Sterlin, ABD i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 verilerinin Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) \u00f6ncesinde dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne i\u015faret etmesiyle Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda yatay seyretti. GBP\/USD, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 1,3404 seviyesindeki dipten toparlanmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan 1,3466\u2019dan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. 1 A\u011fustos\u2019ta sona eren haftaya ili\u015fkin \u0130lk \u0130\u015fsizlik Maa\u015f\u0131 Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 199 bin ile \u00f6nceki haftan\u0131n \u00fczerinde ancak 202 binlik piyasa beklentisinin alt\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Challenger\u2019\u0131n planlanan i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karmalar\u0131 ise Temmuz\u2019da %27 d\u00fc\u015ferek 33,429 bine geriledi ve Temmuz 2024\u2019ten bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Piyasalar, Haziran\u2019daki 57 bine k\u0131yasla 80 binlik istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklerken, \u0130\u015fsizlik Oran\u0131\u2019n\u0131n %4,2\u2019de de\u011fi\u015fmeden kalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor; bu seviye, Fed\u2019in 2026 sonu i\u00e7in %4,5\u2019lik projeksiyonunun alt\u0131nda. Enflasyon ise be\u015f y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcredir %2 hedefinin \u00fczerinde seyrediyor.<\/p>\n\n
Jeopolitik riskler g\u00fcndemde kalmaya devam etti. Olas\u0131 bir \u0130ran\u2013Umman d\u00fczenlemesi H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131labilece\u011fi beklentisini art\u0131r\u0131rken, baz\u0131 haber ak\u0131\u015flar\u0131nda ABD, \u0130srail ve di\u011fer \u201chas\u0131m\u201d \u00fclkelerle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 gemilere y\u00f6nelik k\u0131s\u0131tlamalara da i\u015faret edildi. Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k\u2019ta S&P Global \u0130n\u015faat PMI 38,4\u2019ten 44,7\u2019ye y\u00fckseldi. Grafiklerde GBP\/USD\u2019nin 1,3441\u2019in ve 1,3365 civar\u0131ndaki 50\/100\/200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA k\u00fcmesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131, RSI\u2019\u0131n 56,7 seviyesinde bulundu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Diren\u00e7 1,3523 ve 1,3554\u2019te, destek ise 1,3316\u2019da izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n, paritenin kritik teknik desteklerin \u00fczerinde kalmaya devam etmesi nedeniyle GBP\/USD\u2019de \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 pozitif duru\u015funu korumas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. 1,3466 seviyesindeki spot fiyat, 1,3365 civar\u0131nda k\u00fcmelenen 50, 100 ve 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n belirgin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde. G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 56,7 ile yap\u0131c\u0131 bir g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm sunarken, 1,3440 seviyesine do\u011fru k\u0131sa vadeli geri \u00e7ekilmelerde uzun pozisyon a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 veya al\u0131m (call) opsiyonu al\u0131nmas\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde, yakla\u015fan ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisine piyasan\u0131n verece\u011fi tepkiyle volatilitenin artmas\u0131na haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmal\u0131y\u0131z. Ekonomistler istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nceki 57 binden 80 bine y\u00fckselmesini beklerken, ABD i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131n\u0131n %4,2\u2019de sabit kalaca\u011f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Bu veriyi daha g\u00fcvenli \u015fekilde i\u015flem yapmak i\u00e7in, nihai y\u00f6n ne olursa olsun ani ve sert fiyat hareketlerinden faydalanmay\u0131 ama\u00e7layan straddle gibi opsiyon stratejileri kullan\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerilim, \u00f6zellikle H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki ge\u00e7i\u015f kurallar\u0131 \u00fczerinden, g\u00fcvenli liman talebiyle ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019n\u0131 h\u0131zla g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilecek ek bir risk katman\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak enerji arz\u0131na ili\u015fkin aksakl\u0131klar piyasa oynakl\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ani s\u0131\u00e7ramalara yol a\u00e7ar ve bu durum genellikle Sterlin gibi risk hassasiyeti y\u00fcksek para birimleri \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 kurar. Sterlin uzun pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 ani a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 korumak amac\u0131yla koruyucu sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 bulundurulmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k taraf\u0131nda ise ekonomik dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n i\u015faretleri g\u00f6r\u00fclmeye ba\u015flad\u0131; S&P Global \u0130n\u015faat PMI \u00f6nceki 38,4 seviyesinden 44,7\u2019ye s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131. Bu iyile\u015fme, i\u00e7 ekonominin beklentilere g\u00f6re daha iyi dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ederek Sterlin\u2019de derin sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rlanmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir. Getiriyi maksimize ederken riski net bi\u00e7imde s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rmak i\u00e7in, 1,3523 ve 1,3554 seviyelerindeki diren\u00e7 bariyerleri hedeflenerek bull call spread stratejileri de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin, NFP \u00f6ncesi ABD verileriyle dolara kar\u015f\u0131 yatay; GBP\/USD 1,3466\u2019da. \u0130\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck, i\u015ften \u00e7\u0131karmalar azald\u0131. Teknikte destek \u00fcst\u00fc, RSI 56,7. Jeopolitik risk, volatiliteyi art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49969,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t