Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD), Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Asya seans\u0131n\u0131n erken saatlerinde 4.255 dolar civar\u0131na y\u00fckselerek \u015eubat\u2019tan bu yana en b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u00fcnl\u00fck s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden g\u00fczerg\u00e2h\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 beklentilerinin enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015felerini yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ilave Fed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131na duyulan alg\u0131lanan ihtiyac\u0131 azaltmas\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131 destekledi. Ayr\u0131 olarak \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Umman ile bir anla\u015fman\u0131n \u201cnihai hale getirildi\u011fini\u201d belirtirken, ABD ve \u0130srail\u2019in su yolundaki ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan h\u00e2l\u00e2 risk olu\u015fturdu\u011fu uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Temmuz istihdam verilerine odaklanm\u0131\u015f durumda; ekonomistler Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam\u2019\u0131n 80 bin artmas\u0131n\u0131 ve \u0130\u015fsizlik Oran\u0131\u2019n\u0131n %4,2\u2019de sabit kalmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir veri dolar\u0131n de\u011fer kazanmas\u0131na ve dolar bazl\u0131 emtialar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131ya yol a\u00e7abilir.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131ndaki hareket, petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn enflasyon endi\u015felerini azaltmas\u0131yla birlikte ABD Hazine tahvil getirilerinin e\u011fri genelinde gerilemesiyle peki\u015fti. Grafik taraf\u0131nda XAU\/USD, Bollinger Bantlar\u0131 i\u00e7inde 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck basit hareketli ortalamay\u0131 yeniden kazan\u0131rken, G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (14) 60,95 seviyesinde bulunuyor; bu da a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 al\u0131m sinyali vermeden g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir momentuma i\u015faret ediyor. Diren\u00e7 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 4.400 dolar civar\u0131nda; destek seviyeleri 4.185 dolar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra 4.070 dolar civar\u0131nda izleniyor. Daha derin bir geri \u00e7ekilmede yakla\u015f\u0131k 3.950 dolara do\u011fru risk g\u00fcndeme gelebilir. Merkez bankalar\u0131 2022\u2019de yakla\u015f\u0131k 70 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde 1.136 ton alt\u0131n ekleyerek, kay\u0131tlardaki en y\u00fcksek y\u0131ll\u0131k al\u0131m\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n
XAU\/USD\u2019nin 4.255 dolardaki son zirvesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda seyretti\u011fi ortamda, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n alt\u0131n opsiyonlar\u0131 ve vadeli i\u015flemlerde artan volatiliteye haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na ili\u015fkin olas\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131, enerji kaynakl\u0131 enflasyon endi\u015felerini belirgin bi\u00e7imde hafifleterek ABD 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k tahvil getirilerini a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekti. Bu makro d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm, ilave Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor; bu da tarihsel olarak getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir y\u00fckseli\u015f itici g\u00fcc\u00fc olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Yar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD Temmuz Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisi yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli. Piyasa beklentisi 80 bin yeni istihdam ve %4,2\u2019de sabit i\u015fsizlik oran\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde; bir sonraki trendin y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc bu veri belirleyecek. Tarihsel olarak zay\u0131f istihdam art\u0131\u015f\u0131, 2024 sonu ve 2025 ba\u015f\u0131ndaki i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 so\u011fumalar\u0131na benzer \u015fekilde, alt\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc rallileri tetikleyerek metalin mevcut rekor b\u00f6lgesine ilerlemesine katk\u0131 sa\u011flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Yar\u0131n beklenenden zay\u0131f bir istihdam verisi, sar\u0131 metalin yak\u0131n teknik engellerini h\u0131zla a\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan, trader\u2019lar\u0131n 4.400 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerine olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 hedeflemek i\u00e7in bo\u011fa call spread gibi tan\u0131ml\u0131 riskli stratejileri kullanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir istihdam verisi ABD dolar\u0131n\u0131 ge\u00e7ici olarak desteklerse, 4.185 dolardaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc destek b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru geri \u00e7ekilmelerde al\u0131m f\u0131rsat\u0131 aranabilir. Ancak jeopolitik bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde olas\u0131 ani bir bozulmaya kar\u015f\u0131, 4.070 dolardaki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n hemen alt\u0131na s\u0131k\u0131 stop-loss seviyeleri yerle\u015ftirilmelidir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131n, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz\u2019\u00fcn a\u00e7\u0131laca\u011f\u0131 beklentisiyle enerji enflasyonu ve Fed s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma kayg\u0131lar\u0131 azal\u0131nca 4.255 dolara s\u0131\u00e7rad\u0131. G\u00f6zler ABD NFP\u2019de; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc veri dolar\u0131 destekleyip alt\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131layabilir. Teknikte 4.400 diren\u00e7, 4.185-4.070 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50139,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52423","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t