Sterlin, bir ayl\u0131k ve \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k i\u015flem bantlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yak\u0131n seviyelerde konsolide oluyor. GBP\/USD, \u0130ngiltere siyasi riskine ili\u015fkin piyasa alg\u0131s\u0131ndaki iyile\u015fme ve temmuz ortas\u0131ndan sonuna uzanan s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geri \u00e7ekilmenin ard\u0131ndan bir miktar daha yap\u0131c\u0131 hale gelen getiri farklar\u0131yla destek buluyor. Fiyatlamalar, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk reversal\u2019lar\u0131n zay\u0131flamas\u0131n\u0131 takip etti; zira a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketlere kar\u015f\u0131 korunma primindeki gerileme s\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Yak\u0131n vadeli veri takvimi, per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak 3\u00c7 GSYH\u2019nin ikinci tahmini ile birlikte haziran d\u0131\u015f ticaret ve sanayi \u00fcretimi verileri \u00f6ncesinde olduk\u00e7a s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131. Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan parite, temmuz ortas\u0131ndaki zirvesi olan 1,35\u2019lerin ortas\u0131na yeniden y\u00f6neldi ve \u015fubat ortas\u0131ndan bu yana ge\u00e7erli olan daha geni\u015f bant i\u00e7inde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Diren\u00e7 1,3600 civar\u0131nda ve may\u0131s zirvelerinin bulundu\u011fu 1,36\u2019lar\u0131n ortas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, destek 1,34\u2019lerin orta-alt b\u00f6lgesinde yer al\u0131yor; yak\u0131n vadeli bant 1,3450\u20131,3550 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda \u015fekilleniyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, sterlinin \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k zirveleri yak\u0131n\u0131nda konsolide olurken g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc korumas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanmay\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc risk reversal\u2019lar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde zay\u0131flamas\u0131, piyasan\u0131n sterlin taraf\u0131nda yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fc belirgin \u015fekilde tercih etti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc korunma talebindeki bu azalmadan faydalanmak i\u00e7in, vade d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 gibi opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz, yap\u0131c\u0131 getiri farklar\u0131yla da destekleniyor: \u0130ngiltere 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k gilt getirisi %4,1 civar\u0131nda yatay seyrederken ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri gev\u015fiyor. Son d\u00f6nemdeki makro veriler de bu tabloyu destekliyor; \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi \u00e7eyreklik bazda %0,5 b\u00fcy\u00fcme h\u0131z\u0131n\u0131 korurken, bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n politika faizini %5,0 seviyesinde tutmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131yor. Bu sa\u011flam i\u00e7 dinamikler, kurda ani bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalar i\u00e7in 1,3450\u20131,3550 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k bir i\u015flem band\u0131na odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc teknik deste\u011fin olu\u015ftu\u011fu 1,34\u2019lerin ortas\u0131nda k\u0131sa vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131 yazabilir. Sterlinin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde ise 1,3600 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 seviyelerini hedeflemek \u00fczere call spread al\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesi gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin kritik e\u015fi\u011fe dayand\u0131: GBP\/USD \u00e7ok ayl\u0131k bant \u00fcst\u00fcnde konsolide. Siyasi risk alg\u0131s\u0131 iyile\u015fiyor, getiri farklar\u0131 destekliyor, risk reversal zay\u0131f. Takvim sakin; 1,3450\u20131,3550 bant, 1,3600 diren\u00e7. Opsiyonda OTM put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131\/call spread \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50018,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52666","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t