ABD dolar\u0131 geriledi; ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY), beklentilerin alt\u0131nda kalan \u00dcretici Fiyat Endeksi (\u00dcFE) verisi ve haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f\u0131n Fed\u2019in ilave s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma beklentilerini t\u00f6rp\u00fclemesiyle yeniden 100,00 seviyesinin alt\u0131na indi. Cleveland Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Beth Hammack, daha y\u00fcksek faiz \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yineleyerek veri g\u00fcndeminin yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu Cuma \u00f6ncesinde geri \u00e7ekilmeyi s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. G10\u2019da EUR\/USD, Euro B\u00f6lgesi\u2019nin ikinci \u00e7eyrek \u00f6nc\u00fc GSYH verisi \u00f6ncesinde 1,1500\u2019lerin alt band\u0131nda tutunurken, GBP\/USD hafta ba\u015f\u0131ndaki kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k verilerinin ard\u0131ndan 1,3500\u2019nin alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n\n
USD\/JPY 159,50 civar\u0131nda yatay seyrederken, AUD\/USD daha yumu\u015fak dolar tonunun s\u00fcrmesiyle 0,7060 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Alt\u0131n, son zirvelerden geri \u00e7ekilmesinin ard\u0131ndan ons ba\u015f\u0131na 4.350 dolara do\u011fru geriledi; WTI ham petrol ise 81,00 dolar\/varil seviyesine do\u011fru kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletti. Piyasalar, Euro B\u00f6lgesi flash 2\u00c7 GSYH ve \u00f6nc\u00fc \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi verilerine odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda; ard\u0131ndan ABD\u2019de temmuz Perakende Sat\u0131\u015flar (Kontrol Grubu dahil) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kacak. G\u00fcn\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerinde, \u00f6nc\u00fc Michigan T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni Endeksi\u2019nin zay\u0131flamas\u0131 beklenirken, bir ve be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k enflasyon beklentileri yak\u0131ndan izlenecek.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev piyasa yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, DXY\u2019nin kritik 100,00 e\u015fi\u011finin alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131yla ABD dolar\u0131ndaki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011fa kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla Dolar Endeksi (DXY) \u00fczerinde sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 almay\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Haftal\u0131k i\u015fsizlik maa\u015f\u0131 ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131n 230 bin seviyesine do\u011fru y\u00fckseldi\u011fine i\u015faret eden son istihdam verileri, i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131nda yumu\u015famaya i\u015faret ediyor ve Fed\u2019i s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fcne ara vermeye zorlayabilir. Bu durumun Dolar \u00fczerindeki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesini bekliyor; \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda k\u0131sa USD pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 olduk\u00e7a cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Alt\u0131n\u0131n ons ba\u015f\u0131na 4.350 dolara s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmesi, uzun al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 veya bo\u011fa al\u0131m spread\u2019leri kullanan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in stratejik bir giri\u015f noktas\u0131 sunuyor. Tarihsel olarak, ABD Dolar Endeksi 100\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde alt\u0131n \u00e7eyreklik bazda ortalama %6\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde getiri sa\u011flad\u0131. Bir sonraki k\u00fcresel enflasyon verisi dalgas\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlanma olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in bu tarihsel korelasyondan faydalan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Euro\u2019da i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in parite 1,1500\u2019lerin alt band\u0131nda dengelenirken EUR\/USD \u00fczerinde uzun call opsiyonlar\u0131 kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Euro B\u00f6lgesi ikinci \u00e7eyrek GSYH\u2019sinin \u00e7eyreklik %0,3\u2019l\u00fck istikrarl\u0131 b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi korumas\u0131 beklentisi, pariteyi yukar\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yacak kataliz\u00f6r g\u00f6revi g\u00f6rebilir. K\u0131sa vadede 1,1650 kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131n\u0131n en iyi risk-getiri dengesini sunaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Fiyatlar\u0131n 81,00 dolar\/varile do\u011fru s\u00fcz\u00fclmesiyle West Texas Intermediate (WTI) ham petrol vadeli kontratlar\u0131nda k\u0131sa y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyonlar i\u00e7in artan bir f\u0131rsat g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Michigan T\u00fcketici G\u00fcveni Endeksi\u2019nde \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen gerilemenin i\u015faret etti\u011fi zay\u0131flayan ABD t\u00fcketici talebi, daha yava\u015f ekonomik aktivite ve azalan yak\u0131t t\u00fcketimine i\u015faret ediyor. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentumu de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in 77,50 dolar hedefiyle WTI sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Dolar endeksi \u00dcFE ve i\u015fsizlik verileriyle 100\u2019\u00fcn alt\u0131na indi: Fed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma beklentileri s\u00f6n\u00fcyor. Euro\/dolar 1,15\u2019te, alt\u0131n 4.350$\u2019a \u00e7ekildi. Strateji: DXY put, alt\u0131n call, EUR\/USD call, WTI put.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49971,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52783","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t