AUD\/JPY haftan\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc derinle\u015ftirerek 109,40\u2013109,35 band\u0131na geriledi ve Mart sonundan bu yana en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck seviyesini g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Parite daha sonra Avrupa i\u015flemlerinde 110,00 psikolojik e\u015fi\u011fi \u00e7evresinde dengelenirken 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n (SMA) \u00fczerinde kalmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc; g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde kay\u0131p yine de yakla\u015f\u0131k %0,50\u2019ye yak\u0131nd\u0131. Bu hareket, 111,25\u2013111,15 yak\u0131n\u0131nda g\u00fcn i\u00e7i reddin ard\u0131ndan geldi ve yakla\u015f\u0131k d\u00f6rt ayd\u0131r korunan i\u015flem band\u0131ndan Cuma g\u00fcnk\u00fc k\u0131r\u0131lmay\u0131 teyit etti.<\/p>\n
Yen, Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD-Japonya ortak FX m\u00fcdahalesi ve olas\u0131 ek ad\u0131mlara y\u00f6nelik mesajlar\u0131n etkisiyle daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc performans g\u00f6sterdi. Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n (BoJ) bor\u00e7lanma maliyetlerini art\u0131rmay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme isteklili\u011fi de Yeni desteklerken, Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019ndan (RBA) yak\u0131n vadede bir faiz art\u0131\u015f\u0131 beklenmemesinin g\u00fc\u00e7lenmesi Avustralya dolar\u0131n\u0131 bask\u0131lad\u0131. Teknik tarafta Hareketli Ortalama Yak\u0131nsama Iraksama (MACD) daha derin negatif b\u00f6lgede kal\u0131rken, 14 g\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi (RSI) 27 civar\u0131nda seyrediyor. Bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA olan 109,25\u2019in alt\u0131na olas\u0131 bir k\u0131r\u0131lmaya odaklan\u0131lmas\u0131na yol a\u00e7\u0131yor; diren\u00e7 ise h\u00e2l\u00e2 111,15\u2013111,25 band\u0131nda izlenirken \u00f6nceki sal\u0131n\u0131m seviyesi 115,00 civar\u0131nda referans veriliyor.<\/p>\n
T\u00fcrev i\u015flem yapanlar\u0131n, AUD\/JPY \u00e7apraz\u0131n\u0131n 109,25 yak\u0131n\u0131ndaki kritik 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck Basit Hareketli Ortalamay\u0131 (SMA) test etti\u011fi s\u00fcre\u00e7te artan oynakl\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neriyoruz. G\u00fcnl\u00fck G\u00f6receli G\u00fc\u00e7 Endeksi\u2019nin (RSI) 27 civar\u0131nda a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m b\u00f6lgesine inmi\u015f olmas\u0131 nedeniyle, hemen yeni k\u0131sa pozisyonlara acele edilmemeli. Bunun yerine, 109,25 seviyesinin alt\u0131nda teyit edilmi\u015f bir g\u00fcnl\u00fck kapan\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fclmeden put opsiyonu al\u0131m\u0131 ya da k\u0131sa vadeli vadeli i\u015flem (futures) pozisyonu a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenmeli.<\/p>\n
Ay\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcz, Japon yetkililerin agresif d\u00f6viz m\u00fcdahaleleriyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bi\u00e7imde destekleniyor; zira daha \u00f6nce Yeni desteklemek amac\u0131yla tek bir ayda 9,8 trilyon yen (62 milyar dolar) gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tutar devreye sokulmu\u015ftu. Bu arada Japonya Merkez Bankas\u0131, enflasyonu s\u0131n\u0131rlamak i\u00e7in mevcut %0,25 seviyesinden politika faizini daha da art\u0131rma kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret etti. Di\u011fer yandan Avustralya Merkez Bankas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n politika faizini %4,35\u2019te sabit tutmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki beklenti yayg\u0131n; bu durum, daha \u00f6nce Avustralya dolar\u0131 lehine olan getiri fark\u0131n\u0131 daralt\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
109,25 destek seviyesi korunursa, k\u0131sa vadeli bir \u201crahatlama rallisi\u201d g\u00f6r\u00fclebilir; bu da k\u0131sa vadeli (k\u0131sa vadeli vadeli) call opsiyonlar\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zl\u0131 yukar\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc i\u015flemler i\u00e7in uygulanabilir k\u0131labilir. Ancak olas\u0131 toparlanman\u0131n 111,15\u2013111,25 diren\u00e7 b\u00f6lgesi yak\u0131n\u0131nda g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc sat\u0131\u015f bask\u0131s\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131 muhtemel. Daha uzun vadeli pozisyon yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in, bu diren\u00e7 alan\u0131na do\u011fru olas\u0131 tepki y\u00fckseli\u015flerinin ay\u0131 y\u00f6nl\u00fc pozisyon biriktirmek ad\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck riskli giri\u015f f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendirilmesini \u00f6neriyoruz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Hemen i\u015flem yapmaya ba\u015flay\u0131n \u2014 ger\u00e7ek VT Markets hesab\u0131n\u0131z\u0131 olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in buraya<\/a> t\u0131klay\u0131n.<\/b>\n\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" AUD\/JPY sert d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle 109,35\u2019e indi; 200 g\u00fcnl\u00fck SMA 109,25 kritik e\u015fik. Yen m\u00fcdahale\/BoJ faiz sinyalleriyle g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc, RBA pas. RSI 27 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 sat\u0131m; 109,25 alt\u0131 kapan\u0131\u015fta sat\u0131\u015f, 111,25 diren\u00e7.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":87,"featured_media":49975,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52261","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":{"acf_article_selection_author":null},"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t