WTI, temmuz sonundaki 80 dolar\u0131n orta seviyelerinden 6 A\u011fustos\u2019ta yakla\u015f\u0131k 74,25 dolara geriledi; piyasalar Orta Do\u011fu kaynakl\u0131 riskin azalmas\u0131n\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ge\u00e7i\u015flerin daha iyi akmas\u0131n\u0131 fiyatl\u0131yor. Ancak fiziksel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm daha yava\u015f tepki verdi: K\u00f6rfez ham petrol ve kondensat ihracat\u0131 temmuzda g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama yakla\u015f\u0131k 10,7 milyon varil oldu; bu seviye hazirana k\u0131yasla b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde de\u011fi\u015fmezken sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi d\u00fczeylerin h\u00e2l\u00e2 yakla\u015f\u0131k %40 alt\u0131nda ve tanker trafi\u011fi k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. OPEC\u2019in yedek kapasitesi var ve OPEC+ kotalar\u0131 art\u0131rabilir, ancak teslimat; ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k, rafinaj ve da\u011f\u0131t\u0131ma ba\u011fl\u0131. Bir sonraki planl\u0131 OPEC+ kota art\u0131\u015f\u0131 eyl\u00fclden itibaren g\u00fcnl\u00fck 188 bin varil; ABD \u00fcretimi rekor seviyelere yak\u0131n seyrederken Brezilya ve Guyana arz ekliyor, ancak kaya petrol\u00fc \u00fcreticileri sermaye harcamalar\u0131nda temkinli davran\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n
Talep sinyalleri karma kal\u0131yor. IEA, k\u00fcresel petrol talebinin 2026\u2019da yakla\u015f\u0131k g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1 milyon varil d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp 2027\u2019de toparlanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcrken, EIA bu y\u0131l daha da b\u00fcy\u00fck bir gerileme bekliyor; OPEC ise beklentisini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 revize etmesine ra\u011fmen b\u00fcy\u00fcme projeksiyonunu koruyor. \u00c7in\u2019in haziran ithalat\u0131 ve rafineri \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131, tedarikin (Rusya dahil) farkl\u0131 kaynaklara kaymas\u0131yla zay\u0131flad\u0131. ABD verileri, Cushing\u2019in de y\u00fckseldi\u011fi \u015fekilde ticari ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 2,5 milyon varil artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; buna kar\u015f\u0131n ham petrol, benzin ve distilat stoklar\u0131 mevsimsel normlar\u0131n alt\u0131nda ve rafineriler y\u00fcksek kapasite kullan\u0131m\u0131nda \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Brent backwardation\u2019da kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Teknik seviyeler olarak g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI\u2019\u0131n 42 civar\u0131nda, haftal\u0131k RSI\u2019\u0131n 46 civar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu; destek seviyelerinin 73-74 dolar, ard\u0131ndan 71-72 dolar ve 68-70 dolar band\u0131 oldu\u011fu belirtildi. Senaryo olas\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 72-82 dolar aral\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in %55, 85-100+ dolar i\u00e7in %25 ve 65-70 dolar i\u00e7in %20 olarak verildi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde tansiyon d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcyor: WTI 80\u2019den 74,25\u2019e indi, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz riski fiyatland\u0131. K\u00f6rfez ihracat\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 %40 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck, tanker k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131. OPEC+ art\u0131\u015f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131; talep-stok sinyalleri kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k, bant 72-82.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50003,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52448","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t