USD\/CNH yatay bantta kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; parite, daha \u00f6nce beklenen 6,7410\u20136,7510 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na paralel \u015fekilde 6,7444 ile 6,7489 aras\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. K\u0131sa vadeli parametreler 6,7430\u20136,7530 olarak belirlenirken, son fiyat hareketi y\u00f6n konusunda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 sinyal \u00fcretti.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftada, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc momentum g\u00fc\u00e7lenmemi\u015f olsa da e\u011filim 6,7300\u2019e do\u011fru kademeli bir geri \u00e7ekilmeye alan tan\u0131maya devam ediyor. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk 6,7580 direnciyle tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor; bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 yeniden bant i\u00e7i i\u015flemlere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fe i\u015faret eder. Orta vadeli bir toparlanman\u0131n devreye girebilmesi i\u00e7in paritenin 6,8430\u2019daki 21 haftal\u0131k EMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n\n
USD\/CNH\u2019nin 6,7430\u20136,7530 gibi dar bir bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi nedeniyle, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n yak\u0131n vadede yatay bant stratejilerine odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Piyasa volatilitesi d\u00fc\u015ferken\u2014son bir y\u0131ldaki sakin i\u015flem d\u00f6nemlerinde g\u00f6r\u00fclen d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen volatilite desenleriyle uyumlu bi\u00e7imde\u2014k\u0131sa vadeli straddle sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 veya iron condor stratejileri istikrarl\u0131 prim getirisi sa\u011flayabilir. Bu konsolidasyon, son makro verilerin \u00c7in\u2019in sanayi \u00fcretiminin y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda istikrarl\u0131 %5,1 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermesiyle birlikte yuan\u0131n dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00f6rece \u00e7\u0131palanm\u0131\u015f kalmas\u0131yla da \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki bir ila \u00fc\u00e7 haftada 6,7300 seviyesine do\u011fru a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bir s\u00fcz\u00fclmeye pozisyon almak i\u00e7in belirgin bir f\u0131rsat g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, ani piyasa s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 riski s\u0131n\u0131rlarken bu potansiyel d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015ften faydalanmak amac\u0131yla bear put spread stratejilerini kullanabilir. Bu negatif e\u011filim, \u00c7in varl\u0131klar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik son sermaye giri\u015fleriyle ve 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k devlet tahvili getirisinin yakla\u015f\u0131k %2,15 civar\u0131nda dengelenerek istikrarl\u0131 bir faiz ortam\u0131n\u0131 korumas\u0131yla destekleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
Bununla birlikte, 6,7580\u2019deki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli; bu seviyenin \u00fczerine bir k\u0131r\u0131lma, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryomuzu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131larak yeniden n\u00f6tr\/yatay bant i\u015flemlerine ge\u00e7i\u015f sinyali verir. Daha anlaml\u0131 bir orta vadeli toparlanma i\u00e7in dolar\u0131n, h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda 6,8430\u2019da bulunan 21 haftal\u0131k \u00dcstel Hareketli Ortalama\u2019y\u0131 (EMA) a\u015fmas\u0131 gerekir. Bu yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc riske kar\u015f\u0131, k\u00fcresel para politikas\u0131nda olas\u0131 ani \u201c\u015fahin\u201d kaymalara kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla ucuz, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n elde tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CNH dar bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: 6,7430\u20136,7530. D\u00fc\u015f\u00fck volatilitede straddle\/iron condor \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. 1-3 haftada 6,7300\u2019e kademeli geri \u00e7ekilme olas\u0131; 6,7580 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa senaryo n\u00f6tre d\u00f6ner. 6,8430 EMA kritik.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50299,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t