{"id":52472,"date":"2026-08-07T03:21:41","date_gmt":"2026-08-07T03:21:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/guclenen-dolar-ve-cin-ticaret-gorunumundeki-zayiflama-kiwi-dolari-baskilarken-nzd-usd-geriledi\/"},"modified":"2026-08-07T03:21:41","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T03:21:41","slug":"guclenen-dolar-ve-cin-ticaret-gorunumundeki-zayiflama-kiwi-dolari-baskilarken-nzd-usd-geriledi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/guclenen-dolar-ve-cin-ticaret-gorunumundeki-zayiflama-kiwi-dolari-baskilarken-nzd-usd-geriledi\/","title":{"rendered":"G\u00fc\u00e7lenen Dolar ve \u00c7in Ticaret G\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcndeki Zay\u0131flama, Kiwi Dolar\u0131 Bask\u0131larken NZD\/USD Geriledi"},"content":{"rendered":"

NZD\/USD daha zay\u0131f seyretti; ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131n genel \u00e7apta de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131yla 0,5870 civar\u0131nda ve 0,5900 seviyeleri etraf\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. ABD Dolar Endeksi (DXY) %0,26 art\u0131\u015fla 100,00 yak\u0131n\u0131nda bulunurken, yerel bir kataliz\u00f6r\u00fcn olmamas\u0131 Kivi Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda b\u0131rakt\u0131. Emtia fiyat hareketleri de s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 destek sa\u011flad\u0131: Petrol, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 etkileyebilecek olas\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlamalara ili\u015fkin haberler \u00fczerine varil ba\u015f\u0131na %3 y\u00fckselerek 77,30 dolara \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131; ayn\u0131 ba\u015fl\u0131klar alt\u0131nda alt\u0131n %0,09 gerilerken g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f %0,84 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Odak, gece a\u00e7\u0131klanacak \u00c7in d\u0131\u015f ticaret verileri ile Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) verisine \u00e7evrildi. \u00c7in\u2019de Temmuz ihracat b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %27\u2019den %22,2\u2019ye yava\u015flamas\u0131; ithalat b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin ise %36\u2019dan %27,9\u2019a gerilemesi bekleniyor. D\u0131\u015f ticaret fazlas\u0131n\u0131n da 125,62 milyar dolardan 107 milyar dolara inmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. ABD\u2019de ise istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n Haziran\u2019daki 57 binin ard\u0131ndan 80 bine y\u00fckselmesi, ortalama saatlik kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n da ayl\u0131k %0,3 artmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde NZD\/USD 0,5869\u2019da; 20 periyotluk SMA olan 0,5876\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda ancak 100 periyotluk SMA olan 0,5835\u2019in \u00fczerinde. Yak\u0131n arz b\u00f6lgesi 0,5872\u20130,5882 aral\u0131\u011f\u0131nda; RSI 51 civar\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7ler 0,5872, 0,5876, 0,5882 ard\u0131ndan 0,5907, 0,5930 ve 0,5965 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken; destekler 0,5860 ve 0,5835 seviyelerinde izleniyor.<\/p>\n

Zay\u0131f Kivi ve Yo\u011fun Veri Riskleri Ortam\u0131nda T\u00fcrev Stratejisi<\/h3>\n

NZD\/USD paritesini 0,5870 civar\u0131nda seyrederken yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz; daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131n bask\u0131s\u0131 belirgin. Parite 20 periyotluk hareketli ortalamas\u0131 olan 0,5876\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli bir k\u0131r\u0131lma stratejisine haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Tarihsel olarak, Kivi Dolar\u0131 so\u011fuyan \u00c7in ekonomisi ile diren\u00e7li bir Greenback kombinasyonunda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131y\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde art\u0131rma e\u011filimi g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7in\u2019in ithalat b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin %36\u2019dan %27,9\u2019a yava\u015flamas\u0131 bekleniyor; bu durum, s\u00fct \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ve et a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ihracat yap\u0131s\u0131na sahip Yeni Zelanda ekonomisi i\u00e7in do\u011frudan bir risk olu\u015fturuyor. \u00c7in, Yeni Zelanda toplam ihracat\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k %30\u2019unu sat\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, NZD\/USD\u2019de yak\u0131n vadeli put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131n\u0131n, kritik 100 periyotluk destek seviyesi 0,5835\u2019in hemen alt\u0131na konumland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131, ani bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe kar\u015f\u0131 portf\u00f6yleri koruyabilir.<\/p>\n

Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi (beklenti 80 bin), 100,00 yak\u0131n\u0131nda seyreden ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc belirleyecek. Ortalama saatlik kazan\u00e7lara \u00f6zellikle dikkat edilmeli; ayl\u0131k %0,3 art\u0131\u015f bekleniyor. \u00dccret art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklentiyi a\u015farsa, Fed\u2019in faizleri daha uzun s\u00fcre y\u00fcksek tutma olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lenebilir; bu da ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 destekleyerek Kivi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n

Emtia Hareketleri ve Enerji Piyasas\u0131nda F\u0131rsatlar<\/h3>\n

Bu arada H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki jeopolitik gerilim petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 varil ba\u015f\u0131na %3 y\u00fckselterek 77,30 dolara ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Artan arz riski temas\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda ham petrol vadeli i\u015flemlerinde uzun pozisyonlar veya call opsiyonlar\u0131yla de\u011ferlendirme yap\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Petrol s\u0131\u00e7ramalar\u0131 normalde emtia ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 para birimlerini desteklese de, Kivi Dolar\u0131 yerel ekonomik zay\u0131fl\u0131k nedeniyle \u015fu a\u015famada bu e\u011filimden ayr\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kivi\u2019de alarm zilleri: NZD\/USD, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Dolar ve zay\u0131flamas\u0131 beklenen \u00c7in ticaret verileriyle 0,5870\u2019e indi. G\u00f6zler NFP\u2019de. 0,5876 alt\u0131nda bask\u0131, 0,5835 kritik destek; put opsiyonu g\u00fcndemde.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50546,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52472","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t