USD\/CHF, Arc Cycle Analysis \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde 4 saatlik grafikte 1 (100%) Diren\u00e7 Ark\u0131\u2019n\u0131 test ediyor. Fiyat hareketi, y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumunun zay\u0131flamas\u0131yla birlikte bu s\u0131n\u0131r yak\u0131n\u0131nda zorlan\u0131yor; bu da \u00fcst ark\u0131n h\u00e2len yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Parite, Diren\u00e7 Ark\u0131\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda bask\u0131lanmaya devam ederek mevcut d\u00f6ng\u00fcde \u201ctavan\u201d seviyesinin korundu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
1 (100%) Ark\u2019\u0131n diren\u00e7 olarak \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi halinde, merkez patika 0.786 Ark\u0131 \u00fczerindeki 0,8040 seviyesine do\u011fru a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir hareketi i\u015faret ediyor. Farkl\u0131 bir senaryonun olu\u015fmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Ark\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde 4 saatlik grafikte kal\u0131c\u0131 bir kapan\u0131\u015f gerekir; bu durum d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lar ve oda\u011f\u0131 bir sonraki Diren\u00e7 Ark\u0131\u2019na ta\u015f\u0131r.<\/p>\n
USD\/CHF paritesini, d\u00f6rt saatlik grafikte kritik %100 Diren\u00e7 Ark\u0131\u2019n\u0131 a\u015fmakta zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz. Bu kilit e\u015fikte y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumu h\u0131zla zay\u0131flad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n olas\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu direncin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131 durumunda, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 0,8040 seviyesine do\u011fru kademeli bir geri \u00e7ekilme bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, son makroekonomik de\u011fi\u015fimlerle de uyumlu; \u00f6zellikle ABD Dolar\u0131 ile \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki faiz getirisi fark\u0131 daralmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Fed\u2019in son birka\u00e7 \u00e7eyrekte politika faizini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi ve \u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019de enflasyonun %1,3 civar\u0131nda istikrar kazanmas\u0131yla, \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131\u2019n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman \u00e7ekicili\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmaya devam ediyor. Tarihsel olarak, \u00f6nemli ark s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen benzer teknik reddedilmeler sert sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131 tetikledi; t\u0131pk\u0131 daha \u00f6nce pariteyi 0,8330 civar\u0131ndaki \u00e7ok y\u0131ll\u0131k dip seviyelere iten a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc trendde oldu\u011fu gibi.<\/p>\n
Bu kurulumdan faydalanmak i\u00e7in opsiyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, 0,8040 seviyesini hedefleyen ba\u015fa ba\u015fa (near-the-money) sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Vadeli i\u015flemler taraf\u0131nda ise mevcut diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesine yak\u0131n seviyelerden k\u0131sa (short) pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve %100 Ark\u2019\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131 bir zarar-kes (stop-loss) kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131n \u00fczerinde 4 saatlik kal\u0131c\u0131 bir kapan\u0131\u015f, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz\u00fc ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131lar ve k\u0131sa pozisyonlardan \u00e7\u0131kma zaman\u0131n\u0131n geldi\u011fine i\u015faret eder.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CHF kritik e\u015fikte: 4 saatlik grafikte %100 Diren\u00e7 Ark\u0131 a\u015f\u0131lam\u0131yor, momentum zay\u0131fl\u0131yor. Ark korunursa 0,8040\u2019a geri \u00e7ekilme bekleniyor. \u00dczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 kapan\u0131\u015f d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc bozar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52817","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t