USD\/CHF, \u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019de enflasyon verisinin beklentilerden yumu\u015fak gelmesi ve ABD Dolar\u0131\u2019ndaki s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 toparlanman\u0131n Frank \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 yaratmas\u0131yla pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc y\u00fckseldi. Parite seans i\u00e7inde %0,38 art\u0131\u015fla 0,8109 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. \u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019de temmuz T\u00dcFE (CPI) g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc zay\u0131f kal\u0131rken, man\u015fet enflasyon hazirandaki %0,5 seviyesinden y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda %0,4\u2019e geriledi; \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE ise d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc ayda da %0,3\u2019te sabit kald\u0131. Politika faizinin %0,00 seviyesinde bulunmas\u0131, k\u0131sa vadede \u0130svi\u00e7re Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (SNB) s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rmaya gitmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki bask\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011funa i\u015faret ederken, Frank bu \u00e7eyrek itibar\u0131yla G10 para birimleri i\u00e7inde en zay\u0131f performans\u0131 sergileyen para birimi konumunda.<\/p>\n\n
ABD taraf\u0131nda Dolar, ge\u00e7en haftaki sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan dengelendi. S\u00f6z konusu sat\u0131\u015flar, Yen\u2019deki zay\u0131fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlamaya d\u00f6n\u00fck Washington ve Tokyo\u2019nun koordineli m\u00fcdahalesiyle ili\u015fkilendirilmi\u015fti. \u00d6te yandan daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc ABD ISM \u0130malat PMI verisi Dolar\u2019a destek verdi. Dolar Endeksi (DXY) 99,42 ile 15 Haziran\u2019dan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyeyi test ettikten sonra toparlanarak 99,96 civar\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Teknik g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcmde USD\/CHF, 0,8110 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019y\u0131 yeniden test ediyor ve 0,8038\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA ile 0,7955\u2019teki 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. RSI (14) 52,5 civar\u0131nda, MACD ise h\u00e2l\u00e2 negatif b\u00f6lgede. Yukar\u0131da 0,8200 diren\u00e7 olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131karken; destek katmanlar\u0131 0,8110, 0,8038, 0,8000 ve 0,7955 seviyelerinde izleniyor.<\/p>\n\n
\u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7in, ABD ile \u0130svi\u00e7re aras\u0131ndaki belirgin para politikas\u0131 ayr\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 nedeniyle USD\/CHF\u2019te t\u00fcrev i\u015flemler a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan dikkat \u00e7ekici bir kurulum g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. \u0130svi\u00e7re\u2019de man\u015fet enflasyonun temmuzda yaln\u0131zca %0,4\u2019e gerilemesi, SNB\u2019nin faizi s\u0131f\u0131ra yak\u0131n seviyelerden yukar\u0131 \u00e7ekmesi i\u00e7in g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir motivasyon b\u0131rakm\u0131yor. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k beklentileri a\u015fan ABD ISM \u0130malat PMI verisi ve Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin 99,96 civar\u0131nda istikrar kazanmas\u0131, dolar\u0131n sa\u011flam bir taban buldu\u011funa i\u015faret ediyor.<\/p>\n\n
Bu zemin alt\u0131nda, t\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n USD\/CHF\u2019te kademeli bir y\u00fckseli\u015f senaryosuna g\u00f6re pozisyonlanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. Kritik 0,8000 destek seviyesinin alt\u0131nda kullan\u0131ml\u0131 \u201cout-of-the-money\u201d put opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n sat\u0131lmas\u0131, istikrarl\u0131 prim geliri elde etmeyi ve bu \u00e7eyre\u011fin en zay\u0131f G10 para birimi olan \u0130svi\u00e7re Frang\u0131\u2019ndaki k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131ktan faydalanmay\u0131 sa\u011flayabilir. Alternatif olarak 0,8200 diren\u00e7 seviyesini hedefleyen \u201cbull call spread\u201d stratejileri, s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 riskle yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc ivmeden yararlanmak i\u00e7in tan\u0131ml\u0131-riskli bir yol sunar.<\/p>\n\n
0,8110 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalaman\u0131n yak\u0131ndan izlenmesi gerekiyor; bu seviyenin \u00fczerinde temiz bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, 0,8200\u2019e do\u011fru daha h\u0131zl\u0131 bir hareketi tetikleyebilir. Tarihsel fiyat hareketleri, Dolar Endeksi\u2019nin ana 99,00 destek b\u00f6lgesinin \u00fczerinde kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemlerde dolar bazl\u0131 paritelerin \u00e7ok haftal\u0131 y\u00fckseli\u015fler i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenilir tabanlar olu\u015fturma e\u011filiminde oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. USD\/CHF\u2019in 0,8038\u2019deki 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalaman\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkmas\u0131 halinde ise daha derin bir d\u00fczeltmeye kar\u015f\u0131 pozisyonlar\u0131n g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilmesi ve risk parametrelerinin s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekir.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" S\u00fcrpriz \u0130svi\u00e7re enflasyonu, USD\/CHF\u2019i yukar\u0131 itti: parite 0,8109\u2019a y\u00fckselirken SNB\u2019nin s\u0131k\u0131la\u015fma bask\u0131s\u0131 zay\u0131f. Dolar dengeleniyor; 0,8110 \u00fcst\u00fc 0,8200 hedefi, t\u00fcrevde f\u0131rsat.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49985,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52290","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t