EUR\/USD, Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Avrupa seans\u0131nda 1,1550 civar\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,17 y\u00fckseldi. Parite, Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (ECB) Eyl\u00fcl toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politikay\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 beklentileriyle destek buldu. Reuters anketinde 69 ekonomistin 57\u2019si, ECB mevduat faizinde 25 baz puanl\u0131k art\u0131\u015fla oran\u0131n %2,50\u2019ye y\u00fckselece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc. Ayr\u0131 olarak, ABD\u2019den gelen daha yumu\u015fak enflasyon verileri Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de Federal Rezerv\u2019in faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131na dair endi\u015feleri azaltt\u0131 ve bu durum ABD Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratt\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD verilerinin ard\u0131ndan vadeli fiyatlamalar da de\u011fi\u015fti: Deutsche Bank, Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 i\u00e7in ima edilen olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015f itibar\u0131yla %35\u2019e geriledi\u011fini; bunun \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc T\u00dcFE\u2019nin sabah\u0131nda %50\u2019nin \u00fczerinde, \u00dcFE \u00f6ncesinde ise %40 seviyesinde bulundu\u011funu belirtti. Grafik taraf\u0131nda EUR\/USD, 1,1540 civar\u0131ndaki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli trend \u00e7izgisinin \u00fczerine ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 koruyor; ancak 1,1567\u2019deki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA taraf\u0131ndan s\u0131n\u0131rlan\u0131yor. RSI (14) 60\u2019a yak\u0131n; destek 1,1510\u2019da, diren\u00e7ler ise 1,1567 ve ard\u0131ndan 1,1600 seviyelerinde.<\/p>\n
EUR\/USD\u2019nin 1,1540 trend \u00e7izgisinin \u00fczerindeki k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda korumas\u0131yla Euro\u2019da g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir bo\u011fa y\u00f6nl\u00fc d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bu yukar\u0131 hareket, ECB\u2019nin Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de mevduat faizini 25 baz puan art\u0131rarak %2,50\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc beklentilerle destekleniyor. Bu arada, ABD enflasyonundaki so\u011fuma, Fed\u2019in gelecek ay faiz art\u0131rma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %35\u2019e kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in, bu yukar\u0131 momentumu yakalamak ad\u0131na bo\u011fa y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyon stratejileri de\u011ferlendirilebilir. 1,1600 civar\u0131nda kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131na sahip k\u0131sa vadeli EUR\/USD al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 almak, k\u0131r\u0131lmadan faydalanmay\u0131 sa\u011flarken riski s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 tutar. Alternatif olarak, i\u015flem maliyetini azalt\u0131p \u00fcst diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesini hedeflemek i\u00e7in bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019i (bull call spread) kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
1,1567\u2019deki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalama yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli; zira bu teknik seviye \u015fu anda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir tavan i\u015flevi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Paritenin bu ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131 halinde 1,1600\u2019a do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015fin \u00f6n\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131labilir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nde ise koruyucu stop-loss veya \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f sinyalleri 1,1510\u2019daki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek taban\u0131n\u0131n hemen alt\u0131na konumland\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131.<\/p>\n
Son enflasyon verileri Euro B\u00f6lgesi \u00e7ekirdek enflasyonunun %2,8 civar\u0131nda yap\u0131\u015fkan kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu da 69 ekonomistin 57\u2019sinin ECB\u2019den faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklemesini a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak, \u015fahin bir ECB ile beklemeye ge\u00e7en bir Fed aras\u0131ndaki politika fark\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Euro, takip eden ay ortalama %2 de\u011fer kazand\u0131. Bu makro arka plan, Eyl\u00fcl\u2019e yakla\u015f\u0131rken uzun (long) y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar\u0131 daha cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Eur\/dolar 1,1550\u2019de y\u00fckseliyor: ECB\u2019nin Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de 25 bp art\u0131\u015fla %2,50\u2019ye \u00e7\u0131kaca\u011f\u0131 beklentisi euroyu, yumu\u015fayan ABD enflasyonu Fed art\u0131\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %35\u2019e indirip dolar\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor. Teknikte 1,1567 diren\u00e7, 1,1510 destek; 1,1600 hedef.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49977,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t