{"id":52684,"date":"2026-08-12T13:52:12","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T13:52:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/abd-tufe-verisi-beklentilere-paralel-gelirken-dolar-zayifladi-tahvil-getirileri-geriledi-altin-4-400-dolarin-uzerine-yukseldi\/"},"modified":"2026-08-12T13:52:12","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T13:52:12","slug":"abd-tufe-verisi-beklentilere-paralel-gelirken-dolar-zayifladi-tahvil-getirileri-geriledi-altin-4-400-dolarin-uzerine-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/abd-tufe-verisi-beklentilere-paralel-gelirken-dolar-zayifladi-tahvil-getirileri-geriledi-altin-4-400-dolarin-uzerine-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"ABD T\u00dcFE verisi beklentilere paralel gelirken dolar zay\u0131flad\u0131, tahvil getirileri geriledi; alt\u0131n 4.400 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), temmuz ABD enflasyon verilerinin genel olarak tahminlerle uyumlu gelmesinin ard\u0131ndan 4.400 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra 4.429 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve %1,38 y\u00fckseldi. Man\u015fet T\u00dcFE, hazirandaki %0,4\u2019l\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan ayl\u0131k bazda %0,1 artt\u0131; y\u0131ll\u0131k oran ise %3,5\u2019ten %3,4\u2019e geriledi. \u00c7ekirdek T\u00dcFE ayl\u0131k %0,2 y\u00fckseldi (\u00f6nceki ay de\u011fi\u015fim yoktu) ve y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek enflasyon %2,6\u2019dan %2,5\u2019e indi. Dolar zay\u0131flarken ABD Hazine tahvil getirileri geriledi; DXY 99,70 civar\u0131nda %0,10 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle seyrederken, 2 y\u0131ll\u0131k getiri d\u00f6rt baz puan gerileyerek %4,180\u2019e yakla\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Piyasalar enflasyonun h\u00e2l\u00e2 Fed\u2019in %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyor ve eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentileri b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fmedi; CME FedWatch\u2019a g\u00f6re olas\u0131l\u0131k %44. WTI, 82 dolar civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rerek yakla\u015f\u0131k bir bu\u00e7uk haftan\u0131n zirvesine yak\u0131n seyretti; EIA ise 2026 ortalama WTI tahminini varil ba\u015f\u0131na 76,26 dolardan 80,88 dolara y\u00fckseltti. Grafik taraf\u0131nda XAU\/USD 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde bulunurken, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 4.500 dolarda yer al\u0131yor; RSI 68, ADX 30 seviyesinde. Destek seviyeleri 4.388, 4.148 ve 4.000 dolar olarak belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejisi ve Teknik G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm<\/h3>\n

ABD enflasyonundaki so\u011fuma ve y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin %2,5\u2019e gerilemesiyle birlikte, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n alt\u0131nda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmenin s\u00fcrmesine y\u00f6nelik pozisyon almas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin 99,70\u2019e gerilemesi ve tahvil getirilerinin d\u00fc\u015fmesi nedeniyle XAU\/USD\u2019de k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n tercih edilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu makro zemin, getiri sa\u011flamayan alt\u0131n\u0131 elde tutman\u0131n f\u0131rsat maliyeti azald\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in k\u0131ymetli metalleri belirgin \u015fekilde destekliyor.<\/p>\n

Bununla birlikte G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) 68 civar\u0131nda seyretmesi, alt\u0131n\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015fmakta oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor; bu da k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir fiyat konsolidasyonu olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n geri \u00e7ekilmelerde uzun pozisyon kurmas\u0131n\u0131 ve 4.388 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019y\u0131 (SMA) kritik giri\u015f noktas\u0131 olarak kullanmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, Ortalama Y\u00f6n Endeksi\u2019nin (ADX) 30 civar\u0131nda bulundu\u011fu benzer teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, ani bir \u201ctepe yap\u0131p da\u011f\u0131lan\u201d hareketten ziyade sa\u011fl\u0131kl\u0131 ve s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir bir trende i\u015faret eder.<\/p>\n

Jeopolitik Fakt\u00f6rler ve Risk Y\u00f6netimi<\/h3>\n

Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik riskler, \u00f6zellikle H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresindeki tehditler, y\u00fckseli\u015f beklentimize g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d deste\u011fi sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki b\u00fcy\u00fck jeopolitik enerji \u015foklar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcvenli liman varl\u0131klar\u0131na y\u00f6nelmesiyle alt\u0131n fiyatlar\u0131 birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde ortalama %10 ila %15 y\u00fckseli\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. K\u00e2r realizasyonu b\u00f6lgeleri i\u00e7in 4.500 dolardaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama hedeflenirken, koruyucu zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirlerinin 4.148 dolar seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131na konumland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 uygun olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda ralli h\u0131z kesmiyor: ABD enflasyonu beklentiye paralel, \u00e7ekirdek %2,5\u2019e indi; dolar ve tahvil getirileri d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce XAU\/USD 4.429\u2019da. 4.388 destek, 4.500 hedef; RSI 68. Jeopolitik riskler destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50089,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52684","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t