ABD Dolar\u0131 Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 geriledi. Parite, ABD\u2013\u0130ran bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerine y\u00f6nelik umutlar\u0131n risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131yla 0,8100 \u00fczerindeki hareketleri kal\u0131c\u0131 k\u0131lmakta zorland\u0131. Haber ak\u0131\u015f\u0131 kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyrini korurken, Washington anla\u015fma i\u00e7in \u201cson \u015fans\u201d ifadesini kullan\u0131rken Tahran herhangi bir m\u00fczakereyi reddetti. Piyasalar\u0131n oda\u011f\u0131nda ayr\u0131ca bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD i\u015fg\u00fcc\u00fc piyasas\u0131 verileri yer al\u0131yor. Sal\u0131 g\u00fcnk\u00fc JOLTS A\u00e7\u0131k \u0130\u015f Say\u0131s\u0131 ile ba\u015flayacak veri takvimi Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam raporuyla tamamlanacak. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar, Fed\u2019in politika patikas\u0131na ve Dolar\u2019\u0131n k\u0131sa vadeli y\u00f6n\u00fcne dair sinyal ar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
USD\/CHF 0,8101 seviyesinde i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken, yakla\u015f\u0131k 0,8035\u2019ten toparlanma sonras\u0131 konsolide oluyor ancak ge\u00e7en haftaki 0,8200 zirvesinden geri d\u00f6nm\u00fc\u015f durumda. 0,8100 \u00e7evresindeki fiyat davran\u0131\u015f\u0131 bir Omuz-Ba\u015f-Omuz formasyonu ihtimalini g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor. 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI 50 civar\u0131nda yataylarken, MACD s\u0131f\u0131r\u0131n hafif alt\u0131nda ve \u00e7izgiler yatay seyrediyor. Destekler Pazartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc 0,8056 dip seviyesi ve 0,8040 civar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken; diren\u00e7ler 0,8128 ve 0,8175\u2019te izleniyor. 0,8200 \u00fczerine yeniden bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f senaryosunu zay\u0131flatabilir.<\/p>\n
USD\/CHF paritesinin 0,8100 seviyesinin \u00fczerinde kazan\u0131mlar\u0131 korumakta zorlanmas\u0131, ABD dolar\u0131ndaki son rallinin ivme kaybetti\u011fine i\u015faret ediyor. G\u00fcnl\u00fck grafikte olas\u0131 bir Omuz-Ba\u015f-Omuz formasyonunun olu\u015fmas\u0131, ana trendde bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn yakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. 0,8040\u2019taki kritik boyun \u00e7izgisi deste\u011finin k\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 halinde, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc harekete kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyon almalar\u0131 \u00f6nerilir.<\/p>\n
Bu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklentisi, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde bu haftaki ABD istihdam verilerine ba\u011fl\u0131. Bug\u00fcnk\u00fc JOLTS A\u00e7\u0131k \u0130\u015f Say\u0131s\u0131 ile ba\u015flay\u0131p Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam ile sona erecek veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, son \u00e7eyreklerde a\u00e7\u0131k i\u015f say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 8 milyon seviyesine do\u011fru gerileme e\u011filiminde oldu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n devam etmesi, Fed \u00fczerinde faiz indirimi bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rabilir. Bu makro verilerin, USD\/CHF\u2019de olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lman\u0131n ana kataliz\u00f6r\u00fc olmas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n
\u0130svi\u00e7re taraf\u0131nda ise \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131, istikrarl\u0131 i\u00e7 makro g\u00f6stergeler sayesinde temel olarak desteklenmeye devam ediyor. \u0130svi\u00e7re enflasyonu son d\u00f6nemde yakla\u015f\u0131k %1,3 seviyesinde yatay seyretti\u011finden, \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131 (SNB) k\u00fcresel muadillerine k\u0131yasla faizleri h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme konusunda daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck bir bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda. Bu g\u00f6rece destekleyici faiz ortam\u0131, zay\u0131flayan Dolar\u2019a kar\u015f\u0131 Frank\u2019\u0131 g\u00fcvenli liman a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan cazip k\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmden faydalanmak i\u00e7in, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131na a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc hareketten yararlan\u0131rken riski s\u0131n\u0131rlamak \u00fczere bear put spread stratejisi \u00f6nerilir. Alternatif olarak vadeli i\u015flemler taraf\u0131nda, 0,8128 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru ya\u015fanabilecek k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli y\u00fckseli\u015flerde k\u0131sa pozisyon denenebilir; zarar-kes seviyeleri 0,8200\u2019deki ge\u00e7ersizle\u015fme e\u015fi\u011finin kesin \u015fekilde \u00fczerinde tutulmal\u0131d\u0131r. Bu dengeli yakla\u015f\u0131m, g\u00fc\u00e7 kaybeden y\u00fckseli\u015f momentumundan faydalan\u0131rken ani piyasa dalgalanmalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 sermayenin a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 risk alt\u0131na sokulmamas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Kritik e\u015fik: USD\/CHF 0,8100 \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutunam\u0131yor. ABD-\u0130ran haberleri risk i\u015ftah\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131rken, JOLTS ve Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam Fed beklentilerini belirleyecek. OBO riskiyle 0,8040 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131 artabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49971,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52343","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t