Alt\u0131n 4.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde tutundu; XAU\/USD 4.035 dolar civar\u0131nda ve Cuma\u2019ya g\u00f6re b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yatay seyretti, ancak Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseli\u015f bo\u015flu\u011fuyla a\u00e7t\u0131ktan sonra geri \u00e7ekildi. Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki tansiyonun d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle petrol geriledi: WTI 78 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken, ge\u00e7en haftaki kapan\u0131\u015fta yakla\u015f\u0131k 85 dolard\u0131. ABD dolar\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fcn erken saatlerinde geriledi ancak ard\u0131ndan y\u00f6n de\u011fi\u015ftirerek FX genelinde g\u00fc\u00e7lendi; ABD seans\u0131nda temmuz ISM \u0130malat PMI\u2019\u0131n hazirandaki 53,3\u2019ten 55,6\u2019ya y\u00fckselmesi ve 54\u2019l\u00fck beklentiyi a\u015fmas\u0131 dolara destek verdi. Dikkatler \u015fimdi ABD istihdam verilerine \u00e7evrildi; Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc temmuz NFP raporu \u00f6ncesinde JOLTS A\u00e7\u0131k \u0130\u015f Say\u0131s\u0131 ve ADP \u0130stihdam De\u011fi\u015fimi verileri a\u00e7\u0131klanacak.<\/p>\n\n
Teknik a\u00e7\u0131dan k\u0131sa vadeli g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm n\u00f6trden negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc. 4 saatlik grafikte fiyat 20 periyotluk SMA olan 4.065,14 dolar\u0131n, 100 periyotluk SMA olan 4.053,24 dolar\u0131n ve 200 periyotluk SMA olan 4.075,53 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131nda kald\u0131; Momentum orta \u00e7izgisinin alt\u0131nda seyrederken RSI 43 civar\u0131nda gezindi. G\u00fcnl\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm de bu tabloyu teyit etti: 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 4.060,40 dolar, 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck RSI 44,86, 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Momentum ise n\u00f6tr kald\u0131. Diren\u00e7ler 4.053,24 dolar, ard\u0131ndan 4.065,14 dolar ve 4.075,53 dolar seviyelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken; destek 4.000 dolar ve haziran dip seviyesi olan 3.941 dolarda bulunuyor.<\/p>\n\n
Alt\u0131n\u0131n psikolojik 4.000 dolar e\u015fi\u011finin hemen \u00fczerinde tutunmakta zorlanmas\u0131 nedeniyle, t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lara temkinli bir \u201cy\u00fckseli\u015flerde sat\u0131\u015f\u201d yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. XAU\/USD\u2019nin 4.060,40 dolardaki 20 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalama (SMA) dahil kritik hareketli ortalamalar\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rmesi, en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck diren\u00e7li y\u00f6n\u00fcn a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor. 4.053 dolar diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesine do\u011fru ge\u00e7ici tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerinde k\u0131sa pozisyon arayarak, 4.075,53 dolardaki 200 periyotluk SMA\u2019n\u0131n hemen \u00fczerinde s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleri kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 uygun buluyoruz.<\/p>\n\n
Negatif beklentimiz, ABD ISM \u0130malat PMI\u2019\u0131n hazirandaki 53,3\u2019ten temmuzda 55,6\u2019ya s\u0131\u00e7rayarak \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 derecede g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc gelmesiyle g\u00fc\u00e7leniyor. Tarihsel olarak g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir ABD imalat sekt\u00f6r\u00fc dolar\u0131 destekler; bu da genellikle alt\u0131n gibi faiz getirisi olmayan varl\u0131klar \u00fczerinde a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc bask\u0131 yarat\u0131r. Bu hafta a\u00e7\u0131klanacak ABD istihdam verileri, \u00f6zellikle Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam (NFP), yak\u0131ndan izlenmeli; g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir veri seti alt\u0131n\u0131 kritik 4.000 dolar deste\u011finin alt\u0131na h\u0131zl\u0131 \u015fekilde itebilir.<\/p>\n\n
Orta Do\u011fu\u2019daki jeopolitik gerilimler daha \u00f6nce alt\u0131n\u0131 4.000 dolar\u0131n \u00fczerindeki tarihi zirvelere ta\u015f\u0131rken, son d\u00f6nemde \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma riskinin h\u0131zl\u0131 bi\u00e7imde azalmas\u0131 metalin \u201cg\u00fcvenli liman\u201d primini h\u0131zla t\u00f6rp\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Son birka\u00e7 y\u0131lda merkez bankas\u0131 al\u0131mlar\u0131\u20142023\u2019te 1.037 tonla rekora yak\u0131n seviyeye ula\u015fmas\u0131 ve 2024 boyunca g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmas\u0131\u2014alt\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015fini belirgin bi\u00e7imde destekledi; ancak yeniden y\u00fcksek getirili dolar varl\u0131klar\u0131na y\u00f6nelim, daha derin bir d\u00fczeltmeyi tetikleyebilir. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki haftalarda 4.000 dolar seviyesi korunamazsa, bir sonraki ana a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 hedef olarak 3.941 dolardaki haziran dip seviyesini \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Alt\u0131n 4.000 dolar \u00fcst\u00fcnde tutunuyor; ancak XAU\/USD kritik ortalamalar\u0131n alt\u0131nda, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm negatife d\u00f6nd\u00fc. ISM PMI ve g\u00fc\u00e7lenen dolar bask\u0131 yarat\u0131yor. G\u00f6zler NFP\u2019de; 4.000 k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa 3.941 hedef.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50128,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52300","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t