Sterlin Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6stermeyerek 1,3460 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc ve \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc 1,3486 zirvesinden geriledi. Parite 100 piplik bant i\u00e7inde kal\u0131rken 1,3500 seviyesine yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgede diren\u00e7le kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131; daha zay\u0131f bir Dolar ise 1,3400 \u00fczerinde deste\u011fin korunmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Piyasalar ABD istihdam verileri \u00f6ncesinde pozisyon ald\u0131; Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Temmuz ay\u0131 Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP) verisi a\u00e7\u0131klanacak, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc ilerleyen saatlerde ise Haftal\u0131k \u0130\u015fsizlik Maa\u015f\u0131 Ba\u015fvurular\u0131 yay\u0131mlanacak.<\/p>\n
Haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Sterlin, Temmuz ay\u0131 S&P Global Hizmet PMI verisinin yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revize edilmesi ve bir di\u011fer zay\u0131f ABD istihdam g\u00f6stergesinin ard\u0131ndan destek buldu; bu geli\u015fmeler Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 verisine ili\u015fkin belirsizli\u011fi art\u0131r\u0131rken, Fed\u2019in ilave faiz art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na dair beklentileri de t\u00f6rp\u00fcledi. Deutsche Bank ekonomistleri Temmuz\u2019da istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 +65 bin olarak \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc; Haziran\u2019da bu rakam +57 bindi. Ayr\u0131 olarak, olas\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya ili\u015fkin ABD ve \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililerden gelen kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k mesajlar\u0131n risk hassasiyetini art\u0131rmas\u0131yla kur 1,3450\u2019ye do\u011fru s\u00fcz\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
\u015eu anda \u0130ngiliz Sterlini\u2019nin 1,3450 \u00fczerinde yatay seyrini korudu\u011funu ve yar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanacak kritik ABD Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisine yakla\u015f\u0131rken 100 piplik dar bir bantta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. GBP\/USD\u2019nin 1,3500 direncini a\u015fmakta zorlanmas\u0131 nedeniyle, t\u00fcrev piyasa yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli bant i\u00e7i (range-bound) stratejilere odaklanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Yatay seyrin hafta sonuna kadar s\u00fcrmesi halinde, 1,3400\u20131,3500 band\u0131n\u0131n hemen d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndan opsiyon sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 istikrarl\u0131 prim geliri sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
Yar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanacak Temmuz istihdam verisi yak\u0131ndan izleniyor; Deutsche Bank gibi kurumlar Haziran\u2019daki 57 bine k\u0131yasla 65 binlik s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Tarihsel olarak bu denli d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck istihdam art\u0131\u015flar\u0131 ABD Dolar\u0131 \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratma e\u011filiminde oldu\u011fundan, 1,3500 \u00fczeri yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lma i\u00e7in gerekli kataliz\u00f6r\u00fc sa\u011flayabilir. Olas\u0131 volatiliteyi de\u011ferlendirmek ad\u0131na, ani bir yukar\u0131 atakta getiri hedefleyen straddle al\u0131m\u0131 veya k\u0131r\u0131lma senaryosuna y\u00f6nelik call opsiyonlar\u0131 haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k ekonomisi, Temmuz ay\u0131 S&P Global Hizmet PMI verisindeki yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc revizyonun i\u015faret etti\u011fi g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc i\u00e7 dinamiklerle dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak ABD-\u0130ran m\u00fczakerelerine ili\u015fkin s\u00fcregelen jeopolitik belirsizlikler piyasaya d\u00f6nem d\u00f6nem ani riskten ka\u00e7\u0131\u015f dalgalar\u0131 enjekte etmeye devam ediyor. Sterlin\u2019de uzun pozisyon ta\u015f\u0131yanlar\u0131n, man\u015fet kaynakl\u0131 ani geri \u00e7ekilmelerde kurun yeniden 1,3400 deste\u011fine y\u00f6nelmesine kar\u015f\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 stop-loss kullanmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda bu siyasi ve ekonomik anlat\u0131lar\u0131n seyrine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak volatilitenin y\u00fckselmesini bekliyoruz. GBP\/USD opsiyonlar\u0131nda ima edilen volatilite nispeten d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden, uzun volatilite stratejileri bu a\u015famada daha cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Koruyucu put al\u0131m\u0131 ya da butterfly spread gibi yap\u0131larla riskin dengelenmesinin, mevcut konsolidasyon formasyonundan \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015fta belirgin bir k\u0131r\u0131lma i\u00e7in pozisyonlanmaya yard\u0131mc\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Sterlin\/dolar 1,3460\u2019ta s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131: 1,3500 diren\u00e7, 1,3400 destek. Piyasalar NFP ve i\u015fsizlik ba\u015fvurular\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor; zay\u0131f istihdam dolar bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilir, opsiyonlarda bant\/volatilite stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50045,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52452","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t