ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Bessent, Japonya\u2019n\u0131n yeni savunmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmak i\u00e7in \u201cne gerekiyorsa yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d s\u00f6yledi ve Japonya\u2019n\u0131n daha fazla bor\u00e7lanabilmesi i\u00e7in repo imkan\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletmek \u00fczere \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. USD\/JPY i\u015flemlerinde parite 29\/7\u2019de 163,56 ile zirve yapt\u0131ktan sonra 2\/8 Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fcne kadar 155,22\u2019ye geriledi, ard\u0131ndan d\u00fcn 157,96\u2019ya toparland\u0131. Brifing, olas\u0131 d\u00fczeltme seviyeleri olarak 158,58 (%38) ve 159,59 (%50) seviyelerini i\u015faret ederek, hareketi resmi m\u00fcdahale ihtimaliyle birlikte geli\u015fen bir toparlanma olarak \u00e7er\u00e7eveledi.<\/p>\n
Notta, ABD\u2019de a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 beklenen veriler aras\u0131nda ADP \u00f6zel sekt\u00f6r istihdam\u0131 ve ISM hizmet d\u0131\u015f\u0131 PMI\u2019\u0131n bulundu\u011fu, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 ve Bo\u011faz \u00e7evresindeki jeopolitik riskin piyasa y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc belirledi\u011fi; yeniden a\u00e7\u0131lma beklentileri g\u00fc\u00e7lendik\u00e7e hisse endekslerinin y\u00fckseldi\u011fi belirtildi. Ayr\u0131 olarak Warsh, Fed\u2019in toplant\u0131 takvimini y\u0131lda 8\u2019den 6\u2019ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmeyi g\u00fcndeme getirdi ve bunun faiz ve getiri ke\u015ffinin daha fazla piyasaya b\u0131rak\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savundu. Brifing ayr\u0131ca FT\u2019nin Trump\u2019\u0131n t\u0131rmanma ile anla\u015fma aras\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki \u00e7er\u00e7evesine at\u0131f yapt\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti elde edebilece\u011fini, olas\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131m gev\u015femesi ve dondurulmu\u015f fonlar\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131na eri\u015fim sa\u011flayabilece\u011fini ileri s\u00fcrd\u00fc; \u00f6nceki bir b\u00f6l\u00fcmdeki \u201c29. g\u00fcn\u201d ile \u201c59. g\u00fcn\u201d kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmas\u0131 yapt\u0131 ve son iki y\u0131lda k\u0131zam\u0131k vakalar\u0131 ile \u00f6l\u00fcmlerinin \u00f6nceki 30 y\u0131l\u0131n toplam\u0131n\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ayr\u0131ca Trump\u2019\u0131n dava s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinin %70\u2019inden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
USD\/JPY son toparlanma seviyeleri civar\u0131nda seyrederken, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n d\u00f6viz piyasalar\u0131nda ani m\u00fcdahalelere haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. 2 A\u011fustos\u2019ta 155,22\u2019ye sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan paritenin 158,58 ve 159,59 d\u00fczeltme seviyelerine do\u011fru t\u0131rman\u0131\u015f\u0131, put opsiyonlar\u0131yla \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kan bir k\u0131sa pozisyon f\u0131rsat\u0131 sunuyor. ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent\u2019in \u201cne gerekiyorsa yapaca\u011f\u0131z\u201d vaadinin, yak\u0131nda repo imkan\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir geni\u015fleme anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini ve bunun bu dolar rallisini bast\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyoruz.<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019n\u0131 g\u00fcndemin merkezine ta\u015f\u0131yan yo\u011fun jeopolitik gerilimler nedeniyle piyasada benzeri g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f say\u0131da g\u00fcn i\u00e7i fiyat s\u0131\u00e7ramas\u0131 ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Y\u00f6nsel risk almadan bu sert sal\u0131n\u0131mlardan faydalanmak i\u00e7in, ba\u015fl\u0131ca hisse endekslerinde straddle veya strangle al\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Z\u0131mni volatilite man\u015fet risklerine kar\u015f\u0131 son derece hassas kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden, bir sonraki ani y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015fimi \u00f6ncesinde prim al\u0131m\u0131na dayal\u0131 stratejiler olduk\u00e7a cazip g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
ABD ekonomisi\u2014ABD GSYH\u2019sinin y\u0131ll\u0131kland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bazda diren\u00e7li %2,1 b\u00fcy\u00fcmesiyle desteklenerek\u2014formunu korurken, bu zemin dolara destek veriyor. Son veriler, ISM Hizmet D\u0131\u015f\u0131 PMI\u2019\u0131n 51,4 ile geni\u015fleme b\u00f6lgesinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve i\u00e7 talebin h\u00e2l\u00e2 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD verileri ile y\u00f6netimin agresif kur bask\u0131lama taktikleri aras\u0131ndaki bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada dikkatli ilerlemek gerekiyor.<\/p>\n
Olas\u0131 bir \u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131ndan do\u011facak ge\u00e7ici rahatlaman\u0131n muhtemelen k\u0131sa \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc olaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor; bu nedenle yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n riskli varl\u0131klarda uzun vadeli y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc bahislerden ka\u00e7\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekir. K\u00fcresel deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hatlar\u0131nda ani aksamalar riskine kar\u015f\u0131 korunma amac\u0131yla ham petrolde k\u0131sa vadeli al\u0131m opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz. Siyasi m\u00fczakereler y\u00fcksek oynakl\u0131kta kalmaya ve geri ad\u0131mlara a\u00e7\u0131k olmaya devam ederken, s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyelerine dayanmak ve riskin s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131 opsiyon yap\u0131lar\u0131 kullanmak g\u00fcvenli ilerlemenin tek yoludur.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Dolar\/yen sert geri \u00e7ekilip toparlan\u0131rken ABD \u201cne gerekiyorsa\u201d mesaj\u0131yla repo geni\u015flemesine haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor. 158,58\u2013159,59 d\u00fczeltme hedef; m\u00fcdahale riski y\u00fcksek. Jeopolitik \u015foklarda straddle\/strangle, petrolde k\u0131sa vadeli call \u00f6neriliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49975,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t