Wall Street hisseleri, a\u011fustos rallisini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek S&P 500 ve Dow Jones Sanayi Endeksi\u2019nin (DJIA) art arda ikinci kez rekor kapan\u0131\u015f yapmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flad\u0131. Daha \u00f6nce teknoloji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne ili\u015fkin endi\u015feler, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik bir anla\u015fma beklentisinin i\u015flemleri desteklemesiyle azald\u0131. D\u00fc\u015fen petrol fiyatlar\u0131, enflasyon \u00fczerinde potansiyel bir fren olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, bu durum 2026\u2019da ABD Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (Fed) faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 da azaltabilir.<\/p>\n
Alt\u0131n ve g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f, her iki metalde de mart sonundaki dip seviyelerin daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD dolar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda tutunamamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, haziran ortas\u0131ndan bu yana en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc seans\u0131n\u0131 kaydetti. Ge\u00e7en hafta sert bir tersine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f getirdi ve k\u0131ymetli metaller genelinde daha geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir toparlanma ihtimalini yeniden g\u00fcndeme ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131. Piyasan\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131 \u015fimdi ay\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde yap\u0131lacak Jackson Hole toplant\u0131s\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Fed\u2019in mesajlar\u0131na \u00e7evrilirken, IG, ba\u015f piyasa analisti Chris Beauchamp\u2019\u0131n d\u00f6rt y\u0131ld\u0131r \u015firkette g\u00f6rev yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve BBC ile Sky News dahil olmak \u00fczere medyada s\u0131k yorum yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
A\u011fustosta S&P 500 ve Dow Jones\u2019un art arda t\u00fcm zamanlar\u0131n en y\u00fcksek seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131yla, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131yla bu y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumu e\u015fli\u011finde pozisyon almas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz. Tarihsel olarak S&P 500\u2019\u00fcn a\u011fustosta yeni zirveler g\u00f6rmesi, \u00e7o\u011fu zaman bu ivmenin devam\u0131n\u0131 getiriyor; son on y\u0131ldaki benzer yaz rallilerinde de bu durum g\u00f6zlendi. Yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bu e\u011filimden faydalan\u0131rken riski tan\u0131ml\u0131 tutmak i\u00e7in SPY gibi ana endeks ETF\u2019lerinde call spread sat\u0131n al\u0131nmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131n olas\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131, Brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiden a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ekmeye ba\u015flad\u0131; fiyatlar \u015fu anda varil ba\u015f\u0131na 75 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru geriliyor. Enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcndeki bu so\u011fumay\u0131 i\u015flemlemek i\u00e7in, daha fazla fiyat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnden kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamak amac\u0131yla enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fc ETF\u2019leri veya petrol vadeli i\u015flemleri \u00fczerinde sat\u0131m (put) opsiyonlar\u0131 kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck enerji maliyetleri, muhtemelen yakla\u015fan enflasyon verilerini bask\u0131layarak Fed\u2019in bu y\u0131l\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6neminde faiz art\u0131rma bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n
K\u0131ymetli metaller g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir yeniden canlanma ya\u015f\u0131yor; ABD dolar\u0131ndaki ani zay\u0131flaman\u0131n ard\u0131ndan alt\u0131n ons ba\u015f\u0131na 2.500 dolar seviyesine do\u011fru yeniden y\u00fckseliyor. Haziran ortas\u0131ndan bu yana en iyi tek g\u00fcnl\u00fck kazan\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 yeni kaydeden g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f ve alt\u0131nda uzun vadeli i\u015flem kontratlar\u0131 veya al\u0131m (call) opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n de\u011ferlendirilmesini tavsiye ediyoruz. Ancak ay\u0131n ilerleyen d\u00f6nemindeki Fed\u2019in Jackson Hole toplant\u0131s\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131rken, faiz politikas\u0131na dair yorumlar\u0131n dolar\u0131n y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc h\u0131zla de\u011fi\u015ftirebilece\u011fi dikkate al\u0131narak zarar-kes (stop-loss) emirlerinin s\u0131k\u0131 tutulmas\u0131 kritik \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Wall Street a\u011fustos rallisini b\u00fcy\u00fct\u00fcyor: S&P 500 ve Dow rekor tazeledi. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz anla\u015fmas\u0131 beklentisi petrol\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcp enflasyon\/Fed bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azalt\u0131yor. Alt\u0131n-g\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f sert toparland\u0131; Jackson Hole \u00f6ncesi opsiyon stratejileri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50055,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52412","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t