478\u2019deki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na gerilemesinin ard\u0131ndan 1407\u2019deki ana destek hatt\u0131n\u0131 test ederken yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. 2023\u2019ten gelen bu kritik trend \u00e7izgisi s\u0131nan\u0131rken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda daha y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. G\u00fcvenilir bir k\u0131sa vadeli tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fini do\u011frulamak i\u00e7in 1425\u2019teki son zirvenin \u00fczerinde net bir k\u0131r\u0131lma g\u00f6rmemiz gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
Paritenin 1407 seviyesini savunamamas\u0131 durumunda, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn 1388\u2019i ve nihayetinde 1375\u2019i hedeflemesini bekliyoruz. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu yakalamak i\u00e7in sat\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131 (put) veya k\u0131sa vadeli vadeli i\u015flem (short futures) pozisyonlar\u0131yla bu olas\u0131 k\u0131r\u0131lmadan faydalanabilir. Dolar aleyhine bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yar\u0131 iletken ihracat\u0131 sayesinde son d\u00f6nemde 3,2 milyar dolara ula\u015fan G\u00fcney Kore\u2019nin istikrarl\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131yla da destekleniyor.<\/p>\n
Won\u2019un temmuz ay\u0131nda 1560\u2019tan 1415 civar\u0131na h\u0131zl\u0131 rallisinin belirgin yorgunluk sinyalleri verdi\u011fini de kabul etmek gerekiyor. Tarihsel olarak bu \u00f6l\u00e7ekteki h\u0131zl\u0131 kur hareketleri, k\u0131sa vadeli k\u00e2r realizasyonunu ve konsolidasyonu s\u0131kl\u0131kla tetikler. Ani yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015flere kar\u015f\u0131 korunmak i\u00e7in 1425 civar\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes (stop-loss) seviyeleri kullanmay\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" SocGen\u2019e g\u00f6re USD\/KRW 200GHO (1478) alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131; 1407\u2019de 2023 trend deste\u011fi kritik. 1425 \u00fcst\u00fc tepkiyi do\u011frular. 1407 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1388\/1385 ve 1375 hedef. KRW Asya\u2019da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52832","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t