UOB, haftal\u0131k Ichimoku bulutunu a\u015fmay\u0131 ba\u015faramamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin (DXY) a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6ne d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve sonras\u0131nda 55 haftal\u0131k \u00fcstel hareketli ortalaman\u0131n (EMA) alt\u0131na sarkt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor; banka, bunun \u00f6nceki y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc teknik kurguyu ge\u00e7ersiz k\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Endeksin 101,39 seviyesinde bulundu\u011fu 03 Temmuz 2026 tarihli g\u00fcncellemesinde banka, 103,20\u2019deki bulut \u00fczeri k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn devam\u0131 i\u00e7in tetikleyici olarak i\u015faret ederken, EMA\u2019lar\u0131n bulundu\u011fu 99,55\/60 alt\u0131na bir hareketin bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc bo\u015fa \u00e7\u0131karaca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulunmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7en haftaki sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe ra\u011fmen UOB\u2019nin de\u011ferlendirmesi, EMA\u2019lar\u0131n yatay seyretmesi nedeniyle geri \u00e7ekilmenin bant i\u00e7inde kalaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnde. Banka, i\u015flem band\u0131n\u0131 97,63 ile 101,64 olarak \u00e7er\u00e7eveliyor; alt s\u0131n\u0131r May\u0131s dibine ve 97,63 civar\u0131ndaki haftal\u0131k bulut taban\u0131na, \u00fcst s\u0131n\u0131r ise ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n zirvesine ve 101,64\u2019teki haftal\u0131k Ichimoku bulut tavan\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k geliyor.<\/p>\n
ABD Dolar Endeksi\u2019nde (DXY) net bir de\u011fi\u015fim g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz: endeks yak\u0131n zamanda haftal\u0131k Ichimoku bulutunun \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kmay\u0131 ba\u015faramad\u0131 ve 55 haftal\u0131k \u00fcstel hareketli ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na sert \u015fekilde geriledi. Bu ani d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f, \u00f6nceki y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunu ortadan kald\u0131rarak g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc belirgin bir a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filime \u00e7evirdi. Bununla birlikte, daha uzun vadeli hareketli ortalamalar yatay kald\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda endeksin 97,63 ile 101,64 aras\u0131nda iyi tan\u0131mlanm\u0131\u015f bir bant i\u00e7inde s\u0131k\u0131\u015f\u0131k seyretmesini bekliyoruz.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, bant i\u00e7inde fakat a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 e\u011fimli bu ortam, b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131r\u0131lmalar\u0131n pe\u015finden ko\u015fmaktansa bant i\u015flemi stratejilerini devreye almak ad\u0131na elveri\u015fli bir zemin sunuyor. 97,63 deste\u011fi ile 101,64 direnci aras\u0131nda kal\u0131naca\u011f\u0131 beklentisinden yararlanmak i\u00e7in iron condor ya da k\u0131sa strangle gibi opsiyon stratejilerinin kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. 101,64 tavan\u0131na yak\u0131n b\u00f6lgede\u2014ge\u00e7en haftan\u0131n zirvesiyle de \u00f6rt\u00fc\u015fen\u2014call spread sat\u0131\u015f\u0131, g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc diren\u00e7 nedeniyle olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00fcksek bir kurgu sunuyor.<\/p>\n
Bu temkinli duru\u015f, makro verilerle de destekleniyor: Fed\u2019in s\u00fcregelen politika ayarlama d\u00f6ng\u00fcs\u00fc Hazine tahvil getirilerini s\u0131n\u0131rlarken dolar\u0131 bask\u0131l\u0131yor. Tarihsel olarak DXY, 55 haftal\u0131k EMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcrken EMA\u2019lar yatayla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131nda volatilitenin s\u0131k\u0131\u015fma e\u011filimi g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi ve \u00f6nceki ara d\u00f6nem duraklamalar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen bant davran\u0131\u015f\u0131na benzer bir yap\u0131 olu\u015ftu\u011fu izleniyor. G\u00fcncel CFTC verileri spek\u00fclatif net uzun dolar pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n belirgin bi\u00e7imde azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor; bu da bant s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 i\u00e7inde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc e\u011filimi g\u00fc\u00e7lendiriyor.<\/p>\n
101,00 seviyesine yak\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015flerde koruyucu put al\u0131m\u0131na veya bear put spread uygulamalar\u0131na odaklanarak band\u0131n alt ucundaki 97,63 b\u00f6lgesini hedeflemeliyiz. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k endeks May\u0131s dibi olan 97,63\u2019e do\u011fru gerilerse, k\u0131sa pozisyonlarda k\u00e2r realizasyonu ve potansiyel olarak kullan\u0131m fiyat\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck (out-of-the-money) put sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirilebilir. Yakla\u015fan enflasyon verileri ve merkez bankas\u0131 ileti\u015fimi sindirilirken, riskin bu bant s\u0131n\u0131rlar\u0131 etraf\u0131nda s\u0131k\u0131 y\u00f6netilmesi kritik olacak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" DXY\u2019de teknik tablo bozuldu: UOB, haftal\u0131k Ichimoku\u2019nun a\u015f\u0131lamamas\u0131 ve 55 haftal\u0131k EMA alt\u0131na sarkman\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosunu bitirdi\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor. Beklenti: 97,63\u2013101,64 band\u0131.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49961,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52342","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t