{"id":52733,"date":"2026-08-13T03:52:17","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T03:52:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/endonezya-piyasalari-prabowonun-merkez-bankasi-baskanligina-destry-damayantiyi-secmesiyle-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-08-13T03:52:17","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T03:52:17","slug":"endonezya-piyasalari-prabowonun-merkez-bankasi-baskanligina-destry-damayantiyi-secmesiyle-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/endonezya-piyasalari-prabowonun-merkez-bankasi-baskanligina-destry-damayantiyi-secmesiyle-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Endonezya Piyasalar\u0131, Prabowo\u2019nun Merkez Bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131na Destry Damayanti\u2019yi Se\u00e7mesiyle Y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"

DBS Group Research\u2019e g\u00f6re, Endonezya\u2019n\u0131n i\u00e7 piyasa varl\u0131klar\u0131, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Prabowo\u2019nun Bank Indonesia Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Destry Damayanti\u2019yi bir sonraki merkez bankas\u0131 Ba\u015fkan\u0131 olarak aday g\u00f6stermesinin ard\u0131ndan y\u00fckseldi. Ad\u0131m, pozisyonun doldurulmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde ilerleme olarak de\u011ferlendirilirken, piyasa kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 Bank Indonesia\u2019da s\u00fcreklili\u011fe ve kurumun ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na odakland\u0131.<\/p>\n\n

Haftan\u0131n ilk i\u015flemlerinde rupiah, ABD dolar\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131na 18.000 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda yatay seyrederken, tahvil getirileri son zirvelerinden geriledi. G\u00f6rece g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ikinci \u00e7eyrek b\u00fcy\u00fcme verisi ile para birimindeki istikrar\u0131n birlikte de\u011ferlendirilmesi, Bank Indonesia\u2019n\u0131n bu ayki toplant\u0131s\u0131nda politika faizini de\u011fi\u015ftirmeden b\u0131rakmas\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n

Rupiah \u0130stikrar Kazan\u0131rken ve Tahvil Getirileri Gerilerken T\u00fcrev \u0130\u015flem Stratejileri<\/h3>\n\n

Stabilize olan Endonezya Rupiah\u2019\u0131 ve gev\u015feyen tahvil getirileri \u00fczerinden t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n f\u0131rsat yakalayabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Kurun USD ba\u015f\u0131na 18.000 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7 kazanmas\u0131yla, y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda geli\u015fen piyasa portf\u00f6ylerini endi\u015felendiren kur riski h\u0131zla azal\u0131yor. Endonezya\u2019n\u0131n %5,05\u2019lik istikrarl\u0131 2\u00c7 GSYH b\u00fcy\u00fcmesiyle desteklenen bu istikrar, yerel politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n piyasa beklentilerini ba\u015far\u0131yla \u00e7\u0131palad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n\n

T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, IDR faiz swaplar\u0131nda sabit faiz alma (receive fixed) y\u00f6n\u00fcnde pozisyonlanarak faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na ara verilmesini fiyatlamas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Endonezya 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet tahvili getirileri %7,1\u2019lik zirveden yakla\u015f\u0131k %6,8\u2019e gerileyerek g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kurumsal g\u00fcvene i\u015faret ediyor. Tahvil t\u00fcrevlerinde uzun (long) pozisyon almak, getirilerin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda kademeli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesiyle istikrarl\u0131 kazan\u00e7 yakalama imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunuyor.<\/p>\n\n

Merkez Bankas\u0131 Geli\u015fmelerinin Ard\u0131ndan FX Opsiyon Piyasas\u0131nda F\u0131rsatlar<\/h3>\n\n

FX opsiyon piyasas\u0131nda, volatilitenin gerilemesinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in USD\/IDR al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 satmay\u0131 veya Rupiah al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 sat\u0131n almay\u0131 tercih ediyoruz. Tarihsel e\u011filimler, merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n \u201cbekle-g\u00f6r\u201d moduna ge\u00e7ti\u011fi d\u00f6nemlerde Rupiah volatilitesinin takip eden bir ay i\u00e7inde genellikle %20\u2019ye kadar d\u00fc\u015febildi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. 18.000\u2019in alt\u0131nda bant i\u00e7inde hareket eden bir Rupiah\u2019dan yararlanmak, \u015fu anda opsiyon sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan olduk\u00e7a elveri\u015fli bir zemin sunuyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Prabowo\u2019nun Damayanti adayl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Endonezya varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 destekledi: Rupiah 18.000\u2019in alt\u0131nda dengelendi, tahvil faizleri geriledi. DBS, BI\u2019nin faizi sabit tutmas\u0131n\u0131, swaplarda receive fixed ve tahvil\/FX opsiyon f\u0131rsatlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49991,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52733","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t