USD\/CHF Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc toparlanarak iki g\u00fcnl\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f serisini sonland\u0131rd\u0131 ve g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD istihdam verilerinin ard\u0131ndan %0,60\u2019\u0131n \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseldi. Hareket, 0,8052\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama\u2019n\u0131n (SMA) savunulmas\u0131yla desteklendi; bu da paritenin yeniden 0,8100 seviyesinin \u00fczerine ta\u015f\u0131nmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu.<\/p>\n
Genel y\u00fckseli\u015f trendi korunuyor; daha y\u00fcksek zirveler ve daha y\u00fcksek dipler yap\u0131s\u0131 s\u00fcrerken, G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) de 50 n\u00f6tr seviyesinin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Diren\u00e7 0,8150\u2019de yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131yor; bu seviyenin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde fiyatlama 0,8200\u2019ye i\u015faret ediyor ve y\u0131ll\u0131k zirve olan 0,8207 bir sonraki bariyer konumunda. Burada k\u0131r\u0131lma, 4 Haziran 2025 d\u00f6ng\u00fc zirvesi olan 0,8250\u2019ye kap\u0131 aralayabilir; ard\u0131ndan 0,8300 g\u00fcndeme gelir. A\u015fa\u011f\u0131da ilk destek 0,8100\u2019de; 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 0,8052\u2019nin alt\u0131na sarkma ise 0,8000 seviyesini yeniden oda\u011fa ta\u015f\u0131yacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na, USD\/CHF\u2019te \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda kal\u0131c\u0131 bir y\u00fckseli\u015f hareketine y\u00f6nelik pozisyonlanmay\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz; \u00f6zellikle paritenin 0,8052\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131yla savunmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan. 0,8150 kullan\u0131m fiyatl\u0131 al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131 ya da bo\u011fa call spread stratejileri, mevcut ko\u015fullarda cazip bir risk-getiri profili sunuyor. Bu y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumu, RSI\u2019\u0131n yeniden 50 n\u00f6tr e\u015fi\u011finin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla destekleniyor; bu da k\u0131sa vadeli trendde kontrol\u00fcn net bi\u00e7imde al\u0131c\u0131larda oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n
Bu teknik k\u0131r\u0131lma, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc makro temellerle de uyumlu. Son ABD i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc verileri ge\u00e7en ay 175 binlik g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131na i\u015faret ederken, i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 %4,1 seviyesinde sabit kald\u0131. Ayr\u0131ca geni\u015f faiz fark\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde dolar\u0131 destekliyor: Fed\u2019in politika faizi yakla\u015f\u0131k %4,25 seviyesinde kal\u0131rken, \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (SNB) politika faizi %1,0 d\u00fczeyinde bulunuyor. 325 baz puanl\u0131k bu getiri avantaj\u0131, tarihsel olarak \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131\u2019ndan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ve daha y\u00fcksek getirili ABD dolar\u0131 varl\u0131klar\u0131na y\u00f6nelimi tetikliyor.<\/p>\n
Vadeli i\u015flemler ve forward i\u015flemleri yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar i\u00e7in, 0,8100 \u00fczerine yerle\u015fmenin ard\u0131ndan uzun pozisyon \u00f6neriyoruz; s\u0131k\u0131 bir zarar-kes (stop-loss) ise kritik psikolojik destek olan 0,8000\u2019in hemen alt\u0131na konumland\u0131r\u0131lmal\u0131. Ana yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hedeflerimizi 0,8200 seviyesine belirlerken, 2025 ortas\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen \u00f6nceki d\u00f6ng\u00fc zirvesi 0,8250\u2019nin test edilmesini de g\u00fcndemde tutuyoruz. Spot kurun y\u0131ll\u0131k zirve olan 0,8207\u2019nin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 halinde, 0,8300\u2019deki ana diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir ivmelenme bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Dolar\/Frank yeniden viteste: G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD istihdam\u0131 ve 0,8052 SMA savunmas\u0131yla USD\/CHF %0,60+ y\u00fckselip 0,8100 \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Hedef 0,8150\/0,8200-0,8250; destek 0,8100, kritik 0,8000.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52462","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t