{"id":52519,"date":"2026-08-08T01:21:29","date_gmt":"2026-08-08T01:21:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/sterlin-yatirimcilarin-boenin-faizi-sabit-tutmasi-ve-fedin-faiz-indirimi-olasiligini-tarttigi-ortamda-13500-seviyesine-yakin-yatay-seyrediyor\/"},"modified":"2026-08-08T01:21:29","modified_gmt":"2026-08-08T01:21:29","slug":"sterlin-yatirimcilarin-boenin-faizi-sabit-tutmasi-ve-fedin-faiz-indirimi-olasiligini-tarttigi-ortamda-13500-seviyesine-yakin-yatay-seyrediyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/sterlin-yatirimcilarin-boenin-faizi-sabit-tutmasi-ve-fedin-faiz-indirimi-olasiligini-tarttigi-ortamda-13500-seviyesine-yakin-yatay-seyrediyor\/","title":{"rendered":"Sterlin, Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n BoE\u2019nin Faizi Sabit Tutmas\u0131 ve Fed\u2019in Faiz \u0130ndirimi Olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 Tartt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ortamda 1,3500 Seviyesine Yak\u0131n Yatay Seyrediyor"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sterlin cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,29 y\u00fckseldi ancak bant i\u00e7inde kald\u0131 ve 1,3500 \u00fczerindeki k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131lamad\u0131. \u00dc\u00e7 haftan\u0131n zirvesi olan 1,3509\u2019un g\u00f6r\u00fclmesinin ard\u0131ndan GBP\/USD, 1,3490\u2019a do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekildi.<\/p>\n

Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan parite, 1,3406\u2019daki 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra hafif yukar\u0131 e\u011filimle konsolide oluyor. Yeniden h\u0131zlanma i\u00e7in 15 Temmuz\u2019daki swing zirvesi 1,3558\u2019in yeniden a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor; bu senaryoda 1,3600 g\u00fcndeme gelir. Bunun da \u00fczerinde odak 11 May\u0131s swing zirvesi 1,3653\u2019e, ard\u0131ndan 1,3700\u2019e kayar. Parite 1,3500\u2019in alt\u0131nda kal\u0131rsa 3 A\u011fustos dip seviyesi 1,3417\u2019ye do\u011fru sarkabilir; buran\u0131n k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde 1,3406\/05 b\u00f6lgesindeki 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA yak\u0131nsamas\u0131na, ard\u0131ndan 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 1,3365\u2019e kadar alan a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Kritik Seviyeler Yak\u0131n\u0131nda Konsolidasyon ve Piyasa Volatilitesi<\/h3>\n

\u015eu anda GBP\/USD\u2019nin kritik 1,3500 seviyesinin hemen alt\u0131nda konsolide oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz; 1,3509\u2019daki son zirvesini koruyamayarak 1,3490 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Piyasan\u0131n net bir y\u00f6n belirleyece\u011fi \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n artan volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131 gerekiyor. Bu yatay seyir, \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yap\u0131\u015fkan enflasyonu s\u0131n\u0131rlamak amac\u0131yla politika faizini %5,00\u2019te sabit tutma y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki son karar\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geliyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130\u015flem Stratejileri ve Teknik Tetikleyiciler<\/h3>\n

Y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flem yapanlar i\u00e7in, uzun pozisyona girmeden veya al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu almadan \u00f6nce 15 Temmuz zirvesi 1,3558\u2019in \u00fczerinde net bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n beklenmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Bu seviyenin yeniden kazan\u0131lmas\u0131, b\u00fcy\u00fck olas\u0131l\u0131kla 1,3600\u2019a do\u011fru bir hareketin \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7ar; bir sonraki hedef olarak 1,3653 \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar. Tarihsel olarak sterlin 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n (halen 1,3406) \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131nda al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n kontrol\u00fc elinde tutma e\u011filimi g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor.<\/p>\n

Di\u011fer yandan sterlin 1,3500\u2019\u00fc a\u015famazsa 3 A\u011fustos dibi 1,3417\u2019ye do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilme beklenebilir. Bu taban\u0131n alt\u0131na sark\u0131lmas\u0131, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n kesi\u015fti\u011fi 1,3406\u2019daki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek b\u00f6lgesini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131r. Bu kilit destek de k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa, k\u0131sa vadeli sat\u0131c\u0131lar veya sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonu al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in bir sonraki a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hedef 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama olan 1,3365 olur.<\/p>\n

Bu teknik m\u00fccadele, ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n; ABD i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n son d\u00f6nemde %4,2\u2019ye y\u00fckselmesi dahil zay\u0131f yurti\u00e7i verilerin bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fan\u0131yor. \u00d6te yandan vadeli piyasalar, eyl\u00fclde ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (Fed) faiz indirimi ihtimalini %75 olarak fiyatl\u0131yor; bu da sterline ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011fu ek ivmeyi sa\u011flayabilir. Bu dar bantta riski daha etkin y\u00f6netmek i\u00e7in kilit teknik bariyerler \u00e7evresinde limit emirler kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sterlin\/dolar 1,3500 alt\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: 1,3558 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 1,3600-1,3653 hedef; aksi halde 1,3417 ve 1,3406 SMA deste\u011fi izlenecek. BoE %5 sabit, Fed indirimi %75 volatiliteyi art\u0131r\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50018,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52519","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t