WTI, \u00e7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc \u00fc\u00e7 haftan\u0131n en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesine yak\u0131n seyretti; piyasalar H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndan ticari gemi ge\u00e7i\u015flerinin yeniden ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131na dair teyit beklerken varil ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 74 dolardan i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u0130ran ve Umman, \u00f6nerilen deniz rotas\u0131na ili\u015fkin co\u011frafi koordinatlar \u00fczerinde anla\u015ft\u0131. \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise, \u201c\u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc taraflar\u0131n\u201d m\u00fcdahale etmemesi \u015fart\u0131yla ortak bildirinin g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilmesi ve taslak metnin haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131n\u0131n son a\u015famalar\u0131nda oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Ayr\u0131 bir haberde, \u0130ran\u2013Umman mutabakat\u0131n\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na Bo\u011faz\u2019\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7mayaca\u011f\u0131; ABD taahh\u00fctlerinin yerine getirilmesi dahil ek d\u00fczenlemeler gerekece\u011fi belirtildi.<\/p>\n
ABD taraf\u0131nda, EIA verileri ham petrol stoklar\u0131n\u0131n 1,5 milyon varillik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisine kar\u015f\u0131n 2,479 milyon varil artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; \u00f6nceki hafta stoklar 7,167 milyon varil gerilemi\u015fti. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde WTI, 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ve 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor; RSI yakla\u015f\u0131k 42 seviyesinde ve MACD s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n alt\u0131nda. Diren\u00e7, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019ya yak\u0131n 79,58 dolar ve 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019da 80,27 dolar seviyelerinde; 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 87,43 dolar. Destek ise 67,00\u201370,00 dolar band\u0131nda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019na ili\u015fkin haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklenirken WTI 74 dolar civar\u0131nda dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda azami dikkat tavsiye ediyoruz. Sevkiyat m\u00fczakerelerinde ani bir kopu\u015fun sert bir fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131n\u0131 tetikleyebilme ihtimali nedeniyle, teminats\u0131z k\u0131sa call pozisyonlar\u0131ndan ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. Bunun yerine, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskli ay\u0131 (bear) put spread yap\u0131lar\u0131, a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc trendden faydalan\u0131rken ani jeopolitik \u015foklara kar\u015f\u0131 korunma sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n
Teknik g\u00f6stergeler sat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 belirgin \u015fekilde destekliyor; WTI, 79,58 dolardaki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n ve 87,43 dolardaki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n belirgin bi\u00e7imde alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Sevkiyat anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n netle\u015fmesi halinde fiyat\u0131n 67,00\u201370,00 dolardaki kritik destek aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na do\u011fru kademeli gerilemesi beklenebilir. K\u0131sa vadeli vadeli i\u015flem yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, 80,27 dolardaki 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleriyle k\u0131sa pozisyonlar de\u011ferlendirilebilir.<\/p>\n
Bu ay\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc, EIA\u2019n\u0131n ABD ham petrol stoklar\u0131nda beklentideki 1,5 milyon varillik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f yerine s\u00fcrpriz 2,479 milyon varillik art\u0131\u015fa i\u015faret eden son raporuyla da g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Ayr\u0131ca g\u00fcncel piyasa verileri, ABD sahalar\u0131nda ham petrol \u00fcretiminin son derece g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc; 2026\u2019da g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama 13,2 milyon varilin \u00fczerinde seyretti\u011fini ve k\u00fcresel arz\u0131 y\u00fcksek \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde diren\u00e7li tuttu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Tarihsel olarak, fiziksel arz fazlas\u0131 negatif teknik g\u00f6stergelerle birle\u015fti\u011finde ham petrol fiyatlar\u0131 \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 olu\u015fur.<\/p>\n
Jeopolitik belirsizlik opsiyon ima edilen volatilitesini y\u00fcksek tuttu\u011fundan, y\u00fcksek primlerden yararlanmak i\u00e7in vade d\u0131\u015f\u0131 (out-of-the-money) call spread sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcndeme al\u0131nabilir. Bu strateji, 80 dolar yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc diren\u00e7 seviyelerinden g\u00fcvenli mesafeyi korurken zaman de\u011fer kayb\u0131ndan (theta) kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamaya imkan verir. Esnek kal\u0131nmal\u0131d\u0131r; H\u00fcrm\u00fcz sevkiyat anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n resmen imzalanmas\u0131, 67 dolar civar\u0131ndaki destek taban\u0131na do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc tetikleyebilir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Petrolde kritik e\u015fik: WTI 74 dolarda, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz ge\u00e7i\u015fi i\u00e7in teyit bekleniyor. \u0130ran\u2013Umman ilerliyor ancak ABD \u015fartlar\u0131 masada. EIA stok s\u00fcrprizi ay\u0131lar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor; 80 diren\u00e7, 67\u201370 destek.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49963,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t