{"id":52266,"date":"2026-08-03T13:52:34","date_gmt":"2026-08-03T13:52:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/uncategorized\/altin-petrolun-sert-dususu-ve-fed-faiz-artirimi-beklentilerinin-xau-usdyi-4-036-dolar-civarinda-sinirlamasiyla-acilis-boslugunun-tetikledigi-yukselisi-geri-verdi\/"},"modified":"2026-08-03T13:52:34","modified_gmt":"2026-08-03T13:52:34","slug":"altin-petrolun-sert-dususu-ve-fed-faiz-artirimi-beklentilerinin-xau-usdyi-4-036-dolar-civarinda-sinirlamasiyla-acilis-boslugunun-tetikledigi-yukselisi-geri-verdi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/tr-mena\/live-updates\/altin-petrolun-sert-dususu-ve-fed-faiz-artirimi-beklentilerinin-xau-usdyi-4-036-dolar-civarinda-sinirlamasiyla-acilis-boslugunun-tetikledigi-yukselisi-geri-verdi\/","title":{"rendered":"Alt\u0131n, petrol\u00fcn sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc ve Fed faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131 beklentilerinin XAU\/USD\u2019yi 4.036 dolar civar\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rlamas\u0131yla a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u015f bo\u015flu\u011funun tetikledi\u011fi y\u00fckseli\u015fi geri verdi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131n, y\u00fckseli\u015f bo\u015flu\u011fuyla a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 geri verdi; XAU\/USD, g\u00fcn i\u00e7i 4.084 dolarl\u0131k zirveden \u00e7ekilerek 4.036 dolar civar\u0131na indi. Fiyat hareketi, ABD-\u0130ran hatt\u0131ndan gelen kar\u0131\u015f\u0131k mesajlar ve yo\u011fun ABD veri g\u00fcndemi \u00f6ncesinde artan temkinle \u015fekillenirken, petrolde g\u00f6r\u00fclen sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f k\u0131sa vadeli enflasyon bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 azaltt\u0131. Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik planlanan bir sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 iptal etti\u011fini s\u00f6ylemesinin ard\u0131ndan Bat\u0131 Teksas tipi ham petrol (WTI) %8\u2019den fazla gerilerken, \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Tahran\u2019\u0131n \u015fu anda Washington ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme y\u00fcr\u00fctmedi\u011fini belirtti. Bu durum, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 etraf\u0131ndaki belirsizli\u011fi ve petrol\u00fcn sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi seviyelerin \u00fczerindeki seyrine ili\u015fkin riskleri canl\u0131 tuttu.<\/p>\n

Daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck petrol fiyatlar\u0131 ve gerileyen ABD Hazine tahvili getirileri k\u00fcl\u00e7e alt\u0131na bir miktar destek sa\u011flasa da, daha s\u0131k\u0131 para politikas\u0131na y\u00f6nelik beklentiler y\u00fckseli\u015fi s\u0131n\u0131rlad\u0131. New York Fed Ba\u015fkan\u0131 John Williams, faiz politikas\u0131n\u0131n %2 enflasyona ula\u015facak \u015fekilde konumland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve enflasyon patikas\u0131 bozulursa Fed\u2019in m\u00fcdahale edece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. CME FedWatch Tool ise Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131ndaki faiz art\u0131r\u0131m\u0131na %65 olas\u0131l\u0131k bi\u00e7ti. Piyasalar ayr\u0131ca cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc tar\u0131m d\u0131\u015f\u0131 istihdam (NFP) verisi \u00f6ncesinde ISM \u0130malat PMI, JOLTS ve ADP verilerini bekliyor.<\/p>\n

Teknik tarafta XAU\/USD 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019n\u0131n alt\u0131nda i\u015flem g\u00f6r\u00fcyor ve 50 ile 100 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA\u2019lar\u0131n da alt\u0131nda kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. RSI 46, ADX 27 seviyesinde. Diren\u00e7 4.065 dolar civar\u0131nda; ard\u0131ndan 4.174 ve 4.416 dolar \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131k\u0131yor. Destek ise 4.000 ve 3.850 dolar seviyelerinde g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Jeopolitik Belirsizlik ve Volatilite Riskleri<\/h3>\n

Alt\u0131n (XAU\/USD) 4.036 dolar civar\u0131nda seyrederken, kritik 4.000 dolarl\u0131k psikolojik destek seviyesinin hemen \u00fczerinde kalan g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm nedeniyle t\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapan yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n temkinli hareket etmesini \u00f6neriyoruz. Petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n %8\u2019i a\u015fan son d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc enflasyon endi\u015felerini ge\u00e7ici olarak yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131; ancak H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131\u2019ndaki s\u00fcregelen jeopolitik gerilim piyasay\u0131 tedirgin tutuyor. Bu tansiyonun, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde alt\u0131n fiyat\u0131ndaki volatiliteyi y\u00fcksek tutaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcndeyiz.<\/p>\n

CME FedWatch Tool\u2019un Eyl\u00fcl 2026\u2019da Fed faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %65 olarak g\u00f6stermesi, faiz getirisi olmayan alt\u0131n\u0131n yukar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131yor. Bu \u015fahin duru\u015f, ABD enflasyonunun Fed hedefinin \u00fczerinde seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesiyle de destekleniyor; jeopolitik stresin y\u00fcksek oldu\u011fu d\u00f6nemlerde \u00e7ekirdek T\u00dcFE\u2019nin tarihsel olarak %2,6 ile %3,0 band\u0131nda dalgaland\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131n bu haftaki yo\u011fun ABD ekonomik takvimini, \u00f6zellikle de cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc Tar\u0131m D\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0130stihdam verisini yak\u0131ndan izlemesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n

Teknik Bant \u0130\u015flemleri ve Strateji De\u011ferlendirmeleri<\/h3>\n

G\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6reli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) 46 ile n\u00f6tr b\u00f6lgede olmas\u0131 nedeniyle alt\u0131n\u0131n 4.000 dolar ile 21 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama olan 4.065 dolar aras\u0131nda konsolide olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. T\u00fcrev yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131, prim erimesinden faydalanmak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa vadeli iron condor stratejileriyle bu yatay band\u0131 de\u011ferlendirebilir. Ancak yakla\u015fan istihdam verilerinin beklentilerden belirgin sapmas\u0131 halinde sert bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmak gerekiyor.<\/p>\n

Alt\u0131n 4.000 dolarl\u0131k taban\u0131n alt\u0131na sarkarsa, bir sonraki yap\u0131sal destek olan 3.850 dolara do\u011fru h\u0131zl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, 50 g\u00fcnl\u00fck hareketli ortalama olan 4.174 dolar \u00fczerinde kal\u0131c\u0131 bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f, y\u00fckseli\u015f y\u00f6nl\u00fc trend d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcne i\u015faret edecektir. \u00c7eli\u015fkili jeopolitik man\u015fetlerin etkisinde, opsiyon stratejilerinin esnek tutulmas\u0131n\u0131 ve vadeli i\u015flemlerde s\u0131k\u0131 zarar-kes seviyeleri kullan\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 tavsiye ediyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Alt\u0131nda ralli s\u00f6nd\u00fc: XAU\/USD 4.084\u2019ten 4.036\u2019ya \u00e7ekildi. \u0130ran-ABD belirsizli\u011fi s\u00fcrerken petrol %8 d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. \u015eahin Fed ve yo\u011fun ABD verileri bask\u0131 yap\u0131yor; 4.000 destek, 4.065 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":50053,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52266","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t