USD\/CAD, ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n ge\u00e7en hafta zay\u0131f ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi sonras\u0131 kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan toparlan\u0131p dengelenmesine ra\u011fmen Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD T\u00fcketici Fiyat Endeksi (T\u00dcFE) verisine kayd\u0131. Parite, iki ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine yak\u0131n 1,3932 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Kanada Dolar\u0131, daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yurti\u00e7i istihdam verileri ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki y\u00fckseli\u015ften destek buldu; Bat\u0131 Teksas tipi ham petrol (WTI) varil ba\u015f\u0131na 80,37 dolarda, g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde %5,20 art\u0131da seyretti.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD\u2019nin 1,40 seviyesinin alt\u0131na gerilemesinin ard\u0131ndan hareket, Fed beklenti fiyatlamas\u0131 ve gelecek enflasyon verilerine odaklanmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde, parite Haziran sonundaki k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli 1,4200 \u00fczeri denemenin ard\u0131ndan daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck zirveler ve daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck dipler olu\u015fturdu; 1,4000 e\u015fi\u011finin ve 1,4075\u2019teki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ediyor. Momentum g\u00f6stergeleri de zay\u0131f seyrini korudu: G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 33 civar\u0131nda ve MACD negatif b\u00f6lgede. Destek 1,3916 civar\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019da, ard\u0131ndan 1,3853 \u00e7evresindeki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019da izlenirken; diren\u00e7 1,4000 ve 1,4075 seviyelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
USD\/CAD\u2019nin kritik 1,4000 e\u015fi\u011finin alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; bu durum, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD T\u00dcFE verisi \u00f6ncesinde t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in taktik bir pencere sunuyor. Parite iki ay\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesi olan 1,3932 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, k\u0131sa vadeli momentum a\u00e7\u0131k bi\u00e7imde Kanada dolar\u0131 lehine. Bunu de\u011ferlendirmek i\u00e7in, piyasa sa\u011flam bir taban bulmadan \u00f6nce a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesinden faydalanmak ad\u0131na k\u0131sa vadeli ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc opsiyonlara a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Bu USD\/CAD\u2019de ay\u0131 senaryosu; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Kanada istihdam verileri ve WTI ham petrol\u00fcn %5\u2019in \u00fczerinde y\u00fckselerek varil ba\u015f\u0131na 80,37 dolara \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla destekleniyor. Tarihsel olarak petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015f, \u00f6zellikle Kanada istihdam verileri beklentileri a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, emtia ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 \u201cLoonie\u201dyi g\u00fc\u00e7lendirir. 1,3916\u2019daki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamay\u0131 hedefleyen, kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 spot seviyeye yak\u0131n (near-the-money) put opsiyonlar\u0131na bak\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Yakla\u015fan ABD enflasyon verisi nedeniyle temkinli kalmak gerekiyor; T\u00dcFE\u2019de s\u00fcrpriz bir y\u00fckseli\u015f, USD\/CAD\u2019yi h\u0131zla yeniden 1,4000\u2019in \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131yabilir. Halihaz\u0131rda USD\/CAD\u2019de bir ayl\u0131k ima edilen volatilite g\u00f6rece d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olan %5,8 seviyesinde; bu da opsiyon primlerini al\u0131c\u0131lar a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor. Paritenin 1,3853 civar\u0131ndaki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamaya do\u011fru gerilemesi halinde kazan\u00e7 imk\u00e2n\u0131 sunarken, \u00f6denen primi s\u0131n\u0131rlayan ay\u0131 put spread stratejilerini tercih ediyoruz.<\/p>\n
RSI 33 ile d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyede bulundu\u011fundan piyasa a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine yakla\u015f\u0131yor; bu nedenle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f trendinin pe\u015finden k\u00f6r\u00fc k\u00f6r\u00fcne gidilmemeli. 1,3916 deste\u011fi korunursa, 1,4075\u2019teki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamaya do\u011fru k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli bir tepki y\u00fckseli\u015fi bekliyoruz. \u0130\u015flemlerimizi s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleriyle kurguluyor ve ani trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne kar\u015f\u0131 sermayeyi korumak i\u00e7in bariyer opsiyonlardan yararlan\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" USD\/CAD 1,40 alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131; g\u00f6zler \u00c7ar\u015famba ABD T\u00dcFE\u2019de. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Kanada istihdam\u0131 ve WTI\u2019daki %5+ ralli loonie\u2019yi destekliyor. Teknik zay\u0131f: RSI 33, MACD negatif; 1,3916\/1,3853 hedef, 1,4000\/1,4075 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49985,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52590","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t